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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Dare I say this is the BIGGEST WRITE-UP Covers.com has ever seen? TANK-A-PALOOZA 2014! Bucks@Pistons

    «First Previous 456 ... 121314 Next Last»
    scalabrine
    MoreGeezer
    crazy1464
    BaggerVANCE
    darkmandave
    ...
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    «First Previous 456 ... 121314 Next Last»
     
    scalabrine
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 11:33 AM ET #76

    Quote Originally Posted by BaggerVANCE:

    I'm pretty sure the only way you'll get the answer "im 150% positive this wins" from Scal is when he steps out of his time machine and tells you he saw the game. Until then you have his confidence and a writeup, which is more than enough for most of us.
     

    Funny stuff here but don't take it like that.

    He didn't mean it like that in any way.
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    Quote Originally Posted by BaggerVANCE:

    I'm pretty sure the only way you'll get the answer "im 150% positive this wins" from Scal is when he steps out of his time machine and tells you he saw the game. Until then you have his confidence and a writeup, which is more than enough for most of us.
     

    Funny stuff here but don't take it like that.

    He didn't mean it like that in any way.
     
    MoreGeezer
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 11:35 AM ET #77

    I think it will be safer to bet 50% on ml and 50 on spread....
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    I think it will be safer to bet 50% on ml and 50 on spread....
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 11:38 AM ET #78

    @tvorog
    @lonk
    @bakat
    @melos
    @moregeezer
    @oldschool
    @hoops

    Thanks for the kind words and glad you are all on board.

    Why do they call it tanking?

    Yes you are correct. It had to do with swimming pools which were synonymous with "tanks" and "taking a dive" literally and figuratively.
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    @tvorog
    @lonk
    @bakat
    @melos
    @moregeezer
    @oldschool
    @hoops

    Thanks for the kind words and glad you are all on board.

    Why do they call it tanking?

    Yes you are correct. It had to do with swimming pools which were synonymous with "tanks" and "taking a dive" literally and figuratively.
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 11:39 AM ET #79

    Quote Originally Posted by MoreGeezer:

    I think it will be safer to bet 50% on ml and 50 on spread....
    ML is for parlays if you like that sort of thing otherwise, there isn't much to be gained other than preserving bankroll with a small boost.
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    Quote Originally Posted by MoreGeezer:

    I think it will be safer to bet 50% on ml and 50 on spread....
    ML is for parlays if you like that sort of thing otherwise, there isn't much to be gained other than preserving bankroll with a small boost.
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 11:40 AM ET #80

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:


    Take it down a notch, friend. There is a lot of history here that you may not be aware of. I picked the Pistons to beat the Sixers and they lost big (so my comment about people laughing at me is in reference to that). And the stuff about setting money ablaze is in response to Scal's analogy of the circles of hell. And no, I'm not asking Scal for advice on how much money I should put down as I locked in my bet last night at 6 (the line is now at 6.5) and I put down exactly the amount that wouldn't make me vomit (which was a spot on by you:). I ask Scal because as gamblers we like the feeling of being in it together. I risked a considerable sum, about 10 % of my current bankroll and I was just curious about how much he put down. So yeah, take it down a notch. Now excuse me while I go vomit.

    all understood already....
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    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:


    Take it down a notch, friend. There is a lot of history here that you may not be aware of. I picked the Pistons to beat the Sixers and they lost big (so my comment about people laughing at me is in reference to that). And the stuff about setting money ablaze is in response to Scal's analogy of the circles of hell. And no, I'm not asking Scal for advice on how much money I should put down as I locked in my bet last night at 6 (the line is now at 6.5) and I put down exactly the amount that wouldn't make me vomit (which was a spot on by you:). I ask Scal because as gamblers we like the feeling of being in it together. I risked a considerable sum, about 10 % of my current bankroll and I was just curious about how much he put down. So yeah, take it down a notch. Now excuse me while I go vomit.

    all understood already....
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 11:42 AM ET #81

    @jail 
    @LV

     

    **** ;)
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    @jail 
    @LV

     

    **** ;)
     
    crazy1464
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 11:47 AM ET #82

    Good luck!
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    Good luck!
     
