I have nearly perfected a martingale system with incredible results. Do not think that all martingales are the same because they are not. This is not an endless legged martingale where you need to take out a second mortgage on your home for the final leg. Read on if you're still interested. If you cringe at the mere thought of doubling your wager, simply move on.
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So, here is the basis of the model. The wagers are 4-legged because the system wagers on NBA quarters. The model wins 1-unit per match, and risks (~20 units) if we lose all 4 legs. Risk according to your bankroll... that being said, the record on this system stands at 83 wins - 1 loss (beginning 2/6/2021) with a +63 units p&l.
The system looks back at the last 14-days for each team and calculates the average quarters won and the percentage of at least 1 quarter being won. It also considers fatigue by taking into account how many games the team has played in the last 4 days, and whether they're playing a back-to-back match up.
When calculating your wagers, keep a good record going. The following is just an example when odds for the wager are -110 (American Odds) or 1.90 (Decimal Odds).
The way to calculate is using this formula:
Select 'To Win'. (NOT 'To Risk')
<wagers placed on the match so far> + <1 unit if won>
For example:
If odds are -110, the first quarter wager would be 1.1 units.
If we lost the 1Q, the next quarter would be <(wagers placed on the match so far) : 1.1> + <unit if won : 1> = 2.1 (TO WIN)
continued to 4Q, if it gets there.
I have taken a super conservative approach to this model and want to ensure the highest probability of success.
I'm done gambling.
I'm here to make money.
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