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#1
4-0-1 so far. Hornets pending. Anyway, Atlanta -1.5 looks like a sucker bet any way I look at it. But considering that they won only 2 of their last 5 and lost 5 of its last 7 games, I'm beginning to think that they should've been the dog in this situation. The last time we saw something like this was against the Pacers and they are made a 1.5 point road fave. I think we're getting a treat here. Atlanta Hawks -1.5 is the play. Get this, the Hawks are actually living off on Road games (5-1) than at home (0-7 ATS, 3-4 SU). That's what's up. On the road they are given fishy short lines like the one in Indiana, -3 against Cleveland, -3.5 against the 76ers and as a 2.5 road dog against Memphis. New Jersey has been on the road for a week and will be checking their first game back home before leaving for Boston the next day. This situation makes it feel less of a home game for the Nets. don't worry about the minutes the Hawks starters' logged last night. They barely played so I guess they'll be fired up for tonight (well they don't have any fire in them the last 7 games). I think we'll see a game with the same pace like the ORL@SAS game tonight. Atlanta is shooting close to 50% on the road and averages close to 105ppg. Nets now plays real basketball as compared to last year and will have no problem getting up to 80-90 points against a team that allows 47% in FG. I'll step back on the OVER 190 for a bit. I think it still has a good posibility that this game ends on an 85-83 type of scoring with the way Atlanta's offense is now.
The first thing you ask yourself in the CLE@IND game is that will this be a let down spot for the Pacers? I say, why not? The last 8 Pacers games look like this W-L-W-L-W-L-w-L. LOL. Anyway, it's always good to bet against them after a good scoring night. It seems like they can't sustain the momentum. I don't know why but my gut feel is telling me that the Cavaliers is the play but stats and almost any other numbers and trends points at Indiana Pacers -4.5. I think the only thing that holds me back from putting a good one on this one is that Darren Collison is a bust (at least so far) and will be eating up TJ Ford's numbers (and he's playing real well) not to mention Dunleavy is back again. Indiana's interior can easily match with the Cavs' and a fast paced game will only be Indiana's advantage at home. I think this will be a fast paced game but still go under the total. Both teams will be shooting horrific-ly out there and stay say 6 to 7 points below the total. So if you're to play here I think I'd advise the UNDER 200.
Now my favorite team to cap. The only time the total will fly OVER easily is if Charlotte is winning this game and that's why the play will be on Charlotte Bobcats +3 / ML and OVER 204. Cats are finally the same team that made the run to the playoffs last season. They won 5 games their last 10 and averages a losing margin of only 4.6 points (lost by 5 or less against SA, ORL and UTA). Anyway, the play here is more against the Knicks. They came from a very successful West road trip (won 3 of 4 game) and playing the first game back for a home and home series. With the Cats' offense looking really good (50% FG and scoring 103ppg) in their last 5 games so I see them easily scoring with the Knicks. Last season, we saw both teams split the series 2-2 where the home team usually wins going against this trend seeing the Knicks are a horrible 1-3-1 ATS at home. The edge I give here for the Cats is they have very good 1 on 1 defenders in Wallace and Jackson (plus bangers who can swat shots in Ty and Nazr). Knicks will definitely work for their points here tonight.
Detroit Pistons +10.0 is definitely too much points for the Mavericks. Last year Pistons were always able to give the Mavs some problems and so they have always managed to keep games close. Also, double digit dogs has always been a nice money maker against defensive teams like the Mavs. Yes, I used defensive and Dallas in one sentence. Dallas is 4th in the league in points allowed per game and 6th in opponent's FG% (43%). Though they up their defense, their offense looked to suffer (but not in a bad way), they are 27th in the league in Points per game at 96.2. Pistons is trying to break away from the defensive team they were well known and has no problem scoring in bunches. I think with both teams' mentality, we'll see the Pistons get frustrated with the Dallas' defense and keep the scoring low. I won't be surprised to see the Pistons take a 5 or 6 point lead in the 1st half until they get blown out in the 2nd half and get the cover in the final quarter. UNDER 191 is enticing but I guess I'll pass since both teams could easily turn their offense on.
