Posted:
#1
NBA YTD: 159-111-6
Week: 12-4
Last Night: 6-2 (Minnesota pending)
Our Christmas is looking good and finally breaking free from last week's dry spell. On to Wednesday games...
Here's the play of the day/week/month/ or whatever you may want to call it = OVER 205.0. Boston is scoring in bunches now and can hit 100 easy. Against a team with little resistance in defense, they can get to 100 pretty much with a couple more minutes to spare in the 4th. They may be a stingy bunch allowing only 89.4 in their last 5 games but good luck stopping a team scoring 116 points their last 5 shooting close to 50% in FG and draining more 3's than any other teams in the league. I believe this game will easily hit 200 points so I suggest get the number early before it hit say 27 or 208 near game time. As for the side, make no mistake. New York is hot and streaking but not one team in the list (except perhaps New Orleans) are elite/playoff teams. Boston Celtics -3.0 is the play. New York will definitely give them a run for their money and wouldn't be surprised if this game goes down the wire. Heat still struggles against a good defensive team that rebounds the ball and does not commit many turnovers. The better team still wins in the end.
You gotta love the 76ers playing back to back which may almost always translate to a slower pace which is good for the UNDER 192.0. Not to mention they are playing a Clippers team who many does not see turning to be a defensive team. I guess that's how Coach VDN roll. I think it suits them well since they have limited option and really lacks creativity in offense. Anyway, 76ers shouldn't be laying too many points to persistent teams like the Clippers. I'm taking Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 because they can stick it close to the 76ers. Philadelphia is better in almost all categories except for rebounding. I'm following my gut here for the clippers bet than the stats. Stat-wise, you'd see the 76ers is the right play. Given the home-road record, ATS-wise and the home winning trend for the 76ers.
Miami Heat -17.5. And on to the next game to cap...
Won't be playing any of the Charlotte@Memphis game. I just couldn't get a good read off this team as I did last year. I'm leaning Grizz and Under here as the Cats never carries the intensity and momentum of a win to the next game this season.
8 points is a bit too many against a team gaining momentum after a 0-5 start. They are now 10-9 since then. Houston has played the Thunders good the last few seasons and even if they are short handed, Rick Adelman has always find ways to make his team work. His bench is responding well and his players definitely knows their role in the team that's why success is slowly coming their way. The Thunders are slowly returning to their playoff form last year. Perhaps the pressure of performing is off their back and is now focusing more on the important things which is just playing and winning the game. I'm playing Houston Rockets +8.0. They are just about even in offensive efficiency to keep up with OKC and get away with the cover.
Milwaukee has won 4 of its last 5 games and those were against playoff teams. I like the chance of Milwaukee Bucks +9.0 covering than the Spurs since they travel to Denver the next day and wouldn't risk to running too much. Good think Bucks pairs that 93.4 pace factor with a 99.7 defensive efficiency which is identical to the spurs' number. Jennings can pretty much cancel out Tony Parker and Bogut to Duncan leaving the RJ to either the lengthy Mbah a Moute or to Maggette. Ginobli will be key here if San Antonio is to blow them out. But with the way Skiles handled the team in Dallas after suffering a 20+ deficit in the middle of the game, I'm pretty confident that the Bucks goes to San Antonio and compete like they did in Dallas.
As for the later games, I'm playing Phoenix Suns -9.5 and Portland Trailblazers +7.0 and still debating with myself if I should take the Por@Dal UNDER 186 now.
What do you think fellas?
BOL.
Week: 12-4
Last Night: 6-2 (Minnesota pending)
Our Christmas is looking good and finally breaking free from last week's dry spell. On to Wednesday games...
Here's the play of the day/week/month/ or whatever you may want to call it = OVER 205.0. Boston is scoring in bunches now and can hit 100 easy. Against a team with little resistance in defense, they can get to 100 pretty much with a couple more minutes to spare in the 4th. They may be a stingy bunch allowing only 89.4 in their last 5 games but good luck stopping a team scoring 116 points their last 5 shooting close to 50% in FG and draining more 3's than any other teams in the league. I believe this game will easily hit 200 points so I suggest get the number early before it hit say 27 or 208 near game time. As for the side, make no mistake. New York is hot and streaking but not one team in the list (except perhaps New Orleans) are elite/playoff teams. Boston Celtics -3.0 is the play. New York will definitely give them a run for their money and wouldn't be surprised if this game goes down the wire. Heat still struggles against a good defensive team that rebounds the ball and does not commit many turnovers. The better team still wins in the end.
You gotta love the 76ers playing back to back which may almost always translate to a slower pace which is good for the UNDER 192.0. Not to mention they are playing a Clippers team who many does not see turning to be a defensive team. I guess that's how Coach VDN roll. I think it suits them well since they have limited option and really lacks creativity in offense. Anyway, 76ers shouldn't be laying too many points to persistent teams like the Clippers. I'm taking Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 because they can stick it close to the 76ers. Philadelphia is better in almost all categories except for rebounding. I'm following my gut here for the clippers bet than the stats. Stat-wise, you'd see the 76ers is the right play. Given the home-road record, ATS-wise and the home winning trend for the 76ers.
Miami Heat -17.5. And on to the next game to cap...
Won't be playing any of the Charlotte@Memphis game. I just couldn't get a good read off this team as I did last year. I'm leaning Grizz and Under here as the Cats never carries the intensity and momentum of a win to the next game this season.
8 points is a bit too many against a team gaining momentum after a 0-5 start. They are now 10-9 since then. Houston has played the Thunders good the last few seasons and even if they are short handed, Rick Adelman has always find ways to make his team work. His bench is responding well and his players definitely knows their role in the team that's why success is slowly coming their way. The Thunders are slowly returning to their playoff form last year. Perhaps the pressure of performing is off their back and is now focusing more on the important things which is just playing and winning the game. I'm playing Houston Rockets +8.0. They are just about even in offensive efficiency to keep up with OKC and get away with the cover.
Milwaukee has won 4 of its last 5 games and those were against playoff teams. I like the chance of Milwaukee Bucks +9.0 covering than the Spurs since they travel to Denver the next day and wouldn't risk to running too much. Good think Bucks pairs that 93.4 pace factor with a 99.7 defensive efficiency which is identical to the spurs' number. Jennings can pretty much cancel out Tony Parker and Bogut to Duncan leaving the RJ to either the lengthy Mbah a Moute or to Maggette. Ginobli will be key here if San Antonio is to blow them out. But with the way Skiles handled the team in Dallas after suffering a 20+ deficit in the middle of the game, I'm pretty confident that the Bucks goes to San Antonio and compete like they did in Dallas.
As for the later games, I'm playing Phoenix Suns -9.5 and Portland Trailblazers +7.0 and still debating with myself if I should take the Por@Dal UNDER 186 now.
What do you think fellas?
BOL.
(master yoda impersonation tehehee)
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