Alright if you have seen my CBB thread you know how much I love system bets and trends. I rode favorites losing at half for about 500U profit. lol. I wanted to show you this.
Luongo has come up with a system for NBA. You can see it in the sytems and strategies forum.
So this is Luongo's system:
Take NBA games.....Go over past 5 games of each team. Take the total points of each team in game scored in first half and figure average (add them up and divide by 5) Then add the two teams average. If it was under the total set for 1half then play it.
Well the system went 1-2 last night and 2-3 tonight. It is 16-9 overall. But check this out. I noticed this today. If the under does not hit then double your bet on 2half. It makes sense because if they score more than their average 1Half then they should slow down by 2Half. So here is how it played out today. If you put $100 on each system play and double down for each loss this is what you would have ended with today.
Sac/Clev 1Half Under 102 $100
Sac/Clev 2half Under 93.5 $200
Den/Orl 1Half Under 104.5 $100
Port/OKC 1Half Under 96 $100
Port/OKC 2Half Under 94 $200
Phx/Minn 1Half Under 113.5 $100
GS/LAC 1Half Under 115.5 $100
GS/LAC 2Half Under 114 $200
Final record for day!
5-3 +$500 (Vig $80)
Net Profit $420
It is a little more juice ($30 more juice) But other than the $30 it would be the same as going 5-0.
Every one that didn't hit 1Half hit 2Half. I am going to follow this until it costs me money!
I am not for sure if this system will hit everytime. Could be a coincidence but that is also what I thought about betting on favorites losing at half and taking them for 2half and I rode that money train from +130U to +785U. But then also didn't get off in time and rode it down 100U. Lol. Just pointing it out. Who knows it might hit the rest of season this way. Just something to keep an eye on.
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
So I wanted to share this with everyone.
Alright if you have seen my CBB thread you know how much I love system bets and trends. I rode favorites losing at half for about 500U profit. lol. I wanted to show you this.
Luongo has come up with a system for NBA. You can see it in the sytems and strategies forum.
So this is Luongo's system:
Take NBA games.....Go over past 5 games of each team. Take the total points of each team in game scored in first half and figure average (add them up and divide by 5) Then add the two teams average. If it was under the total set for 1half then play it.
Well the system went 1-2 last night and 2-3 tonight. It is 16-9 overall. But check this out. I noticed this today. If the under does not hit then double your bet on 2half. It makes sense because if they score more than their average 1Half then they should slow down by 2Half. So here is how it played out today. If you put $100 on each system play and double down for each loss this is what you would have ended with today.
Sac/Clev 1Half Under 102 $100
Sac/Clev 2half Under 93.5 $200
Den/Orl 1Half Under 104.5 $100
Port/OKC 1Half Under 96 $100
Port/OKC 2Half Under 94 $200
Phx/Minn 1Half Under 113.5 $100
GS/LAC 1Half Under 115.5 $100
GS/LAC 2Half Under 114 $200
Final record for day!
5-3 +$500 (Vig $80)
Net Profit $420
It is a little more juice ($30 more juice) But other than the $30 it would be the same as going 5-0.
Every one that didn't hit 1Half hit 2Half. I am going to follow this until it costs me money!
I am not for sure if this system will hit everytime. Could be a coincidence but that is also what I thought about betting on favorites losing at half and taking them for 2half and I rode that money train from +130U to +785U. But then also didn't get off in time and rode it down 100U. Lol. Just pointing it out. Who knows it might hit the rest of season this way. Just something to keep an eye on.
Nice Just make sure that your double up bet doesn't break the bank if it doesn't cover. Over time, with proper money management and discipline, the system will work.
0
Nice Just make sure that your double up bet doesn't break the bank if it doesn't cover. Over time, with proper money management and discipline, the system will work.
702underdog Thanks man. It only doubles up once so if one lost out of three that needed doubled up on today we would still be ahead $100. If two lost second half then we lose money lol. But also Luongo's system alone is 16-9 so if we only have to double on the nine and hit 6 out of nine plus the profits from other 7. We should be lookin pretty good!
