Yesterday 2-1 & Mr. Loser does his thing. So for the trend followers a nice 3-1 day. Maybe a Fade is now due. We'll see. Tonight
76ers BTB no cover last game
Blazers - 8 === The sharps are on Philly so if you also like Portland, I would wait to just before game-time to bet.
Bet on road dogs. They are priced as not more than a 10-point underdog. They are coming off a game in which they were priced as a road underdog. They have won at least 15% of their games. The opponent is playing on back-to-back nights. If the game occurs after the all-star break, they improve to a 26-21 SU (55%) and 34-12-1 ATS
Jazz + 3.5
That's it for today. Follow or Fade. The choice is yours. I just supply the data. BOL! BYW. Mr. Loser bet an early game so no play there.
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Yesterday 2-1 & Mr. Loser does his thing. So for the trend followers a nice 3-1 day. Maybe a Fade is now due. We'll see. Tonight
76ers BTB no cover last game
Blazers - 8 === The sharps are on Philly so if you also like Portland, I would wait to just before game-time to bet.
Bet on road dogs. They are priced as not more than a 10-point underdog. They are coming off a game in which they were priced as a road underdog. They have won at least 15% of their games. The opponent is playing on back-to-back nights. If the game occurs after the all-star break, they improve to a 26-21 SU (55%) and 34-12-1 ATS
Jazz + 3.5
That's it for today. Follow or Fade. The choice is yours. I just supply the data. BOL! BYW. Mr. Loser bet an early game so no play there.
Yesterday 0-2 == A good day for the Faders. Tonight
Since January 1, games between teams in the same conference that went over the total last time they played with a total less than 238.5 in the rematch have gone 71-45-1 to the under (61.%)
Magic-Hawks Under 231.5
When the Rockets have been favored against Western Conference teams since Christmas, the under has gone 16-3 (84%)
Lakers-Rockets Under 234 === I've seen some sharp money coming in on the Under in this game. Was 233 than up to 226 now back down to 224.
After the 50th game of the season, when a road team is favored by 6 to 16.5 points, they’ve gone 702-509-21 (57.97%)
Spurs - 8
NBA teams off a previous day win but having allowed 120+ points have had their totals go Over 56-28-1 to the Over (66.7%) when on the road next game) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
Mavs-Pelicans Over 240.5
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been fantastic in the rare role of playing as road favorites, going 51-17 SU and 46-20-2 ATS (69.7%) in their last 68 tries.
Warriors -7
That's all folks. Follow or Fade. The choice is yours. Personally I only bet on the last 2 trends myself. Mr. Loser passed on tonight's card. BOL!
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Yesterday 0-2 == A good day for the Faders. Tonight
Since January 1, games between teams in the same conference that went over the total last time they played with a total less than 238.5 in the rematch have gone 71-45-1 to the under (61.%)
Magic-Hawks Under 231.5
When the Rockets have been favored against Western Conference teams since Christmas, the under has gone 16-3 (84%)
Lakers-Rockets Under 234 === I've seen some sharp money coming in on the Under in this game. Was 233 than up to 226 now back down to 224.
After the 50th game of the season, when a road team is favored by 6 to 16.5 points, they’ve gone 702-509-21 (57.97%)
Spurs - 8
NBA teams off a previous day win but having allowed 120+ points have had their totals go Over 56-28-1 to the Over (66.7%) when on the road next game) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
Mavs-Pelicans Over 240.5
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been fantastic in the rare role of playing as road favorites, going 51-17 SU and 46-20-2 ATS (69.7%) in their last 68 tries.
Warriors -7
That's all folks. Follow or Fade. The choice is yours. Personally I only bet on the last 2 trends myself. Mr. Loser passed on tonight's card. BOL!
Yesterday's Trends 0-3 Any of you guys who are going with regression & fading these trends are cleaning up. Even some of the most reliable trends of the past are going down. I've really never seen anything like this over the past 20 years. We move on. Tonight
Celtics after winning a low scoring game 20-1 to the Under
Warriors - Celtics Under 216.5
Team win no cover play very next day with travel. This trend didn't work yesterday but still over 60% ATS over the last 10 years.
Nets + 18.5 === A note of interest. No team in the history of the NBA has ever covered a point-spread over 17 points. 0-9 small sample size.
Well, if you don't fade these trends you're probably nuts. Fading has been a steady money-maker over the past month.
Whatever you decide to do, BOL! With your action. And remember I am just supplying the data. The only complaint you can have with me is if my data is incorrect, which I can assure you it's not. Until tomorrow.
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Yesterday's Trends 0-3 Any of you guys who are going with regression & fading these trends are cleaning up. Even some of the most reliable trends of the past are going down. I've really never seen anything like this over the past 20 years. We move on. Tonight
Celtics after winning a low scoring game 20-1 to the Under
Warriors - Celtics Under 216.5
Team win no cover play very next day with travel. This trend didn't work yesterday but still over 60% ATS over the last 10 years.
