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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Johnson's NBA Picks - Wednesday 2/16

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    CMJohnson1
    The_Ace
    aireent777
    HumbledGambler
    cashmanpg24
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    CMJohnson1
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 12:46 AM ET #1

    OVERALL RECORD:  334-251-10 (+53.00 units)

    SIDES:  90-66-4  (+30.25 units)

    TOTALS:  107-105-2  (-17.05 units)

    ML PLAYS:  67-34-3  (+23.00 units)

    PROPS:  26-19-1  (-0.15 units)

    PARLAYS: 15-9  (+15.95 units)

    NCAA BB PLAYS:  29-18
    ===========================================================================

    3-2 Tuesday
    7-8 for the Week
    Professor Homer needs to get on the fast track.

    Line Projections:

    Washington @ Orlando (-11.5)  O/U 199    
    Miami (-9.5) @ Toronto  O/U 193
    Indiana (-3) @ Detroit  O/U 198
    LA Lakers (-12) @ Cleveland  O/U 210
    Atlanta @ New York (-2.5)  O/U 207
    New Jersey @ Boston (-8.5)  O/U 190
    LA Clippers (-2) @ Minnesota   O/U 215
    Sacramento @ Dallas (-11)  O/U 202.5
    Philadelphia @ Houston (-5.5)  O/U 197.5
    Golden State @ Utah (-3)  O/U 212
    Denver @ Milwaukee (-1)  O/U 195.5
    New Orleans @ Portland (-2.5)  O/U 191.5
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    OVERALL RECORD:  334-251-10 (+53.00 units)

    SIDES:  90-66-4  (+30.25 units)

    TOTALS:  107-105-2  (-17.05 units)

    ML PLAYS:  67-34-3  (+23.00 units)

    PROPS:  26-19-1  (-0.15 units)

    PARLAYS: 15-9  (+15.95 units)

    NCAA BB PLAYS:  29-18
    ===========================================================================

    3-2 Tuesday
    7-8 for the Week
    Professor Homer needs to get on the fast track.

    Line Projections:

    Washington @ Orlando (-11.5)  O/U 199    
    Miami (-9.5) @ Toronto  O/U 193
    Indiana (-3) @ Detroit  O/U 198
    LA Lakers (-12) @ Cleveland  O/U 210
    Atlanta @ New York (-2.5)  O/U 207
    New Jersey @ Boston (-8.5)  O/U 190
    LA Clippers (-2) @ Minnesota   O/U 215
    Sacramento @ Dallas (-11)  O/U 202.5
    Philadelphia @ Houston (-5.5)  O/U 197.5
    Golden State @ Utah (-3)  O/U 212
    Denver @ Milwaukee (-1)  O/U 195.5
    New Orleans @ Portland (-2.5)  O/U 191.5
     
    CMJohnson1
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 12:56 AM ET #2


    Wednesday Trends:

    93 Overs 73 Unders   (56.02%)
    Home Teams are 80-86 ATS (48.19%) and 96-70 SU (57.83%)
    Favorites are 80-86 ATS  (48.19%)
    East @ West is 13-22 ATS (62.85%) and 9-26 SU  (25.71%)
    West @ East is 13-13 ATS (50.00%) and 12-14 SU (46.15%)
    Double Digit Favorites are 9-9 ATS (50.00%)
    Home Underdogs are 29-29 ATS (50.00%)  and 19-40 SU  (32.20%)
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    Wednesday Trends:

    93 Overs 73 Unders   (56.02%)
    Home Teams are 80-86 ATS (48.19%) and 96-70 SU (57.83%)
    Favorites are 80-86 ATS  (48.19%)
    East @ West is 13-22 ATS (62.85%) and 9-26 SU  (25.71%)
    West @ East is 13-13 ATS (50.00%) and 12-14 SU (46.15%)
    Double Digit Favorites are 9-9 ATS (50.00%)
    Home Underdogs are 29-29 ATS (50.00%)  and 19-40 SU  (32.20%)
     
    The_Ace
    The_Ace
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 1:09 AM ET #3

    like the avatar
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    like the avatar
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 1:31 AM ET #4

    Miami vs. Toronto        Lean:  UNDER 202.5

    More of a play on the Heat's defense against the Raptors offense...as well as the Heat having to spend a lot of energy holding on late against the Pacers when they had absolutely no business even being that close after the 1st quarter.  Only thing that might hold me back on this one is the fact that Wednesday's are a great day for the OVER...and Miami might just put up 120.  Either way, I really don't see it getting up this high.