-Tical- I will post these plays here and see what happens. I will not be doing most of work though. I am getting plays from Luongo's system in the system and strategies forum. He is the one doing all the math. I don't want to take all credit. He came up with initial system. I just added the 2half double up. Again this is first day and could have been a coincidence that all teams that fell into system and broke the system hit for 2half but I will ride it until I lose money. And I will post so you can follow. I hope it continues!
0
702underdog Thanks man. It only doubles up once so if one lost out of three that needed doubled up on today we would still be ahead $100. If two lost second half then we lose money lol. But also Luongo's system alone is 16-9 so if we only have to double on the nine and hit 6 out of nine plus the profits from other 7. We should be lookin pretty good!
-Tical- I will post these plays here and see what happens. I will not be doing most of work though. I am getting plays from Luongo's system in the system and strategies forum. He is the one doing all the math. I don't want to take all credit. He came up with initial system. I just added the 2half double up. Again this is first day and could have been a coincidence that all teams that fell into system and broke the system hit for 2half but I will ride it until I lose money. And I will post so you can follow. I hope it continues!
thanks for bringing this to the attention of the forum-- looks good man, just make sure you have a decent size bankroll cuz for instance today say all 5 of those don't hit the 1h then you're chasing all 5 for the 2nd half...
so at halftime you're sitting (-110 odds for example) 0-5 -5.5 units
then you're throwing out 10 units for the 2nd halves... let's go w/ an 0-5 on that as well (very rare!), but then you're down 11 units
down 16.5 units just on the day... that's pretty rare, but if you play at 2% of your bankroll it looks like this could be money for the rest of the season,, thanks for the info
0
thanks for bringing this to the attention of the forum-- looks good man, just make sure you have a decent size bankroll cuz for instance today say all 5 of those don't hit the 1h then you're chasing all 5 for the 2nd half...
so at halftime you're sitting (-110 odds for example) 0-5 -5.5 units
then you're throwing out 10 units for the 2nd halves... let's go w/ an 0-5 on that as well (very rare!), but then you're down 11 units
down 16.5 units just on the day... that's pretty rare, but if you play at 2% of your bankroll it looks like this could be money for the rest of the season,, thanks for the info
. Will you be posting the plays prior to games Photoguy? Or I guess I could say...will you do all of the work so I can follow? Haha.
doesn't sound like a lot of work.. for example.. cleveland and sac-town go through there past 5 game totals, add them up individually & then average
any data on playin' over 1h??? I'm gonna look into this a little bit more in detail as it looks like something interesting to track-- Good job finding this man!
0
Quote Originally Posted by -Tical-:
. Will you be posting the plays prior to games Photoguy? Or I guess I could say...will you do all of the work so I can follow? Haha.
doesn't sound like a lot of work.. for example.. cleveland and sac-town go through there past 5 game totals, add them up individually & then average
any data on playin' over 1h??? I'm gonna look into this a little bit more in detail as it looks like something interesting to track-- Good job finding this man!
ldub004 I do agree to make sure you have the bankroll for it because like any trend it could bite you in the ass one day. We always hope it wont but no one should have their whole account pending on any system. I do know that he plays a few overs as well. I am going to have to write him and have him break down exactly what his system is that his record is 16-9 with. I know yesterday he was on Bulls over 1Half but I didn't look at over for 2half. I will check that out here in a sec and come back. Again guys this system is very new to me as well. Today was first day so could be a coincidence. But like I say with any trend, if it makes sense roll with it until it costs you then slow your roll. Quit playing and watch and see if it picks back up. If it doesn't wait til you find the next one.
-Tical-
702underdog I am going to have to write him and find out exactly what makes a play a play (how many points) But I do agree that with an average of 105 probably not smart to play under 105.5.
0
ldub004 I do agree to make sure you have the bankroll for it because like any trend it could bite you in the ass one day. We always hope it wont but no one should have their whole account pending on any system. I do know that he plays a few overs as well. I am going to have to write him and have him break down exactly what his system is that his record is 16-9 with. I know yesterday he was on Bulls over 1Half but I didn't look at over for 2half. I will check that out here in a sec and come back. Again guys this system is very new to me as well. Today was first day so could be a coincidence. But like I say with any trend, if it makes sense roll with it until it costs you then slow your roll. Quit playing and watch and see if it picks back up. If it doesn't wait til you find the next one.
-Tical-
702underdog I am going to have to write him and find out exactly what makes a play a play (how many points) But I do agree that with an average of 105 probably not smart to play under 105.5.