    BaggerVANCE
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 12:12 PM ET #83

    sorry if I came off as rude BB, I guess sometimes my use of hyperbole isn't well delivered and it gets the better of what I'm trying to say, so disregard it. for the record I enjoyed your writeup of pistons/sixers and jumped onboard with you, definitely saw it going similarly to how you did so don't pay any mind to the children casting stones with their 20/20 hindsight. the vomit comment, while somewhat of a joke, seems like a more reasonable approach than what many of us have resorted to when we are on our worst tilts so maybe I'll hold onto that.. in either case like you said we are all in it together. BOL
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    sorry if I came off as rude BB, I guess sometimes my use of hyperbole isn't well delivered and it gets the better of what I'm trying to say, so disregard it. for the record I enjoyed your writeup of pistons/sixers and jumped onboard with you, definitely saw it going similarly to how you did so don't pay any mind to the children casting stones with their 20/20 hindsight. the vomit comment, while somewhat of a joke, seems like a more reasonable approach than what many of us have resorted to when we are on our worst tilts so maybe I'll hold onto that.. in either case like you said we are all in it together. BOL
     
    BaggerVANCE
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 12:12 PM ET #84

    sorry if I came off as rude BB, I guess sometimes my use of hyperbole isn't well delivered and it gets the better of what I'm trying to say, so disregard it. for the record I enjoyed your writeup of pistons/sixers and jumped onboard with you, definitely saw it going similarly to how you did so don't pay any mind to the children casting stones with their 20/20 hindsight. the vomit comment, while somewhat of a joke, seems like a more reasonable approach than what many of us have resorted to when we are on our worst tilts so maybe I'll hold onto that.. in either case like you said we are all in it together. BOL
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    sorry if I came off as rude BB, I guess sometimes my use of hyperbole isn't well delivered and it gets the better of what I'm trying to say, so disregard it. for the record I enjoyed your writeup of pistons/sixers and jumped onboard with you, definitely saw it going similarly to how you did so don't pay any mind to the children casting stones with their 20/20 hindsight. the vomit comment, while somewhat of a joke, seems like a more reasonable approach than what many of us have resorted to when we are on our worst tilts so maybe I'll hold onto that.. in either case like you said we are all in it together. BOL
     
    darkmandave
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 12:36 PM ET #85

    Well put my bet in last night I don't usually back garbage teams but I back my boy with the writes up scalbarine. Excellent read as always lets cash this gem.
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    Well put my bet in last night I don't usually back garbage teams but I back my boy with the writes up scalbarine. Excellent read as always lets cash this gem.
     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 12:37 PM ET #86

    No hard feelings, Bagger. Thought your bike analogy was clever and funny. BOL, friend.
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    No hard feelings, Bagger. Thought your bike analogy was clever and funny. BOL, friend.
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 12:57 PM ET #87

    @crazy
    @darkman

    Always a pleasure
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    @crazy
    @darkman

    Always a pleasure
     
    RyanHardy
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 1:00 PM ET #88

    Great write up, my betting knowledge expands with each of your posts.  On it with you
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    Great write up, my betting knowledge expands with each of your posts.  On it with you
     
    Jailbait7127
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 1:11 PM ET #89

    I don't want the end of this day to bring the statement to my head. Wish I bet bigger. But then if it doesn't go as planned I don't want to say I should of bet smaller. Lol. Help
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    I don't want the end of this day to bring the statement to my head. Wish I bet bigger. But then if it doesn't go as planned I don't want to say I should of bet smaller. Lol. Help
     
    SDBolts1
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 1:18 PM ET #90

    WHY DOES EVERYONE LISTEN TO THIS GUY HE DOESN'T KNOW A THING FADE AT ALL COSTS!!!!

    Lets get this line down Scal! Awesome writeup as always and appreciate the time and effort. I'm going LARGE.... on the bucks lol 
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    WHY DOES EVERYONE LISTEN TO THIS GUY HE DOESN'T KNOW A THING FADE AT ALL COSTS!!!!

    Lets get this line down Scal! Awesome writeup as always and appreciate the time and effort. I'm going LARGE.... on the bucks lol 
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 1:27 PM ET #91

    I'd like to add one more thing for those still wavering.

    The bucks have not won 2 in a row all year.

    They just beat the Lakers 2 games ago. 

    They won 2 of 3 (this game would qualify as a 2 wins of 3 of they win) twice this year.

    Once was when they were 2-2, when there was still hope.