    Washington vs. Orlando       Lean:  NONE

    Line is set almost exactly where my projection was.  The Wizards finally got a road "win" against the Cavaliers so that monkey is off their back...but I highly doubt they will get #2 against the Magic.  Orlando has won the 3 previous matchups this season by a combined 48 points.  However, this might be one of those "do enough to win" type of games.  I just have a feeling the Magic won't be busting their ass that hard tomorrow. 


    New Jersey vs. Boston     Lean:  New Jersey +11.5

    Will wait until later on tomorrow and see what the line does.  It would be nice if it could climb up to 12 or higher...but I doubt it.  I think Doc will more than likely rest his players tomorrow.  He has been known to do that.  He knows that they most of the team will be getting extra playing time in the All-Star game...so we should see a lot more of Nate Robinson, Glen Davis, and Delonte West who is expected to make his return.  Nets have been playing some solid basketball of late...and might just sneak up and try and steal this one. 

    LA Lakers vs. Cleveland      Lean:  NONE

    Line is set just a hair below what I projected...the total is a decent amount under that.  All reasonable logic tells us that the Lakers should come out and absolutely murder the most pathetic team in the league right?  But how many times this season have most of us sat here and read thread after thread after thread saying "The Lakers can't lose _____ in a row!!"  Or "The Lakers WILL STEP UP against the ______"  This team is old.  They don't have a bench.  They can only go 7 or 8 deep at most...and against younger, faster, more athletic teams like the Cavs and against deeper teams like the Celtics/Spurs/Magic they will struggle. 

    Indiana vs. Detroit    Lean:  Indiana -1.5

    The Pacers showed me more tonight in quarters 2-4 then they did in the previous 7 games where they went 6-1 SU and ATS.  After being down at home 41-19 after the 1st quarter and getting absolutely obliterated in every possibly way it would have been VERY easy for them to back down and let the Heat coast to a win.  The fact that they battled back and almost won the game shows me that Frank Vogel has his guys believing that they are a playoff team.  The effort is there from top to bottom (most importantly Danny Granger who was a waste of talent under O'Brien) and they are now the type of team who I believe will contend in the tough games, and win the games they are expected to win.  A game before the All-Star break against the Pistons is a game they SHOULD win. 

    Philadelphia vs. Houston      Lean:  Houston -4

    The East @ West trend is the major play for me here.  Philly 9-21 on the road...coming off a bad loss against the Grizzlies...poor scheduling situation for them.  Rockets have been at home for a week now...nice and rested...coming off a really solid win against the Nuggets.  They should be able to take this one down and head into the break on a positive note. 

    Sacramento vs. Dallas        Lean:  NONE

    Another game where my line projection was pretty much right on.  Kings haven't been playing terribly as of late as far as ATS is concerned going 7-4 in their last 11...but most of those games were at home.  They got their sausages smoked tonight against the Thunder...and looked completely listless in the process.  Dallas however will probably be lumped in with the Magic, Celtics, and Lakers tomorrow night.  How much effort are they going to put into a game against a bottom feeder when they know they have a more important game tomorrow night against Phoenix? 

    Golden State vs. Utah        Lean:  OVER 207 / Golden State +6

    Only thing that is somewhat holding me back from this one is how the Warriors have fared on the 2nd game of a back to back.  Out of their 10 games so far on a B2B....only 3 of them have managed to go OVER the total...and 1 of those was only because of OT.  The Jazz are going to struggle the rest of the way without a doubt...as we've seen from the past couple games, the defensive intensity and offensive efficiency just aren't there without Sloan.  If it wasn't for Al Jefferson shooting incredibly well tonight and putting up 32 and 10...they would have been blown out of the building.  They are only 12-17 ATS at home this year as well...while the Warriors are a respectable 12-11-1.

