DJ - - - DJ what are your reasons for liking MIA. Risky bet, teaser would be money with MIA I presume. Celts
The Heat should keep this close since they match up very well vs a long and versatile Portland squad. Blazers did beat Miami on 11/4/2008 but without Marion. He is going to be the factor tomorrow night. If he can match up vs Aldridge defensively then Heat at +7.5 is the right play IMO.
Best of luck to you.
Miami does not match up well whatsoever against the Blazers. Miami's most glaring weakness is their lack of size on the interior. They really do not have anybody over 6-8, 6-9 who can guard bigs. And one Portland's biggest strenghts is their size up front as they have pretty much three 7-footers in Aldridge, Oden and Pryzbilla. You saw Miami get destroyed inside against the Rockets on Monday, they simply don't have the size to deal with opposing teams big men. I see Portland dominating them on the glass again tomorrow.
Also Shawn Marion is not nearly as effective now that he doesn't have Steve Nash spoon feeding him with alley oops, dunks and other easy baskets. For someone who is making the kind of money he does (around 17 mill) I would sure hope for a little bit more production than 12 pts and 9 rbs. I wouldn't call him a deciding factor in this game at all. Aldridge is too big and strong for him to deal with.
Not sure if I will be playing this game as D-Wade is playing off the hook this year and he gets every call from the refs so I can see him keeping this game close by himself. Also, I do not like betting Portland as favorites of 5+ pts. They seem to relish the role of underdog and small favorite but I'm not really interested in laying big points with them.
Anyways good luck tomorrow Mak you've been killing it all year.
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