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*** Miami Heat @ Golden State Warriors ***

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Posted: #1

Miami Heat @ Golden State Warriors

Road teams playing revenge for a same-season home loss where they lost the spread by more than 10 (blown out at home if you will) have been absolutely money over the years. Teams in this situation are 40-16 ATS (71.4%) just this season. The Heat are also 22-3 SU playing with no rest since 2012 and 11-0 ATS playing on the road against a team that covered by more than 10 against them earlier in the year.

The Warriors meanwhile, will be playing this game as a favorite off a blowout home win, a situation that has resulted in a 33% cover rate over the past 2 years.

This line scares me a bit, no idea why the Heat are underdogs here in a revenge game, i've been trying to figure it out all day but can't come up with anything. Wade being out doesn't account for that much. I might be a fool here biting on this line but I'll take a shot for a small amount.

  • Heat +105 (2x)
 
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Posted: #2

Line has moved on my site to -1.5GS. Odd line I agree... how do you not take Miami here though.
 
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Posted: #3
I'm riding the heat tonight too.

Recent game Wiz smoked the Warriors 2 weeks ago in the same exact revenge spot. Yes the line looks tricky..... gotta roll with Bron and company. Especially after Lebron went to say he'll be top 5 of all time.... that kinda motivation has to count for something.
 
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Posted: #4
 
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Posted: #5
Excellent stat
 
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Posted: #6
Oh good, 

Nice to see it when one of the best on covers agrees with my one and only play of the night.

Thanks for the insights LC
 
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Posted: #7
Heat!
 
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Posted: #8
You know what's funny, LC, I bet these two teams have made the most money for Vegas this year in the NBA (whether it be backing them or fading them, it has been tough to find the right side). Since you've been on the right side 3 times with these teams I'll go with you on the 4th. After all, what's 200 when I've lost 5K betting on these guys.
 
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Posted: #9
Great write-up LC.

 
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Posted: #10

 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by JackofSpades13:

Pucku27 = book/Covers employee

 

Badlands = Covers set up man

 

 

 

He is here to move action for the books. 

 

Here are others that are here to move action for the books and covers “EXPERTS” which by the way are sorry as can be as far as picking goes. They are true CON ARTISTS

 

 

badlands

 

Metallica

 

Mcwestie


And why did they get rid of allbrainz and the guy who was trying to post his picks today (Thuglife, I think). His post was deleted. That was strange. Brainz was a very good capper (except for the championship games in the NFL, but he got real unlucky with the Niners pick, as did I).
 
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Posted: #12
Another winner
Congratulations
 
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Posted: #13
Great Stats 
 
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Posted: #14
teasing your two plays LC need this one bad!
 
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Posted: #15
Alright LC, let's do work! 
 
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Posted: #16
taaaailin
 
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Posted: #17
I like it  GL
 
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Posted: #18
Took them late at -1
 
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Posted: #19
Tailing the great one.
 
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Posted: #20
strong call.  they look motivated though NBA is a tale of two halves so good luck in the 2H.
 
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Posted: #21

warrior bet is a loser - Im on them.

Go to bed...Miami is too tough for this lil squad.

 
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Posted: #22
On em too LC you are fire boy lets hold em Lebron!!
 
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Posted: #23
Load up truck 2nd half. Did this last nigut w kittycats today w wiz. Doubled up the units all thnx to da MAN LC! 
 
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Posted: #24
Great job L C ...
 
 
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Posted: #25
I have $2500 on Miami Heat PK -110 at the Palms...hoping they can finish out this 2nd half strong so I can cash my ticket in at the window

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