Posted:
#1
5-3 Friday. 40-45 YTD. Almost back. Here's for Saturday, again I'd love to hear your thoughts on the games:
Chicago Bulls -3.5
If the Hawks aren't tired after their last two games (or say playing the 5th game in 6 nights), then they have one hell of a conditioning coach. Going to ride the Bulls here on a sucker looking line but I'm going to bite. It shouldn't be as close as their game earlier in the season.
Lean: Indiana Pacers -9.0
I like Pacers here playing at home. Cats will have to contend with a formidable front court tonight and Tyrus Thomas' arrival will take say 2 or 3 more games for him to really be relevant. I see the Cats having a rough time here with the bigger Pacers team playing with momentum. This team can really defend but what worries me is the Pacers sometimes plays down to their opponent and when that happens they rarely blow out the competition.
Lean: Philadelphia 76ers -10.0
Gotta go with the team playing well at the moment. 76ers saw huge improvements from last year and they don't look like they are offensively challenged anymore. They are getting good support from their bench and the getting good production from Spencer Hawes. I really like the 76ers especially when they are at home but what makes me think twice is because the Raptors (so far) plays better (and shoots better) on the road than they do at home. They even hit those 3s far better so getting 10 on a team that can stretch the floor (on near 50% FG and 41% on 3s) is pretty much like a gift not to mention they are trying to play defense now. Then again, Raps' past road games were against the Knicks (horrible D), Magic (they were really stroking then), and the Cavs (first game of the season and barely had any perimeter D). The only team that played good D against them was the Mavs and they lost by 13. I see the game going like that with the 76ers playing good D on them.
San Antonio Spurs -4.0
I think this is the best play for Saturday even if they do not have Ginobli. Spurs plays well against the Nuggets and playing at home gives me even more confidence to back them up. It was never a secret that the Nuggets are bad on the road and still holds true. Spurs holds the edge on the starting V here maybe except for the SF position. You also got to love it when one of the Spurs' big three goes down. There is always someone stepping up to take on the missing production. Spurs will try to get a win here before they travel to OKC the next day. I don't think they'd look ahead to such game.
Lean: Dallas Mavericks -10.0
Really now, after leading for the most parts of the game only to end up losing by 8 won't sit well with this young team. The frustration should eat them up. Not to mention Eric Gordon will be out till early February. I like the Mavs at home but they can't really be trusted. They are yet to get a real rotation out of their roster but I can tell they are getting to it. Give or take, say, 7 to 10 more games and they'll be gunning again. Good thing the Hornets are just that bad that I can stomach laying 10. Here's something to get confidence from though: Dallas averages a winning margin of 12-points.
MIL/LAC UNDER 194.0
This is more of a gut feel play than anything else. I got this feeling that the Bucks will try to slow it down and not get into the Clipshow's pace here or they won't stand a chance. They'll get dominated with their lack of size. The Bucks can do it with all the scrappy players they have and I see them getting somewhere around 85 points. The Clippers for most part will have success on their half court play and will most likely get to 100. If the Bucks find success slowing the tempo I see a 104-89 type of win here which really is if you push it close to the total.
Golden State Warriors -3.0
I think Steph Curry will be out again. It's better to give that aggravated ankle sprain extended rest than force to play it. Playing the home team here. The Jazz has always been a different team on the road than they are at home. Home team also plays better at home and should follow the strong showing last night against the Lakers with another good effort here.
BOL.
Chicago Bulls -3.5
If the Hawks aren't tired after their last two games (or say playing the 5th game in 6 nights), then they have one hell of a conditioning coach. Going to ride the Bulls here on a sucker looking line but I'm going to bite. It shouldn't be as close as their game earlier in the season.
Lean: Indiana Pacers -9.0
I like Pacers here playing at home. Cats will have to contend with a formidable front court tonight and Tyrus Thomas' arrival will take say 2 or 3 more games for him to really be relevant. I see the Cats having a rough time here with the bigger Pacers team playing with momentum. This team can really defend but what worries me is the Pacers sometimes plays down to their opponent and when that happens they rarely blow out the competition.
Lean: Philadelphia 76ers -10.0
Gotta go with the team playing well at the moment. 76ers saw huge improvements from last year and they don't look like they are offensively challenged anymore. They are getting good support from their bench and the getting good production from Spencer Hawes. I really like the 76ers especially when they are at home but what makes me think twice is because the Raptors (so far) plays better (and shoots better) on the road than they do at home. They even hit those 3s far better so getting 10 on a team that can stretch the floor (on near 50% FG and 41% on 3s) is pretty much like a gift not to mention they are trying to play defense now. Then again, Raps' past road games were against the Knicks (horrible D), Magic (they were really stroking then), and the Cavs (first game of the season and barely had any perimeter D). The only team that played good D against them was the Mavs and they lost by 13. I see the game going like that with the 76ers playing good D on them.
San Antonio Spurs -4.0
I think this is the best play for Saturday even if they do not have Ginobli. Spurs plays well against the Nuggets and playing at home gives me even more confidence to back them up. It was never a secret that the Nuggets are bad on the road and still holds true. Spurs holds the edge on the starting V here maybe except for the SF position. You also got to love it when one of the Spurs' big three goes down. There is always someone stepping up to take on the missing production. Spurs will try to get a win here before they travel to OKC the next day. I don't think they'd look ahead to such game.
Lean: Dallas Mavericks -10.0
Really now, after leading for the most parts of the game only to end up losing by 8 won't sit well with this young team. The frustration should eat them up. Not to mention Eric Gordon will be out till early February. I like the Mavs at home but they can't really be trusted. They are yet to get a real rotation out of their roster but I can tell they are getting to it. Give or take, say, 7 to 10 more games and they'll be gunning again. Good thing the Hornets are just that bad that I can stomach laying 10. Here's something to get confidence from though: Dallas averages a winning margin of 12-points.
MIL/LAC UNDER 194.0
This is more of a gut feel play than anything else. I got this feeling that the Bucks will try to slow it down and not get into the Clipshow's pace here or they won't stand a chance. They'll get dominated with their lack of size. The Bucks can do it with all the scrappy players they have and I see them getting somewhere around 85 points. The Clippers for most part will have success on their half court play and will most likely get to 100. If the Bucks find success slowing the tempo I see a 104-89 type of win here which really is if you push it close to the total.
Golden State Warriors -3.0
I think Steph Curry will be out again. It's better to give that aggravated ankle sprain extended rest than force to play it. Playing the home team here. The Jazz has always been a different team on the road than they are at home. Home team also plays better at home and should follow the strong showing last night against the Lakers with another good effort here.
BOL.
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