    The other was in December last year:

    They beat the Wizards in OT and then 4 days later beat the Bulls.


    What was unique about that Bulls team?

    They couldn't beat ANYONE at that time. They lost to the Knicks Pelicans Cavs Jazz and even the Pistons. But the Pistons thrashed them by 17 while the Bucks only beat them by 4.

    On 4/13, Mike Dunleavy finally got his team off the schneid with a game winning three against, you guessed it: the Bucks in Milwaukee. And I am telling you the Bulls were a complete mess back then.

    4 games later the Bulls won 16 of 20 after a brutal stretch of OKC Rockets and Toronto.

    So it could be argued the Bucks served as yet ANOTHER jumping off Win-point for the teams I mentioned in the OP : (the Knicks and kings used the Bucks as theirs too). These are bad teams using the worst of the worst to set their season down the straight and narrow...just like the Pistons...who can get ONE win here.

    The Bucks are the anecdote for the ailing teams.


    Less impressively, and maybe not surprisingly, the Bucks haven't beat a single team over .500 at the time they played them all season. Not one. Every win is against trash, and the bulls, their best win all year, were trash when they beat them.

    The pistons? Wins over the Spurs, the suns, at the Heat, at the Pacers.

    Who cares? Listen it shows Detroit has something (rebounding, scoring options, a front line etc) to win a big game, a game of import. Again, both the Bucks and Pistons are frauds as the OP says.

    But all that in the OP, all the negatives of the Bucks and the non-negatives of the Pistons (I won't use the word 'positives') for this ONE NIGHT, add up to a Pistons win and cover.


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    I'd like to add one more thing for those still wavering.

    The bucks have not won 2 in a row all year.

    They just beat the Lakers 2 games ago. 

    They won 2 of 3 (this game would qualify as a 2 wins of 3 of they win) twice this year.

    Once was when they were 2-2, when there was still hope.

    The other was in December last year:

    They beat the Wizards in OT and then 4 days later beat the Bulls.


    What was unique about that Bulls team?

    They couldn't beat ANYONE at that time. They lost to the Knicks Pelicans Cavs Jazz and even the Pistons. But the Pistons thrashed them by 17 while the Bucks only beat them by 4.

    On 4/13, Mike Dunleavy finally got his team off the schneid with a game winning three against, you guessed it: the Bucks in Milwaukee. And I am telling you the Bulls were a complete mess back then.

    4 games later the Bulls won 16 of 20 after a brutal stretch of OKC Rockets and Toronto.

    So it could be argued the Bucks served as yet ANOTHER jumping off Win-point for the teams I mentioned in the OP : (the Knicks and kings used the Bucks as theirs too). These are bad teams using the worst of the worst to set their season down the straight and narrow...just like the Pistons...who can get ONE win here.

    The Bucks are the anecdote for the ailing teams.


    Less impressively, and maybe not surprisingly, the Bucks haven't beat a single team over .500 at the time they played them all season. Not one. Every win is against trash, and the bulls, their best win all year, were trash when they beat them.

    The pistons? Wins over the Spurs, the suns, at the Heat, at the Pacers.

    Who cares? Listen it shows Detroit has something (rebounding, scoring options, a front line etc) to win a big game, a game of import. Again, both the Bucks and Pistons are frauds as the OP says.

    But all that in the OP, all the negatives of the Bucks and the non-negatives of the Pistons (I won't use the word 'positives') for this ONE NIGHT, add up to a Pistons win and cover.


     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 1:30 PM ET #92

    @ryan - that is the goal
    @jail - just bet whatever won't make you vomit as BB says
    @SD - you've paid the bookies for my payout before, take the Bucks and you will again
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    @ryan - that is the goal
    @jail - just bet whatever won't make you vomit as BB says
    @SD - you've paid the bookies for my payout before, take the Bucks and you will again
     
    melossinglet
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 1:49 PM ET #93

    damn,98% on detroit ML and 92% detroit spread on public consensus and its the second most heavily bet game of the day....oh well,looks like if we win so does EVERYBODY else
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    damn,98% on detroit ML and 92% detroit spread on public consensus and its the second most heavily bet game of the day....oh well,looks like if we win so does EVERYBODY else
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 2:06 PM ET #94

    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    damn,98% on detroit ML and 92% detroit spread on public consensus and its the second most heavily bet game of the day....oh well,looks like if we win so does EVERYBODY else

    Knick games always look like that! The Kings game opened at Kings -2 and closed at Knicks -2.5. Insane for a line to be that off.

