Lakers@Hornets

Whatsup tsiken nice to see you back on here again.  Your system is very good Tsikenbreast but now we are at the 2nd half of the season where you are correct about 60% of the favs covering.  I've learned from your insight as well as other bettors is that vegas knows more.  With that said I'll take the NFL season this past year as an example.  Mon, thursday and sunday night football the dogs were covering at an incredible percentage in NFL 1st half.  Towards the second half of the year going into the playoffs however the favs were covering almost at the same percentage on those same nights. Motivation=playoffs. But even during that time period you had real sharp bettors on the +3.5 dogs regardless of who they were.  Lions vs ATL where lions+3.5 is a perfect example on Sunday night at the end of the year.  I picked ATL because I visualized detroit playing from behind and going for it on 4th down. Like they did so many times this year.  And said to myself Detroit is focused on megatron breaking rices record and Stafford as usual getting his passing stats up after the game is out of hand.  And ATL was focused on locking up the #1 seed.  Both events happened both franchises were happy with the outcome.  ATL covers -4.5.  Stafford sucks terribly by the way.  In conclusion there is a point where vegas will tell the truth about the spread.  But after being mindfu-ked  the 1st half of the NFL season sharp bettors are scared to death to pick a favorite on any game.  My opinion is the underdogs get their revenge deep in the playoffs when everyone is fav. happy.  Happened to me lost big on Denver-9.  Baltimore+3.5 in superbowl the rest is history.  I understand how it feels because I struggle with picking an underdog knowing they are the inferior team.  In short you have to be able to go against your comfort zone.

Now that I have that out the way.  Lakers have proven these games are the only games they can win.  Pathetic below .500 team wins.    18-8=69%.  

The great thing about your system Tsiken is that I feel it works but only on the strength of the dog itself.  Example: I tailed you on orlando+3.5 and lost but it doesnt matter it was still a great spot to pick them.  Orlando during that game was showing why they were the worst team in the NBA.  No BB Davis, no turkelou no redick no ryan anderson from last year.   But I would take it a step further and say houston+2 today is a far more talented underdog than New orleans. Notable dogs that covered Miami+3.5, Denver+1.5 OKC+3. 

Tsikenbreast. As well as these teams been playing all season Miami, OKC, and Denver have no business being underdogs ever.  Also tailed you on Utah+6 at home and houston+2 common denominator both winners both strong underdogs that are atleast .500 an above.  In my opinion regardless of how good a spot they are in sooner or later you have to take their record and all the statistical data in consideration.  Atleast for the 2nd half.   

P.s. Lakers win today 1.5 and I hate them.  No play for me. 

it was sarcasm. as i said everybody will be chasing the lakers. at the back of their minds, they are thinking "no way the lakers wouldnt make the playoffs."

@miami

i actually like dallas to take this game. a home and home for them, most of the time, it splits. and houston shouldnt be three point underdogs against dallas. BOL