INTRODUCTION

Good afternoon everyone.  Scrolling this site and watching the way people bet everyday really concerns me.  I have posted a few parlays that I hit here and there, but my betting strategy is completely different to the most followed bettors on this site.  It's virtually impossible to consistently bring in an income betting 5-10 games a day.  There's just not that much value on the board everyday.  In reality betting this way will ultimately run you into the ground after a bad week because all bettors feel the need to win it back.  I'd like to introduce my way of betting to you.  I only lay my bets on what I like to call "The Perfect Storm"  1-3 bets a day max, but most of the time it's only 1.  There are several guide lines I look for:

1) Hot streaks.  Which team is hot, which players are hot.  And which are on their down slopes.

2) Off the field distractions.  Which players or coaches are publically under heavy criticism.  Which teams chemistry is disrupted by off the field issues.

3) Injuries.  Injuries can completely change the game.  Looking at how deep a bench is, who is stepping in in their place.  Who is playing with an injury that may disrupt their level of play.

4) Road/Home performances.  Look for a team that just flat out plays their asses off at home.  Or a team who just plain sucks on the road.  Which players play better on the road or at home.  What kind of atmosphere does the stadium/arena bring.

5) Placement of game: did the better team just come off of an emotional win?  Do they have a divisional game/rival the following week.  Did they just get done playing a sunday night game and now have to turn around and play Thursday.  Are they on a 5 game road trip playing back to back games.  Are they only home for one game and then leaving the next day to travel across the country.  Are they a west coast team playing at 1:00 on the east coast.  All of these factors come into play.

6) Weather.  Wind, rain, snow, cold, hot.  You gotta know your team's strengths.  Are they a great defensive team, do they run the ball or throw the ball.  Is the running back a power back or someone who relys heavily on cuts.  Does the quarterback throw a tight ball or not.  The history of certain players and teams in different weather conditions.  Taking all of this into account.

7) Studying the Line.  Often times teams will be oddly favored or only favored by a few points.  These are things to take into account.  But should only be reviewed heavily depending on all the previous factors.  Sometimes when a blow-out is impending, vegas will give an odd line.  This often times attracts bettors to the team who is going to get blown out.  PAY ATTENTION TO ALL FACTORS.

8) Line movement.  Know your line movement.  Know how many points it's moved since the line was introduced.  Know whether it's smart to stay away given the amount of points, or jump on quick before they shave you.  This is the difference between a half point win and loss.

FINALLY:  Look at all 8 factors.  It's not enough for one or two to line up.  You have to wait for a bet that matches multiple factors.  Those bets are what are called the perfect storm.  These are the type that so often come in.  Over the last 2 years I've been averaging between 2-3,000 a month betting 100 dollar bets.  It's not KILLER money, but I only make 60,000 a year at my job and I have kids.  That's an extra 30,000 dollars a year or more.  I'm sure you're sick of hearing me ramble now, so I'll just go ahead and get into my pick/picks.

I've already studied pretty thoroughly early this morning and over my lunch break.  I'll post within the next hour.

Let's hope we can end 2014 on a great note and 2015 can be as good if not better than 2014.  Feel free to join me in making some money this year and years coming.

-Shane

Big mismatch here tonight between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Sacramento Kings.  The bucks just got news of their star rookie Jabari Parker going down for the season due to an ACL injury.  While both teams have been on losing streaks.  The kings started the year one of the hottest teams with Demarcus Cousins staking his claim as a candidate for a possible MVP award at the end of the season.  With Cousins playing, the Kings were 10-4 atop the division.  4-2 at home with their only losses coming to Golden State and a really tough game against the Hornets where A-Davis went off.  Their wins at home came against San-Antonio, Chicago, Denver, and Portland.  All VERY good teams.  This will be cousins first game back during an 0-3 homestand.  The return of cousins will give the kings plenty of energy for their last game at home while the loss of jabari parker and the injury to Henson Milwaukee's center will be a big concern down under.  The Bucks have had a decent road trip with surprising victories over the suns and clips, but this was before the loss to one of their star players and on a back to back night, they will be running out of gas with the extra effort they have to put in to replace the loss of Henson and Parker.  If the shots aren't falling for the bucks, this one could get VERY ugly fast.

Kings -6

Will look over football but this is my for sure perfect storm game for tonight.

jrgumpert, you're playing throwing your money at a "bad team without cousins" vs. another bad team and it sounds like the only justification was that sacramento was at home.  Detroit has a lot of good young players, they stick with most teams but have a hard time finishing games.  You have to consider all factors...scroll up and read my first post.  Then decide if it's a good place to place your bet.