Nets + 18.5 === A note of interest. No team in the history of the NBA has ever covered a point-spread over 17 points. 0-9 small sample size.
Well, if you don't fade these trends you're probably nuts. Fading has been a steady money-maker over the past month.
Whatever you decide to do, BOL! With your action. And remember I am just supplying the data. The only complaint you can have with me is if my data is incorrect, which I can assure you it's not. Until tomorrow.
The trend considers the posted total of the last game, not the result. Anything under 217.5 is considered a low posted total. I hope this clears that up
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@rmajik
The trend considers the posted total of the last game, not the result. Anything under 217.5 is considered a low posted total. I hope this clears that up
No problem. I certainly could have been more clear in writing the trend. BYW, you might have noticed that the sharp money is on the Over. The total opened up at 214 & it is now up to 216.5
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@rmajik
No problem. I certainly could have been more clear in writing the trend. BYW, you might have noticed that the sharp money is on the Over. The total opened up at 214 & it is now up to 216.5
Yesterday's Trends went 0-2. As some of you have probably noticed. Fading these trends seem to be FREE MONEY. Regression is a real thing. In gambling as well as in life. I wonder how long this trend (of Fading the trends) will keep up? Eventually I imagine this current trend will have to reverse. At least one would think. But, until it does. Let's keep banging away with the FADE angle. Tonight
When Hornets play an above 500 team the under has hit 26 out of the last 38 times
Hornets-Magic Under 227
Large road favorites after the All Star break 26–10 ATS the last few years
Pistons - 14
Over the last 30 years 9 or higher favorites off a win versus a team off of a loss the Under has hit 58% of the time.
Suns-Spurs Under 228
An observation I made while watching the Lakers win over the Rockets. When James was interviewed after the game he mentioned how tired the team might be when traveling to Miami tonight.I'll take him at his word & play
Miami - 5
OK guys. You know what to do. Keep cashing on the Fade angle & BOL!
1
Yesterday's Trends went 0-2. As some of you have probably noticed. Fading these trends seem to be FREE MONEY. Regression is a real thing. In gambling as well as in life. I wonder how long this trend (of Fading the trends) will keep up? Eventually I imagine this current trend will have to reverse. At least one would think. But, until it does. Let's keep banging away with the FADE angle. Tonight
When Hornets play an above 500 team the under has hit 26 out of the last 38 times
Hornets-Magic Under 227
Large road favorites after the All Star break 26–10 ATS the last few years
Pistons - 14
Over the last 30 years 9 or higher favorites off a win versus a team off of a loss the Under has hit 58% of the time.
Suns-Spurs Under 228
An observation I made while watching the Lakers win over the Rockets. When James was interviewed after the game he mentioned how tired the team might be when traveling to Miami tonight.I'll take him at his word & play
Miami - 5
OK guys. You know what to do. Keep cashing on the Fade angle & BOL!
Knicks more than a 17 point favorite and last game blow-out versus Nets getting blown out.
Nets + 17.5
Atlanta on a huge winning streak & now on the road.
Rockets - 3
Nuggets great bounce-back team after a loss when favored by double digits last game.
Nuggets - 7
This season, underdogs of five or fewer points who played their last game on the road who also have a winning percentage of less than 50% and who score less points per game than the league average have gone 22-4 ATS (84.62%, +17.6u, 61.54% ROI) versus teams that made the playoffs last season and score more points per game than the league average.
Blazers + 2
That's all folks. Follow or Fade. Your choice. Let the chips fall where they may.
1
Yesterday's Trends 2-1 Of course === Tonight
Knicks more than a 17 point favorite and last game blow-out versus Nets getting blown out.
Nets + 17.5
Atlanta on a huge winning streak & now on the road.
Rockets - 3
Nuggets great bounce-back team after a loss when favored by double digits last game.
Nuggets - 7
This season, underdogs of five or fewer points who played their last game on the road who also have a winning percentage of less than 50% and who score less points per game than the league average have gone 22-4 ATS (84.62%, +17.6u, 61.54% ROI) versus teams that made the playoffs last season and score more points per game than the league average.
Blazers + 2
That's all folks. Follow or Fade. Your choice. Let the chips fall where they may.
Celtics - 9.5 = Celtics's one of the better teams coming off a straight-up loss.
Suns + 4.5 == Suns off a double-digit loss. Teams in this situation only 55%ATS this year, but traditionally have been a good investment through the years.
Suns-Raptors Under 220.5 === A friend of mine whose red-hot likes this play.
Mr. Loser is on Connecticut - 4.5 in the NCAA tournament. Warning Mr. Loser is 50-50 so far this year. His best showing in the last 10 years.