    New Orleans vs Portland        Lean:  Blazers -4.5

    I am going to fade the Hornets EVERY SINGLE GAME until Emeka Okafor comes back into the lineup.  I'm highly surprised Aaron Gray even has a roster spot on an NBA team...let alone starting for a playoff contender.  LaMarcus Aldridge is going to absolutely buttfuck the Hornets on the inside...and I really can't see them doing anything about it.  I'm really surprised that the Blazers have played so well without Brandon Roy, but they know what they do well, and they stick to it.



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    Miami vs. Toronto        Lean:  UNDER 202.5

    More of a play on the Heat's defense against the Raptors offense...as well as the Heat having to spend a lot of energy holding on late against the Pacers when they had absolutely no business even being that close after the 1st quarter.  Only thing that might hold me back on this one is the fact that Wednesday's are a great day for the OVER...and Miami might just put up 120.  Either way, I really don't see it getting up this high.

    Washington vs. Orlando       Lean:  NONE

    Line is set almost exactly where my projection was.  The Wizards finally got a road "win" against the Cavaliers so that monkey is off their back...but I highly doubt they will get #2 against the Magic.  Orlando has won the 3 previous matchups this season by a combined 48 points.  However, this might be one of those "do enough to win" type of games.  I just have a feeling the Magic won't be busting their ass that hard tomorrow. 


    New Jersey vs. Boston     Lean:  New Jersey +11.5

    Will wait until later on tomorrow and see what the line does.  It would be nice if it could climb up to 12 or higher...but I doubt it.  I think Doc will more than likely rest his players tomorrow.  He has been known to do that.  He knows that they most of the team will be getting extra playing time in the All-Star game...so we should see a lot more of Nate Robinson, Glen Davis, and Delonte West who is expected to make his return.  Nets have been playing some solid basketball of late...and might just sneak up and try and steal this one. 

    LA Lakers vs. Cleveland      Lean:  NONE

    Line is set just a hair below what I projected...the total is a decent amount under that.  All reasonable logic tells us that the Lakers should come out and absolutely murder the most pathetic team in the league right?  But how many times this season have most of us sat here and read thread after thread after thread saying "The Lakers can't lose _____ in a row!!"  Or "The Lakers WILL STEP UP against the ______"  This team is old.  They don't have a bench.  They can only go 7 or 8 deep at most...and against younger, faster, more athletic teams like the Cavs and against deeper teams like the Celtics/Spurs/Magic they will struggle. 

    Indiana vs. Detroit    Lean:  Indiana -1.5

    The Pacers showed me more tonight in quarters 2-4 then they did in the previous 7 games where they went 6-1 SU and ATS.  After being down at home 41-19 after the 1st quarter and getting absolutely obliterated in every possibly way it would have been VERY easy for them to back down and let the Heat coast to a win.  The fact that they battled back and almost won the game shows me that Frank Vogel has his guys believing that they are a playoff team.  The effort is there from top to bottom (most importantly Danny Granger who was a waste of talent under O'Brien) and they are now the type of team who I believe will contend in the tough games, and win the games they are expected to win.  A game before the All-Star break against the Pistons is a game they SHOULD win. 

    Philadelphia vs. Houston      Lean:  Houston -4

    The East @ West trend is the major play for me here.  Philly 9-21 on the road...coming off a bad loss against the Grizzlies...poor scheduling situation for them.  Rockets have been at home for a week now...nice and rested...coming off a really solid win against the Nuggets.  They should be able to take this one down and head into the break on a positive note. 

    Sacramento vs. Dallas        Lean:  NONE

    Another game where my line projection was pretty much right on.  Kings haven't been playing terribly as of late as far as ATS is concerned going 7-4 in their last 11...but most of those games were at home.  They got their sausages smoked tonight against the Thunder...and looked completely listless in the process.  Dallas however will probably be lumped in with the Magic, Celtics, and Lakers tomorrow night.  How much effort are they going to put into a game against a bottom feeder when they know they have a more important game tomorrow night against Phoenix? 

