When the Suns play at Golden State with no days rest, after a game in Phoenix, are 0-5 SU and 0-5 ATS the last 5 situations.
This isn't true, either. Earlier this year, on March 14th, the Suns played the Thunder in Phoenix. The next night they played the Warriors in Oakland and blew them out, 154-130.
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Quote Originally Posted by m15525:
When the Suns play at Golden State with no days rest, after a game in Phoenix, are 0-5 SU and 0-5 ATS the last 5 situations.
This isn't true, either. Earlier this year, on March 14th, the Suns played the Thunder in Phoenix. The next night they played the Warriors in Oakland and blew them out, 154-130.
We are off a great win the other night with the OVER in the game between the Bucks and Wizards.
We have been on a terrific run in the NBA and will keep the hot streak going tonight with an outstanding NBA situational play when the Suns visit Golden State.
The play tonight has very strong historical backing and I think its a great situation for Golden State to win SU. Though I do recommend grabbing the points. I would wait as long as possible to get down as the public will pound the Suns following tonight's home blowout versus the Clippers (which everyone saw on national TV Christmas Day.)
Here is the low down:
The Suns, when playing on the road with 0 days rest off a game in Phoenix, are 0-7 ATS their last 7 tries. The Suns in this situation since March of 2007 are 1-10 ATS.
When the Suns play at Golden State with no days rest, after a game in Phoenix, are 0-5 SU and 0-5 ATS the last 5 situations.
To help make this play stronger, we note that...when the Warriors host a team who is playing on 0 days rest, and the Warriors are getting points...Golden State has won 6 consecutive times SU. The Warriors have covered ATS 8 of the last 10 going back to March of 2007.
The Suns have dropped 5 consecutive road games coming into this game and will be laying at least 3 (as of now) into this horrible situation for them.
Play on Golden State tonight +3 (or more!) as they get the outright win at home over the Suns.
Golden State +3
GL!
Just re-read your post and realized you made a mistake. The suns covered against denver on dec 12/09, losing by 6 and covering the inflated 9 point spread due to an attrociously bad 2nd quarter by the nuggets where they scored 2 points in a 5 minute stretch. I know because I was on the nuggets that night ....
.... but still a strong trend regardless......
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Quote Originally Posted by m15525:
I hope everyone is enjoying the Holiday!
We are off a great win the other night with the OVER in the game between the Bucks and Wizards.
We have been on a terrific run in the NBA and will keep the hot streak going tonight with an outstanding NBA situational play when the Suns visit Golden State.
The play tonight has very strong historical backing and I think its a great situation for Golden State to win SU. Though I do recommend grabbing the points. I would wait as long as possible to get down as the public will pound the Suns following tonight's home blowout versus the Clippers (which everyone saw on national TV Christmas Day.)
Here is the low down:
The Suns, when playing on the road with 0 days rest off a game in Phoenix, are 0-7 ATS their last 7 tries. The Suns in this situation since March of 2007 are 1-10 ATS.
When the Suns play at Golden State with no days rest, after a game in Phoenix, are 0-5 SU and 0-5 ATS the last 5 situations.
To help make this play stronger, we note that...when the Warriors host a team who is playing on 0 days rest, and the Warriors are getting points...Golden State has won 6 consecutive times SU. The Warriors have covered ATS 8 of the last 10 going back to March of 2007.
The Suns have dropped 5 consecutive road games coming into this game and will be laying at least 3 (as of now) into this horrible situation for them.
Play on Golden State tonight +3 (or more!) as they get the outright win at home over the Suns.
Golden State +3
GL!
Just re-read your post and realized you made a mistake. The suns covered against denver on dec 12/09, losing by 6 and covering the inflated 9 point spread due to an attrociously bad 2nd quarter by the nuggets where they scored 2 points in a 5 minute stretch. I know because I was on the nuggets that night ....
When the Suns play at Golden State with no days rest, after a game in Phoenix, are 0-5 SU and 0-5 ATS the last 5 situations.
The last time the Suns fell victim to this situation was on April 14, 2006. That's ancient history as most of the rosters have changed since then. This 5-0 trend is not only incorrect, it's meaningless, too.
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Quote Originally Posted by m15525:
When the Suns play at Golden State with no days rest, after a game in Phoenix, are 0-5 SU and 0-5 ATS the last 5 situations.
The last time the Suns fell victim to this situation was on April 14, 2006. That's ancient history as most of the rosters have changed since then. This 5-0 trend is not only incorrect, it's meaningless, too.
To help make this play stronger, we note that...when the Warriors host a team who is playing on 0 days rest, and the Warriors are getting points...Golden State has won 6 consecutive times SU.
This isn't true, either. Earlier this year, on April 12th, the Spurs played in Sacramento. The next night they went into Oakland as 4.5-point favorites and crushed the Warriors, 101-72.
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Quote Originally Posted by m15525:
To help make this play stronger, we note that...when the Warriors host a team who is playing on 0 days rest, and the Warriors are getting points...Golden State has won 6 consecutive times SU.
