Cleveland +7.5 NBA Finals - Game 5

I get a boner just looking at the line for GS -5.5 at home.  The least GS has won against Cle this year in Oakland is the magic number 6.  Then by 15.  Then by 33.  It seems to climb right by about 9pts in between?  Not so fast...

Also, that magic number 6 is key here.  Line should be at least 6 to 6.5.  Why lower than all the win-by points at home this year?  Think hard, wake up and don't fall victim to the system.

I am getting the feeling that GS is going to have a terrible game 5. They won't be ready to play....

I don't think Cavs will be offered at +10 at any point in this one.

Could be wrong but I would not take that chance personally here in this particular game. Normally it can be a great strategy though

I hear you guys on the reverse psychology angle....but not this time. Vegas cannot be that predictable where they would do the same thing in this situation every time. This time the cavs will use Green out, to their advantage. It wont be like the OKC where he played and then OKC wins.

I even said that in my OKC write up that part of the reason for my play was that they left Draymond in, and the psychological angle. In this case I believe it will be the exact opposite and books are happy to see people over think it like that!

Even with this news...Public still gonna be on GS here! Books know that as well

OKC was different situation they were at home and the public had already started jumping ship to the thunder side.

Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81:

MGM is completely off the mark on the new script.  Draymond is suspended, everyone and their mother bets Cavs game 5 thinking they bring it back to game 6 in Cleveland.  Yet Warriors win by double digits and fool the public again Don't fall for the reverse double script MGM!

I just provided reasoning in my previous post as to why your theory doesn't hold water...

We are in a completely different situation. Last game they left Dray in, because they wanted GS action, as public was on OKC.

Here public ALREADY on the dubs, they had no reason to remove green, other than to help the cavs wins. And they know here, the public will still be on dubs.

So hopefully this makes sense to you.

That's part of the point. Everyone and their mom has futures on GS. It wouldn't seem right to me if books let everyone win that easily. GS winning would definitely be a silver platter handout...and I just don't see it happening again this year.

Year after year dubs cannot continue to win. That's the reality of it

l like the UNDER here. I probably won't play the total though as I don't want to ruin the play that I'm sure of.

Under comes to mind here first though..

Games between these two teams in Oakland are always low scoring. And my main point about this game 5 is that I see Cleveland leading wire to wire (practically, maybe GS gets an early lead)

I also see a 50 pt game coming from James at some point in this series though...so if that happens in game 5, it could very well go over.

But I see bad offensive night for Golden state which should easily keep this game under. But the question is, will they play the similar defense without green in the line up? If so, then you can count on an under I think,

105 to 98 is the highest score I would guess here which happens to be 2 pts under

Quote Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:

Yeah...why would the defending champs, who just set an NBA record for wins and a chance to go back-to-back...why would they be ready to play??  MORON 

lol I said "Feeling" that means there doesn't have to be any logic behind it. If I have the feeling, it probably means something.

But of course there are reasons why GS wont come to play here. It's a close out game, so GS wont put in the effort that Cleveland will put in. Close out games are always the toughest.

I don't know why...but I am just seeing a very bad shooting night from Golden State. I don't see them breaking 100 here.

Hope I am right because for cavs to win, obviously GS will need to play badly.