    Golden State vs. Utah        Lean:  OVER 207 / Golden State +6

    Only thing that is somewhat holding me back from this one is how the Warriors have fared on the 2nd game of a back to back.  Out of their 10 games so far on a B2B....only 3 of them have managed to go OVER the total...and 1 of those was only because of OT.  The Jazz are going to struggle the rest of the way without a doubt...as we've seen from the past couple games, the defensive intensity and offensive efficiency just aren't there without Sloan.  If it wasn't for Al Jefferson shooting incredibly well tonight and putting up 32 and 10...they would have been blown out of the building.  They are only 12-17 ATS at home this year as well...while the Warriors are a respectable 12-11-1.

    New Orleans vs Portland        Lean:  Blazers -4.5

    I am going to fade the Hornets EVERY SINGLE GAME until Emeka Okafor comes back into the lineup.  I'm highly surprised Aaron Gray even has a roster spot on an NBA team...let alone starting for a playoff contender.  LaMarcus Aldridge is going to absolutely buttfuck the Hornets on the inside...and I really can't see them doing anything about it.  I'm really surprised that the Blazers have played so well without Brandon Roy, but they know what they do well, and they stick to it.



     
    aireent777
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 1:52 AM ET #5

    I like the Blazers
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    I like the Blazers
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 2:02 AM ET #6

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    HumbledGambler
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 2:11 AM ET #7

    GREAT as usual!  Like Portland and NJ. 
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    GREAT as usual!  Like Portland and NJ. 
     
    cashmanpg24
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 2:19 AM ET #8

    SO CM, I APOLGIZED IF I OFFENDED WAS JUST LOOKING FOR SOME FRIENDLY COMP AND WITH ALL DUE RESPECT I BELIEVE YOU MIGHT BE THE BEST ON HERE SO WILL YOU PLAY ME? ITS JUST A WEEK, AND JUST CAUSE I DONT HAVE THE TIME ON HERE DOESNT MEAN IM A BUM, IVE BEEN BETTING FOR 13 YRS AND TAKE THIS VERY SERIOUSLY, SO WILL YOU ACCEPT OR YOU WORRIED A NO NAME ON HERE LIKE ME WILL BE THE ALL MIGHTY? IF YOU BEAT ME I SAID I WONT POST ANYTHING EXCEPT MY POD ON HERE AGAIN, SO BEAT ME AND ILL SHUT UP FOR GOOD, BUT I WASNT TALKING SMACK
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    SO CM, I APOLGIZED IF I OFFENDED WAS JUST LOOKING FOR SOME FRIENDLY COMP AND WITH ALL DUE RESPECT I BELIEVE YOU MIGHT BE THE BEST ON HERE SO WILL YOU PLAY ME? ITS JUST A WEEK, AND JUST CAUSE I DONT HAVE THE TIME ON HERE DOESNT MEAN IM A BUM, IVE BEEN BETTING FOR 13 YRS AND TAKE THIS VERY SERIOUSLY, SO WILL YOU ACCEPT OR YOU WORRIED A NO NAME ON HERE LIKE ME WILL BE THE ALL MIGHTY? IF YOU BEAT ME I SAID I WONT POST ANYTHING EXCEPT MY POD ON HERE AGAIN, SO BEAT ME AND ILL SHUT UP FOR GOOD, BUT I WASNT TALKING SMACK
     
    cashmanpg24
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 2:21 AM ET #9

    BEAT NOT BE THE ALL MIGHT, LOOK MAN I HAVE NOTHING BUT RESPECT FOR YOU AND YOU PROB WILL WIN, BUT I GOT TO KNOW THAT SO WILL YOU BE A NICE GUY AND TAKE ME UP ON MY OFFER? PLEASE IM A NICE GUY AND JUST LOOKING FOR SOME FUN MAN,  WHETHER YOU SAY YES OR NO I WANT TO SAY AGAIN I BELIEVE YOU MIGHT BE THE BEST ON HERE AND YOUR POST ARE GREAT, THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME
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    BEAT NOT BE THE ALL MIGHT, LOOK MAN I HAVE NOTHING BUT RESPECT FOR YOU AND YOU PROB WILL WIN, BUT I GOT TO KNOW THAT SO WILL YOU BE A NICE GUY AND TAKE ME UP ON MY OFFER? PLEASE IM A NICE GUY AND JUST LOOKING FOR SOME FUN MAN,  WHETHER YOU SAY YES OR NO I WANT TO SAY AGAIN I BELIEVE YOU MIGHT BE THE BEST ON HERE AND YOUR POST ARE GREAT, THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME
     