    The Nets game  where they won by 30 opened at -2.5 Nets and closed at -2.5 Knicks.

    That was all public money and the Knicks won easily the first time and had a 24 point lead in the kings game to close it out by 8.

    Doesn't bother me in the least where the public money is on this. It has nothing to do with how the game will play out.

    Matter of fact, I hope more public money comes in.

    My bet is in and I hope this write up makes Vegas pay even more.
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    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    damn,98% on detroit ML and 92% detroit spread on public consensus and its the second most heavily bet game of the day....oh well,looks like if we win so does EVERYBODY else

    Knick games always look like that! The Kings game opened at Kings -2 and closed at Knicks -2.5. Insane for a line to be that off.

    The Nets game  where they won by 30 opened at -2.5 Nets and closed at -2.5 Knicks.

    That was all public money and the Knicks won easily the first time and had a 24 point lead in the kings game to close it out by 8.

    Doesn't bother me in the least where the public money is on this. It has nothing to do with how the game will play out.

    Matter of fact, I hope more public money comes in.

    My bet is in and I hope this write up makes Vegas pay even more.
     
    All_Day
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 2:10 PM ET #95

    Sweet Jesus, I just read this whole thread. Love the write up. I too lost big on the det/sixers game and the cavs/nets game. Time to get it back!!! DETROIT!!!
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    Sweet Jesus, I just read this whole thread. Love the write up. I too lost big on the det/sixers game and the cavs/nets game. Time to get it back!!! DETROIT!!!
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 2:27 PM ET #96

    Ok MORE ON EX BUCK BRANDON JENNINGS:

    He goes crazy in these games vs. Milwaukee:

    Last 3

    30 points 4 Assists
    15 points 13 assits
    17 points 11 assaits 6 rebounds

    The Bucks have no one to put on this guy and he really likes to burn them and intensify their misery...to offset his own.

    If he comes to play tonight, and it looks like he most certainly will, especially after getting ejected last game. The guy can put up 30 and will be amped to play. He can counter Knight who is an ex-piston and might also be the leading scorer for the Bucks. That and a huge Detroit front line to gobble up all the rebounds should be enough to smother the Bucks.


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    Ok MORE ON EX BUCK BRANDON JENNINGS:

    He goes crazy in these games vs. Milwaukee:

    Last 3

    30 points 4 Assists
    15 points 13 assits
    17 points 11 assaits 6 rebounds

    The Bucks have no one to put on this guy and he really likes to burn them and intensify their misery...to offset his own.

    If he comes to play tonight, and it looks like he most certainly will, especially after getting ejected last game. The guy can put up 30 and will be amped to play. He can counter Knight who is an ex-piston and might also be the leading scorer for the Bucks. That and a huge Detroit front line to gobble up all the rebounds should be enough to smother the Bucks.


     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 2:35 PM ET #97

    Quote Originally Posted by All_Day:

    Sweet Jesus, I just read this whole thread. Love the write up. I too lost big on the det/sixers game and the cavs/nets game. Time to get it back!!! DETROIT!!!

    I bet you're the only guy on covers who read the entire OP and the entire thread.
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    Quote Originally Posted by All_Day:

    Sweet Jesus, I just read this whole thread. Love the write up. I too lost big on the det/sixers game and the cavs/nets game. Time to get it back!!! DETROIT!!!

    I bet you're the only guy on covers who read the entire OP and the entire thread.
     
    winorlose
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 2:38 PM ET #98

    Scalabrine.... Are you a retired English teacher... Your write ups make me want to play your picks so badly because you put so much effort posting..  You lost your last long write up play but I noticed you rarely loose 2 in a row...  I have a nice size parlay I want to close.. I was just thinking of using a HUGE FAVIORITE and play the money line but that would be like kissing a 1st cousin.. I want to win big or bust... I may not even hedge the last play..  I thought I had a winner yesterday when Kayle163 had Michigan GOY but then Frank White picked Kentucky GOY..   My question to you with the excellent write up... IS DETROIT A SOLID PLAY TO CLOSE MY PARLAY.. Win or lose I WILL BASH YOU IF IT LOSES.. I trust your opinion...

    Thanks for posting !!!