Alright I have only posted plays for CBB this year and have not posted NBA. I have posted every day of the season. So I will be counting these system plays against my cbb record. My units are $50U. I am not good at picking sides but I have found a few trends that have done well for me.
Here is record so far.
YTD: 505-449-16 +562U
YTD Vig -110.1U
Net Units +452.1
0
Alright I have only posted plays for CBB this year and have not posted NBA. I have posted every day of the season. So I will be counting these system plays against my cbb record. My units are $50U. I am not good at picking sides but I have found a few trends that have done well for me.
I would think that taking an average of last 5 is a little too generalized for me. I think an average of teams last 4 or 5 head to head should be figured in too. Also, many teams home/away averages can be very different. Recent(last 5), head to head, and last 5 road or home I think would be good to go in the equation as well.
0
I would think that taking an average of last 5 is a little too generalized for me. I think an average of teams last 4 or 5 head to head should be figured in too. Also, many teams home/away averages can be very different. Recent(last 5), head to head, and last 5 road or home I think would be good to go in the equation as well.
kkoma I was also thinking of breaking down in quarters. I keep an eye on that as well.
702underdog I agree that probably more in depth looks into teams might be more profitable. I was also thinking of looking at how much they allowed opponents to score over last 5 games as well. But I agree the teams they are playing in the last 5 games could be a huge factor.
0
kkoma I was also thinking of breaking down in quarters. I keep an eye on that as well.
702underdog I agree that probably more in depth looks into teams might be more profitable. I was also thinking of looking at how much they allowed opponents to score over last 5 games as well. But I agree the teams they are playing in the last 5 games could be a huge factor.
Guys the system rydaphotguy is talking about is not legit he was lucky yesterday, I am still testing this so don't get to excited, I always do testing before i put the system in effect. When i think it will be profitable i will then say so, but lately its just like anything it has its ups and downs
0
Guys the system rydaphotguy is talking about is not legit he was lucky yesterday, I am still testing this so don't get to excited, I always do testing before i put the system in effect. When i think it will be profitable i will then say so, but lately its just like anything it has its ups and downs
oddsbusters I think it is worth keeping an eye on and hopefully we can figure something out that will work.
Buildinstacks
Luongo I want to thank you for coming up with system. I am going to ride it as long as I make money and do understand that it probably has its ups and downs. I definitely feel a lot less comfortable with system now that you have said this. I know you have done a lot of work and studies into the system. After yesterday though I have to roll with it today! Even if it was luck. I will ride it out.
0
cburk I will definitely look into that!
oddsbusters I think it is worth keeping an eye on and hopefully we can figure something out that will work.
Buildinstacks
Luongo I want to thank you for coming up with system. I am going to ride it as long as I make money and do understand that it probably has its ups and downs. I definitely feel a lot less comfortable with system now that you have said this. I know you have done a lot of work and studies into the system. After yesterday though I have to roll with it today! Even if it was luck. I will ride it out.
Alright if my figures are correct which I am pretty sure they are....These are the plays.
Tor/Cha Average: 99.2 Line set at 100..... No play
Sas/Njn Average: 97.4 Line set at 98......No play
LAL/NOH Average: 94.2 Line set at 102.....Play the under
Den/Dal Average: 99.8 Line set at 104.5.....Play the under
NYK/Utah Average: 110.2 Line set at 111......No play
So two plays today. If team loses the first half then put 2U on 2half. I am nervous of Lakers though. Even though average is low. Last three games have been high scoring but we will see how it plays out.
LAL/NOH 1Half Under 102 1U
Den/Dal 1Half Under 104.5 1U
0
Alright if my figures are correct which I am pretty sure they are....These are the plays.
Tor/Cha Average: 99.2 Line set at 100..... No play
Sas/Njn Average: 97.4 Line set at 98......No play
LAL/NOH Average: 94.2 Line set at 102.....Play the under
Den/Dal Average: 99.8 Line set at 104.5.....Play the under
NYK/Utah Average: 110.2 Line set at 111......No play
So two plays today. If team loses the first half then put 2U on 2half. I am nervous of Lakers though. Even though average is low. Last three games have been high scoring but we will see how it plays out.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.