    PicKnRole
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 2:25 AM ET #10

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    Professional1
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 3:04 AM ET #11

    good stuff
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    good stuff
     
    EmilDrillz
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 4:07 AM ET #12

    I have nothing for respect for what you do keep up the hustle
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    I have nothing for respect for what you do keep up the hustle
     
    sabia
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 4:30 AM ET #13

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    EmilDrillz
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 4:44 AM ET #14

    but** intoxicated
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    but** intoxicated
     
    doccocaubai
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 4:46 AM ET #15

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    Orangemen44
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 5:24 AM ET #16

    BOL CM
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    BOL CM
     
    cashmanpg24
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 6:31 AM ET #17

    got get em today cm, nothing but respect ... just was looking for a challenge with the best, but you the man keep doing what ur doing, have a good day buddy
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    got get em today cm, nothing but respect ... just was looking for a challenge with the best, but you the man keep doing what ur doing, have a good day buddy
     
    ThaOneTheyCallG
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 6:44 AM ET #18

    Hey, You no picture havin', -8800 units lookin', On the site for 4 years being, Barely .500 ass dude.

    Shut the fuck up

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    Hey, You no picture havin', -8800 units lookin', On the site for 4 years being, Barely .500 ass dude.

    Shut the fuck up

     
    Brian_Kim
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 7:57 AM ET #19

    GL
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    GL
     
    useridnijay
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 8:14 AM ET #20

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    hofil
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 10:57 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

    Miami vs. Toronto        Lean:  UNDER 202.5

    More of a play on the Heat's defense against the Raptors offense...as well as the Heat having to spend a lot of energy holding on late against the Pacers when they had absolutely no business even being that close after the 1st quarter.  Only thing that might hold me back on this one is the fact that Wednesday's are a great day for the OVER...and Miami might just put up 120.  Either way, I really don't see it getting up this high.

    Washington vs. Orlando       Lean:  NONE

    Line is set almost exactly where my projection was.  The Wizards finally got a road "win" against the Cavaliers so that monkey is off their back...but I highly doubt they will get #2 against the Magic.  Orlando has won the 3 previous matchups this season by a combined 48 points.  However, this might be one of those "do enough to win" type of games.  I just have a feeling the Magic won't be busting their ass that hard tomorrow. 


    New Jersey vs. Boston     Lean:  New Jersey +11.5

    Will wait until later on tomorrow and see what the line does.  It would be nice if it could climb up to 12 or higher...but I doubt it.  I think Doc will more than likely rest his players tomorrow.  He has been known to do that.  He knows that they most of the team will be getting extra playing time in the All-Star game...so we should see a lot more of Nate Robinson, Glen Davis, and Delonte West who is expected to make his return.  Nets have been playing some solid basketball of late...and might just sneak up and try and steal this one. 

    LA Lakers vs. Cleveland      Lean:  NONE

    Line is set just a hair below what I projected...the total is a decent amount under that.  All reasonable logic tells us that the Lakers should come out and absolutely murder the most pathetic team in the league right?  But how many times this season have most of us sat here and read thread after thread after thread saying "The Lakers can't lose _____ in a row!!"  Or "The Lakers WILL STEP UP against the ______"  This team is old.  They don't have a bench.  They can only go 7 or 8 deep at most...and against younger, faster, more athletic teams like the Cavs and against deeper teams like the Celtics/Spurs/Magic they will struggle. 