The moment you think the Lakers will blow another team out is the time they take the night off and just go with the motion and play to win the game in the final quarter. I think I'll jump on the LA train again. Los Angeles Lakers -8.5 and I'll be looking to fade the Bulls in their next few games as well. They've been on the road for a long time now and will playing 4 games in 5 nights. So it should be tough for them coming from Texas and diving straight into Kobe Land. I really don't know how to cap LA games anymore so I'm just playing them while they are hot.
What do you think fellas?
BOL.
The first thing you ask yourself in the CLE@IND game is that will this be a let down spot for the Pacers? I say, why not? The last 8 Pacers games look like this W-L-W-L-W-L-w-L. LOL. Anyway, it's always good to bet against them after a good scoring night. It seems like they can't sustain the momentum. I don't know why but my gut feel is telling me that the Cavaliers is the play but stats and almost any other numbers and trends points at Indiana Pacers -4.5. I think the only thing that holds me back from putting a good one on this one is that Darren Collison is a bust (at least so far) and will be eating up TJ Ford's numbers (and he's playing real well) not to mention Dunleavy is back again. Indiana's interior can easily match with the Cavs' and a fast paced game will only be Indiana's advantage at home. I think this will be a fast paced game but still go under the total. Both teams will be shooting horrific-ly out there and stay say 6 to 7 points below the total. So if you're to play here I think I'd advise the UNDER 200.
Now my favorite team to cap. The only time the total will fly OVER easily is if Charlotte is winning this game and that's why the play will be on Charlotte Bobcats +3 / ML and OVER 204. Cats are finally the same team that made the run to the playoffs last season. They won 5 games their last 10 and averages a losing margin of only 4.6 points (lost by 5 or less against SA, ORL and UTA). Anyway, the play here is more against the Knicks. They came from a very successful West road trip (won 3 of 4 game) and playing the first game back for a home and home series. With the Cats' offense looking really good (50% FG and scoring 103ppg) in their last 5 games so I see them easily scoring with the Knicks. Last season, we saw both teams split the series 2-2 where the home team usually wins going against this trend seeing the Knicks are a horrible 1-3-1 ATS at home. The edge I give here for the Cats is they have very good 1 on 1 defenders in Wallace and Jackson (plus bangers who can swat shots in Ty and Nazr). Knicks will definitely work for their points here tonight.
Detroit Pistons +10.0 is definitely too much points for the Mavericks. Last year Pistons were always able to give the Mavs some problems and so they have always managed to keep games close. Also, double digit dogs has always been a nice money maker against defensive teams like the Mavs. Yes, I used defensive and Dallas in one sentence. Dallas is 4th in the league in points allowed per game and 6th in opponent's FG% (43%). Though they up their defense, their offense looked to suffer (but not in a bad way), they are 27th in the league in Points per game at 96.2. Pistons is trying to break away from the defensive team they were well known and has no problem scoring in bunches. I think with both teams' mentality, we'll see the Pistons get frustrated with the Dallas' defense and keep the scoring low. I won't be surprised to see the Pistons take a 5 or 6 point lead in the 1st half until they get blown out in the 2nd half and get the cover in the final quarter. UNDER 191 is enticing but I guess I'll pass since both teams could easily turn their offense on.
The moment you think the Lakers will blow another team out is the time they take the night off and just go with the motion and play to win the game in the final quarter. I think I'll jump on the LA train again. Los Angeles Lakers -8.5 and I'll be looking to fade the Bulls in their next few games as well. They've been on the road for a long time now and will playing 4 games in 5 nights. So it should be tough for them coming from Texas and diving straight into Kobe Land. I really don't know how to cap LA games anymore so I'm just playing them while they are hot.
What do you think fellas?
BOL.
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