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    Scalabrine.... Are you a retired English teacher... Your write ups make me want to play your picks so badly because you put so much effort posting..  You lost your last long write up play but I noticed you rarely loose 2 in a row...  I have a nice size parlay I want to close.. I was just thinking of using a HUGE FAVIORITE and play the money line but that would be like kissing a 1st cousin.. I want to win big or bust... I may not even hedge the last play..  I thought I had a winner yesterday when Kayle163 had Michigan GOY but then Frank White picked Kentucky GOY..   My question to you with the excellent write up... IS DETROIT A SOLID PLAY TO CLOSE MY PARLAY.. Win or lose I WILL BASH YOU IF IT LOSES.. I trust your opinion...

    Thanks for posting !!!

     
    spach79
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 2:40 PM ET #99

    Scal, does it bother you at all that everyone and their brother is on Detroit today? I have read the whole thing and i am completely convinced that Detroit is the play. I am just asking as i dug a hole and am getting ready to pull the trigger on a pretty big bet (uncharacteristic for me) But your plays are the ones that come closest to the sure thing so this came at the right time (I hope :))
    Thanks.....always appreciate your write-ups.
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    Scal, does it bother you at all that everyone and their brother is on Detroit today? I have read the whole thing and i am completely convinced that Detroit is the play. I am just asking as i dug a hole and am getting ready to pull the trigger on a pretty big bet (uncharacteristic for me) But your plays are the ones that come closest to the sure thing so this came at the right time (I hope :))
    Thanks.....always appreciate your write-ups.
     
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 31, 2014 - 2:48 PM ET #100

    Quote Originally Posted by winorlose:

    Scalabrine.... Are you a retired English teacher... Your write ups make me want to play your picks so badly because you put so much effort posting..  You lost your last long write up play but I noticed you rarely loose 2 in a row...  I have a nice size parlay I want to close.. I was just thinking of using a HUGE FAVIORITE and play the money line but that would be like kissing a 1st cousin.. I want to win big or bust... I may not even hedge the last play..  I thought I had a winner yesterday when Kayle163 had Michigan GOY but then Frank White picked Kentucky GOY..   My question to you with the excellent write up... IS DETROIT A SOLID PLAY TO CLOSE MY PARLAY.. Win or lose I WILL BASH YOU IF IT LOSES.. I trust your opinion...

    Thanks for posting !!!

    Yes it is solid. They will win. The number is the only issue.

    If you want a sure fire bet with very little to worry about, play the ML.

    If you want to go big and win for a cash out with some risk, although that risk is minimal, play the side ATS.

    As I said I am firmly confident this pick will hit. I wouldn't have stayed up until 2:40 am (got up for work at 7am) writing it if I didn't.

    My ideal is capping games with very low spreads. Therefore you are only capping a win.

    But you can't have everything in life. To me, 6 is a very kind line. 7.5, where I thought it could be, would be unkind (not that I think it would fall inside 7 just that it's more points for a backdoor).

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    Quote Originally Posted by winorlose:

    Scalabrine.... Are you a retired English teacher... Your write ups make me want to play your picks so badly because you put so much effort posting..  You lost your last long write up play but I noticed you rarely loose 2 in a row...  I have a nice size parlay I want to close.. I was just thinking of using a HUGE FAVIORITE and play the money line but that would be like kissing a 1st cousin.. I want to win big or bust... I may not even hedge the last play..  I thought I had a winner yesterday when Kayle163 had Michigan GOY but then Frank White picked Kentucky GOY..   My question to you with the excellent write up... IS DETROIT A SOLID PLAY TO CLOSE MY PARLAY.. Win or lose I WILL BASH YOU IF IT LOSES.. I trust your opinion...

    Thanks for posting !!!

    Yes it is solid. They will win. The number is the only issue.

    If you want a sure fire bet with very little to worry about, play the ML.

    If you want to go big and win for a cash out with some risk, although that risk is minimal, play the side ATS.

    As I said I am firmly confident this pick will hit. I wouldn't have stayed up until 2:40 am (got up for work at 7am) writing it if I didn't.

    My ideal is capping games with very low spreads. Therefore you are only capping a win.

    But you can't have everything in life. To me, 6 is a very kind line. 7.5, where I thought it could be, would be unkind (not that I think it would fall inside 7 just that it's more points for a backdoor).

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