    Indiana vs. Detroit    Lean:  Indiana -1.5

    The Pacers showed me more tonight in quarters 2-4 then they did in the previous 7 games where they went 6-1 SU and ATS.  After being down at home 41-19 after the 1st quarter and getting absolutely obliterated in every possibly way it would have been VERY easy for them to back down and let the Heat coast to a win.  The fact that they battled back and almost won the game shows me that Frank Vogel has his guys believing that they are a playoff team.  The effort is there from top to bottom (most importantly Danny Granger who was a waste of talent under O'Brien) and they are now the type of team who I believe will contend in the tough games, and win the games they are expected to win.  A game before the All-Star break against the Pistons is a game they SHOULD win. 

    Philadelphia vs. Houston      Lean:  Houston -4

    The East @ West trend is the major play for me here.  Philly 9-21 on the road...coming off a bad loss against the Grizzlies...poor scheduling situation for them.  Rockets have been at home for a week now...nice and rested...coming off a really solid win against the Nuggets.  They should be able to take this one down and head into the break on a positive note. 

    Sacramento vs. Dallas        Lean:  NONE

    Another game where my line projection was pretty much right on.  Kings haven't been playing terribly as of late as far as ATS is concerned going 7-4 in their last 11...but most of those games were at home.  They got their sausages smoked tonight against the Thunder...and looked completely listless in the process.  Dallas however will probably be lumped in with the Magic, Celtics, and Lakers tomorrow night.  How much effort are they going to put into a game against a bottom feeder when they know they have a more important game tomorrow night against Phoenix? 

    Golden State vs. Utah        Lean:  OVER 207 / Golden State +6

    Only thing that is somewhat holding me back from this one is how the Warriors have fared on the 2nd game of a back to back.  Out of their 10 games so far on a B2B....only 3 of them have managed to go OVER the total...and 1 of those was only because of OT.  The Jazz are going to struggle the rest of the way without a doubt...as we've seen from the past couple games, the defensive intensity and offensive efficiency just aren't there without Sloan.  If it wasn't for Al Jefferson shooting incredibly well tonight and putting up 32 and 10...they would have been blown out of the building.  They are only 12-17 ATS at home this year as well...while the Warriors are a respectable 12-11-1.

    New Orleans vs Portland        Lean:  Blazers -4.5

    I am going to fade the Hornets EVERY SINGLE GAME until Emeka Okafor comes back into the lineup.  I'm highly surprised Aaron Gray even has a roster spot on an NBA team...let alone starting for a playoff contender.  LaMarcus Aldridge is going to absolutely buttfuck the Hornets on the inside...and I really can't see them doing anything about it.  I'm really surprised that the Blazers have played so well without Brandon Roy, but they know what they do well, and they stick to it.







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    Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

    Miami vs. Toronto        Lean:  UNDER 202.5

    More of a play on the Heat's defense against the Raptors offense...as well as the Heat having to spend a lot of energy holding on late against the Pacers when they had absolutely no business even being that close after the 1st quarter.  Only thing that might hold me back on this one is the fact that Wednesday's are a great day for the OVER...and Miami might just put up 120.  Either way, I really don't see it getting up this high.

    Washington vs. Orlando       Lean:  NONE

    Line is set almost exactly where my projection was.  The Wizards finally got a road "win" against the Cavaliers so that monkey is off their back...but I highly doubt they will get #2 against the Magic.  Orlando has won the 3 previous matchups this season by a combined 48 points.  However, this might be one of those "do enough to win" type of games.  I just have a feeling the Magic won't be busting their ass that hard tomorrow. 


    New Jersey vs. Boston     Lean:  New Jersey +11.5

    Will wait until later on tomorrow and see what the line does.  It would be nice if it could climb up to 12 or higher...but I doubt it.  I think Doc will more than likely rest his players tomorrow.  He has been known to do that.  He knows that they most of the team will be getting extra playing time in the All-Star game...so we should see a lot more of Nate Robinson, Glen Davis, and Delonte West who is expected to make his return.  Nets have been playing some solid basketball of late...and might just sneak up and try and steal this one. 

