Daily Situational Plays

2-2 & a push last night. Tonight

Jazz + 3.5  =  Memphis after scoring 116 or more with a total of 230 or greater 0-18 ATS in a row

Pacers + 1.5 = Quick revenge spot & Washington an incredible 1-41 on BTB last 42 attempts.

Lakers - 6.5 = Clippers off a last minute win over the Nuggets & Lakers have been on fire as a home favorite lately.

BOL!!

Cmon LAKESHOW

damn

When you lose 2 games with trends that are 18-0 & 41-1 ATS. I think the gambling Gods might be trying to send you a message. The odds of losing both those games might calculate to something like 500 to 1 against. The only thing I can say is this. If I had to bet those games with the same circumstances again today. I would make the same exact wagers. There's nothing else to say. Gambling is a combination of skill & luck. One might have all the skill in the world, but if you are running cold. It won't matter. The only good news is this. I've been down this road many times before. Luck does tend to even out in the long run. I know that doesn't help your wallet in the short term, but that's why money management is vital when wagering on sporting events. There should be light at the end of the tunnel. When will that light reappears? I can't promise. Meanwhile, I'm going to hold myself on a short leash. If we don't bounce back soon, I'll have to take a break & re-evaluate the strength of simply following strong trends. Tonight

76ers ML  = I don't want to get hooked by the number. Road Favorites on Losing Streak = 90-24 on the ML

Knicks - 3.5 == The Knicks are one of the best bounce-back teams after a blow-out loss.

Let's break out of this slump. But please don't press if following.

@Redlad

 Sage words of wisdom.

@umgmu

 @UglyKidJoe

I appreciate your support!  

@Redlad

It's really quite amazing. OK. This is my last gasp for air. If I don't have a winning day tonight. I'll have to change my strategy. Although I really don't think it would matter. When, the Gambling Gods don't want you to win. You Won't. It's really as simple as that. Tonight

Mavs - 1 = Teams having lost their last four games or more & are now road favorites 44-20-2 ATS (68.8%) in their L66 tries. (Not that it matters?)

Suns - 3     Teams win no cover, & play the following day have been a 60% fade over the last 5 years

Bulls + 11.  Same scenario as above, but traveling has made this trend a little stronger, You would think that the Knicks making a huge comeback in the 4th quarter would leave them a bit flat tonight. You would think??

Lakers + 1.5    ===== I have a friend that has been running as cold as me, & he bet the Celtics & Wizards. & since I can't fade myself, why not fade him.

Hornets - 10.5

Can we turn things around tonight? We'll see. 

It wasn't too long ago that you were threatening to shut down if people didn't slobber over your picks. Trends are your friends until they are not. 

@River_fish

I have no idea what you're talking about, "Slobbering over my picks" = When did I ever make that statement. BYW, If you have nothing positive to add to my threads == Please refrain from bring your negative energy. Thank You.

Last night 4-1 === Is the world coming to an end. I now demand that you all "Slobber Over My Picks" ???  

Favorites are 18-3 ATS run in the Spurs-Pistons non-conference set since February 2015

I'm going to buck the above trend because I do not like to bet on teams that come off a blowout win & are very small favorites. So. I'll go.

Spurs + 2

Teams having won their last five games or more but are playing as underdogs against elite teams with a win pct >= 65% are 35-18-1 to the Under last 54

This one I'll take a shot with

Spurs-Pistons Under 233.

BOL!

Last night 2-0 ==== Has the worm turned?? Could be. 6-1 last 7  Tonight I am only going for one play. Which is =

Lakers - 5

Despite their last loss, the Lakers have played very well as a home favorite this year. Also, their lack of scoring last game usually triggers a bounce-back game. 

Keep the slobbering up. It has really made a big difference. 

0-1 Lakers didn't get there yesterday. I'm not crazy about tonight's card, however.

Road favorites from 3.5 to 9.5 who have beat the spread by 24 or more points in their last 3 games in February are 50-18 ATS since 2017. This applies to the Spurs -6 (There is a contrarian trend of betting against teams who have won their last 8 games St-Up) However I think there is more value backing the Spurs because the oddsmakers seemed to have undervalued San Antonio because they played last night & are in a 3 gms in 4 nights scenario. We'll see

Final answer

Spurs - 6

BOL either way @Redlad 

@Redlad

 Seems like you make more of an argument to bet the raptors IMHO.

If spurs are down I'll bet the comeback try to get spurs plus a couple points though with your enthusiasm 

Get it REDLAD..appreciate your efforts

I'm going to add 2 more for a 1/2 a unit each.

Warriors - 3.5   Teams coming off 20 or more turn-overs tend to play well in their next game. 60% ATS

Pistons - 10   The Thunder have not played well in BTB situations this year. 1-9 ATS

@Macwestie1

 @umgmu

Thanks !

@PeAceMaKer7690

I just gave both sides of the argument one could make for betting either team. I chose the 71% trend over the 60% one. Likewise, I could be wrong. We'll see.

Yesterday 1-2    I'm running real late so I'll just post the plays. All these plays are backed by trends that have an at least 65% success rate over the last 10 years.

1. Blazers-Bulls Over 234

2. Pelicans-Jazz Over 244

3. Hornets - 13  = Briefly. Double revenge road favorite system

4. Pelicans - 6

5. Lakers - 5  == Home favorite loss how installed a road favorite very next game system.

I feel good about tonight's card. We're due for a bang-up night. 

Let's Go!!

Yesterday 3-2 a point away from being 4-1. Since I don't really like anything tonight I'll just post 1 play. I have a friend who plays one game a day. He does his homework but for some reason he hardly ever wins. He loses approximately 70% of the time over the last 3 years. I have named him Mr. Loser. Currently, he is on a 7 game losing streak. I hate to do it, but I have to fade him. Tonight he bet the Nuggets-Thunder Over. So my play will be

Nuggets-Thunder Under 234.

Another bad beat. It was Under in regulation time.  Maybe I should name myself Mr. Loser if I can't shake off these bad beat games.

Today he bet the Rockets - 3

We can get + 3.5 at the half. Let's see how this turns out.

Adding 

Lakers - 3.5 == Off divisional loss & now facing another divisional opponent 59% last 5 years.

Pelicans -5.5 == Bad teams favored on the road. 60% ATS

BOL!