BOL & today.
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Yesterday's trends went 2-0 & a push 7-2 last 9
Celtics - 9.5 = Celtics's one of the better teams coming off a straight-up loss.
Suns + 4.5 == Suns off a double-digit loss. Teams in this situation only 55%ATS this year, but traditionally have been a good investment through the years.
Suns-Raptors Under 220.5 === A friend of mine whose red-hot likes this play.
Mr. Loser is on Connecticut - 4.5 in the NCAA tournament. Warning Mr. Loser is 50-50 so far this year. His best showing in the last 10 years.
OK == Let me clean this up a little. What it should have read is
Celtics coming off a loss against the T-Wolves last time they met. Celtics are a very good revenge team when trying to avenge a team they have lost to last time they played.
Suns are coming off a loss where they were a double-digit favorite last game.
I'm concentrating on the NCAA tournament, so I typed today's trends in a rush. = Sorry for the confusion.
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@MrFreedo
OK == Let me clean this up a little. What it should have read is
Celtics coming off a loss against the T-Wolves last time they met. Celtics are a very good revenge team when trying to avenge a team they have lost to last time they played.
Suns are coming off a loss where they were a double-digit favorite last game.
I'm concentrating on the NCAA tournament, so I typed today's trends in a rush. = Sorry for the confusion.
Key injuries: Cade Cunningham OUT (collapsed lung), Isaiah Stewart OUT (calf), Marcus Sasser OUT (hip). Detroit is missing their franchise player and two rotation guys.
Situational edge: Lakers on a 9-game win streak. Last meeting in December was a blowout loss for LA, so there is a revenge element. Luka and LeBron have been clicking offensively. Line at -2 feels light given the personnel gap tonight.
Also like the under in a few of the blowout spreads (OKC/WAS, ATL/BKN) since starters will rest in garbage time.
1
Monday situational play: Lakers -2 @ Detroit
Key injuries: Cade Cunningham OUT (collapsed lung), Isaiah Stewart OUT (calf), Marcus Sasser OUT (hip). Detroit is missing their franchise player and two rotation guys.
Situational edge: Lakers on a 9-game win streak. Last meeting in December was a blowout loss for LA, so there is a revenge element. Luka and LeBron have been clicking offensively. Line at -2 feels light given the personnel gap tonight.
Also like the under in a few of the blowout spreads (OKC/WAS, ATL/BKN) since starters will rest in garbage time.
Bet against team on an 8 or winning streak if playing on the road
Pistons + 2
76ers + 16.5
Bet on teams coming off a very close loss
Heat + 4
Bet against the Warriors when they are small favorites on the road.
Mavericks + 2
2025 Pistons Under’s as Small Favorite/Dog25-6-1 to the under
Lakers - Pistons Under 226
My friend who is hot took the Grizzlies + 14
I'm not in front of my computer, so I wasn't able to list all the trend results. Trends have been hot lately, but that doesn't mean it must continue. Take what you like & leave the rest. I do not play all of these listed trends myself. BOL !
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Yesterday's Trends 2-2 Today
Bet against team on an 8 or winning streak if playing on the road
Pistons + 2
76ers + 16.5
Bet on teams coming off a very close loss
Heat + 4
Bet against the Warriors when they are small favorites on the road.
Mavericks + 2
2025 Pistons Under’s as Small Favorite/Dog25-6-1 to the under
Lakers - Pistons Under 226
My friend who is hot took the Grizzlies + 14
I'm not in front of my computer, so I wasn't able to list all the trend results. Trends have been hot lately, but that doesn't mean it must continue. Take what you like & leave the rest. I do not play all of these listed trends myself. BOL !
Knicks - Pelicans Over 229.5 =This has to do with a team coming off a blowout playing a team off a straight-up Loss
Denver - 6 Strong away road favorites after game 70 of the season preform well 58% ATS
Magic + 10.5 Cavs have been terrible double-digit favorites so far this season 10-24 ATS
That's it for tonight = Follow or Fade. The choice is yours. Remember I only supply the data & do not play all of these trends unless they agree with my own numbers.
BOL!
1
Yesterday's Trends 2-3 Tonight
Knicks - Pelicans Over 229.5 =This has to do with a team coming off a blowout playing a team off a straight-up Loss
Denver - 6 Strong away road favorites after game 70 of the season preform well 58% ATS
Magic + 10.5 Cavs have been terrible double-digit favorites so far this season 10-24 ATS
That's it for tonight = Follow or Fade. The choice is yours. Remember I only supply the data & do not play all of these trends unless they agree with my own numbers.
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Any of you guys who are going with regression & fading these trends are cleaning up. Even some of the most reliable trends of the past are going down. I've really never seen anything like this over the past 20 years. We move on. Tonight
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