    LA Lakers vs. Cleveland      Lean:  NONE

    Line is set just a hair below what I projected...the total is a decent amount under that.  All reasonable logic tells us that the Lakers should come out and absolutely murder the most pathetic team in the league right?  But how many times this season have most of us sat here and read thread after thread after thread saying "The Lakers can't lose _____ in a row!!"  Or "The Lakers WILL STEP UP against the ______"  This team is old.  They don't have a bench.  They can only go 7 or 8 deep at most...and against younger, faster, more athletic teams like the Cavs and against deeper teams like the Celtics/Spurs/Magic they will struggle. 

    Indiana vs. Detroit    Lean:  Indiana -1.5

    The Pacers showed me more tonight in quarters 2-4 then they did in the previous 7 games where they went 6-1 SU and ATS.  After being down at home 41-19 after the 1st quarter and getting absolutely obliterated in every possibly way it would have been VERY easy for them to back down and let the Heat coast to a win.  The fact that they battled back and almost won the game shows me that Frank Vogel has his guys believing that they are a playoff team.  The effort is there from top to bottom (most importantly Danny Granger who was a waste of talent under O'Brien) and they are now the type of team who I believe will contend in the tough games, and win the games they are expected to win.  A game before the All-Star break against the Pistons is a game they SHOULD win. 

    Philadelphia vs. Houston      Lean:  Houston -4

    The East @ West trend is the major play for me here.  Philly 9-21 on the road...coming off a bad loss against the Grizzlies...poor scheduling situation for them.  Rockets have been at home for a week now...nice and rested...coming off a really solid win against the Nuggets.  They should be able to take this one down and head into the break on a positive note. 

    Sacramento vs. Dallas        Lean:  NONE

    Another game where my line projection was pretty much right on.  Kings haven't been playing terribly as of late as far as ATS is concerned going 7-4 in their last 11...but most of those games were at home.  They got their sausages smoked tonight against the Thunder...and looked completely listless in the process.  Dallas however will probably be lumped in with the Magic, Celtics, and Lakers tomorrow night.  How much effort are they going to put into a game against a bottom feeder when they know they have a more important game tomorrow night against Phoenix? 

    Golden State vs. Utah        Lean:  OVER 207 / Golden State +6

    Only thing that is somewhat holding me back from this one is how the Warriors have fared on the 2nd game of a back to back.  Out of their 10 games so far on a B2B....only 3 of them have managed to go OVER the total...and 1 of those was only because of OT.  The Jazz are going to struggle the rest of the way without a doubt...as we've seen from the past couple games, the defensive intensity and offensive efficiency just aren't there without Sloan.  If it wasn't for Al Jefferson shooting incredibly well tonight and putting up 32 and 10...they would have been blown out of the building.  They are only 12-17 ATS at home this year as well...while the Warriors are a respectable 12-11-1.

    New Orleans vs Portland        Lean:  Blazers -4.5

    I am going to fade the Hornets EVERY SINGLE GAME until Emeka Okafor comes back into the lineup.  I'm highly surprised Aaron Gray even has a roster spot on an NBA team...let alone starting for a playoff contender.  LaMarcus Aldridge is going to absolutely buttfuck the Hornets on the inside...and I really can't see them doing anything about it.  I'm really surprised that the Blazers have played so well without Brandon Roy, but they know what they do well, and they stick to it.







     
    kaponofor3
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 10:58 AM ET #22

    I like NJ and HOU as well today CMJ, good luck friend
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    I like NJ and HOU as well today CMJ, good luck friend
     
    kazamterk
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 11:35 AM ET #23

    Great picks. Let's make some

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    Great picks. Let's make some

     
    johnk812
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 11:40 AM ET #24

    After reading this, it seems like the strongest plays are...

    Nets +11.5
    Blazers -4.5
    Pacers -1.5
    Rockets -4

    How's that card look, CMJ?

    BOL Tonight 
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    After reading this, it seems like the strongest plays are...

    Nets +11.5
    Blazers -4.5
    Pacers -1.5
    Rockets -4

    How's that card look, CMJ?

    BOL Tonight 
     
     
    insatiable
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 11:41 AM ET #25

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