This isn't true, either. Earlier this year, on April 12th, the Spurs played in Sacramento. The next night they went into Oakland as 4.5-point favorites and crushed the Warriors, 101-72.
You will regret taking the under after the 1st qrt when the score is 38-35.....
..... I have seen warrior/suns games where the term "no defense" is an understatment..... the players actually let the other team shoot as quickly as they can just so they can get the ball back.....
Stay away from the total, if anything put $10 on the over just for fun.......
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Nice write-up M15525, thanks for the info about Beindrins......
Run shoot is all they know......
Last 5>>>GS adv pt give back 11 more than they made..
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Quote Originally Posted by bob696969:
You will regret taking the under after the 1st qrt when the score is 38-35.....
..... I have seen warrior/suns games where the term "no defense" is an understatment..... the players actually let the other team shoot as quickly as they can just so they can get the ball back.....
Stay away from the total, if anything put $10 on the over just for fun.......
------------------------------------------------
Nice write-up M15525, thanks for the info about Beindrins......
Run shoot is all they know......
Last 5>>>GS adv pt give back 11 more than they made..
Bator, i did notice my spreadsheet had the Denver/Suns game scored as a W but was only a 6 point win on a closing line of 8.5 so you are correct there, the trend is still valid, but for some reason thats incorrect. I am looking into the other one too
Over the holidays I have been shortening the writeups and have not been doing my usual x2 checks of writeups.
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Bator, i did notice my spreadsheet had the Denver/Suns game scored as a W but was only a 6 point win on a closing line of 8.5 so you are correct there, the trend is still valid, but for some reason thats incorrect. I am looking into the other one too
Over the holidays I have been shortening the writeups and have not been doing my usual x2 checks of writeups.
Bator, i did notice my spreadsheet had the Denver/Suns game scored as a W but was only a 6 point win on a closing line of 8.5 so you are correct there, the trend is still valid, but for some reason thats incorrect. I am looking into the other one too
Over the holidays I have been shortening the writeups and have not been doing my usual x2 checks of writeups.
I still like going against the Suns in this general situation, but it's tough to attach my hopes to the Golden State Warriors. No team in the league is playing less inspired ball than these guys. The last time I risked a few dollars on them, I was in awe of their incredibly lazy interior defensive play. Still, the only thing that sucks more than having to play on Christmas is having to board a flight right after that game and having to play again the next night. That's why I think the Suns and Lakers are really up against it tonight but I feel it's the Lakers who are much more vulnerable in Cowtown against a feisty Kings team.
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Quote Originally Posted by m15525:
Bator, i did notice my spreadsheet had the Denver/Suns game scored as a W but was only a 6 point win on a closing line of 8.5 so you are correct there, the trend is still valid, but for some reason thats incorrect. I am looking into the other one too
Over the holidays I have been shortening the writeups and have not been doing my usual x2 checks of writeups.
I still like going against the Suns in this general situation, but it's tough to attach my hopes to the Golden State Warriors. No team in the league is playing less inspired ball than these guys. The last time I risked a few dollars on them, I was in awe of their incredibly lazy interior defensive play. Still, the only thing that sucks more than having to play on Christmas is having to board a flight right after that game and having to play again the next night. That's why I think the Suns and Lakers are really up against it tonight but I feel it's the Lakers who are much more vulnerable in Cowtown against a feisty Kings team.
To help make this play stronger, we note that...when the Warriors host a team who is playing on 0 days rest, and the Warriors are getting points...Golden State has won 6 consecutive times SU. The Warriors have covered ATS 8 of the last 10 going back to March of 2007.
On December 16, 2009, the Spurs came into GS on a back to back laying 5.5 and covered.
0
Quote Originally Posted by m15525:
To help make this play stronger, we note that...when the Warriors host a team who is playing on 0 days rest, and the Warriors are getting points...Golden State has won 6 consecutive times SU. The Warriors have covered ATS 8 of the last 10 going back to March of 2007.
On December 16, 2009, the Spurs came into GS on a back to back laying 5.5 and covered.
I still like going against the Suns in this general situation, but it's tough to attach my hopes to the Golden State Warriors. No team in the league is playing less inspired ball than these guys. The last time I risked a few dollars on them, I was in awe of their incredibly lazy interior defensive play. Still, the only thing that sucks more than having to play on Christmas is having to board a flight right after that game and having to play again the next night. That's why I think the Suns and Lakers are really up against it tonight but I feel it's the Lakers who are much more vulnerable in Cowtown against a feisty Kings team.
Hmmm I like the logic here. May tail here.
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Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
I still like going against the Suns in this general situation, but it's tough to attach my hopes to the Golden State Warriors. No team in the league is playing less inspired ball than these guys. The last time I risked a few dollars on them, I was in awe of their incredibly lazy interior defensive play. Still, the only thing that sucks more than having to play on Christmas is having to board a flight right after that game and having to play again the next night. That's why I think the Suns and Lakers are really up against it tonight but I feel it's the Lakers who are much more vulnerable in Cowtown against a feisty Kings team.
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