Jazz ML and why

ML +625  

This is a long shot and could very well lose but at 6 to 1 odds I have to roll the dice. 

I wonder where LeBron wants to go? If Lakers lose tonight, he gets 2 at home against Hou and maybe Luka comes back in a longer series. If Lakers want to extend a series, this is most likely chance. This may be the best scenario for the League as it gets maybe just maybe a Lakers entertaining series where Luka comes back and maybe Lakers beat Hou. Lakers want to buy time at this point, longer they play, more likley they get Luka and maybe Reaves back.Longer series, mo money.

If Lakers win tonight, then he gets 2 at home against Wolves in what could be an evisceration sweep for Minny. Interestingly Lebron has avoided Wolves all season since that 1st round series 4-1 playoff loss last year. He didn't suit up once in their regular season series this year, hmm...Shorter series, less money, less time to get Luka back.

If Jazz win, they still finish bottom 5 and keep their top 8 protected pick.

So in short, if Lakers want to buy as much time to get Luka and Reaves back, I think their best bet is to face Houston. That seems like a possible 4-3 series whereas playing Wolves Lakers could get swept 4-0 or 4-1 loss with not enough time for Luka to come back. The diff bt/w a quick series and a long series is 5 extra days.

And a Lakers loss pits Nuggs against Wolves in a death match.

@StraightWagers

 I didn't read your post, but I just wanted to say that I typed out something for every game today and this game and one other game were the only two that I had straight up money line underdog… I think it's at least 50-50, which are great odds

@StraightWagers

Indiana Pacers ML

NY Knicks +588 

@StraightWagers

You posting today 

BOL today 

That's an interesting way to look at it.

Wouldn’t James just sit if that were the case?

It’s the NBA… imagine jokic getting +9.5 points because he needs to play 15 minutes before the season ends to be eligible for rewards. 

Nailed it. Looking forward to the playoffs coming in hot like I am 

FML 

I do wonder what that Lakers/Hou series price will be? 

Denver should start losing now so they could take 4th seed and Hou.

Their game would be finished late. Just hand Fakers to Min...

Next time you have a thought. Forget it. Should have gave out suns nuggets and Celtics you would be the bball guru 

@football_007

 that'd be awesome right!

I tend to overthink things and am wondering with the proliferation of gambling are the smart bettors now the lemmings? Meaning, back in the day 10-15 years ago those gamblers that put in the work got somewhat rewarded. Now it seems that has been factored in to the equation as everyone has access to the same info (expect those truly in the know) and now the smart gamblers are getting skinned alive. The proclivity of favs to the over used to be squares, now not so much. I wonder if I'm being set up by over thinking the obvious.

Lakers game finished. It's up to Denver to decide who they want 1st round Hou or Min...with 2+ mins left to play lead down to 6...

@football_007

Nuggs chose Wolves and Spurs over Hou and OKC...I guess nobody wants OKC

Took them San +11 live as I wrote and cashed...

I must be drunk, how do Blazers get 8 seed when they tied w Clips and lost the tiebreaker via division record?

They're not in the same division so yes the conference record is where they get 8th seed over Lac.