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BULLS on PARADE!

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Posted: #29

Quote Originally Posted by nepatriots_12:

gl buddy...like the Bulls too...opened at -4 and it dropped to -3 at Pinny...worry you at all?


Well, I think it's back up now, so -3 is very solid value

 
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Posted: #30
My local has Portland -15.5 
 
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Posted: #31

Quote Originally Posted by Consilience:



Without looking at this game in depth, one thing that sticks out to me initially is the Bulls shooting percentage against the Kings tonight; Over 61% fg and over 70% from beyond the arc. It seems to me tomorrow presents a likely regression offensively for the Bulls.  

Oh yes, of course.  Hawks are much better defensively than the Kings.  But 180 is a fairly low total, and these teams have been playing to the OVER in Atlanta over the past few seasons. 

 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

#2: Portland Trailblazers OFF

This line is OFF right now but I expect it to be around -13/-14 in the morning. I will take the Blazers are that number. Washington is coming off a big win as an underdog vs New Jersey. This team is 0-7 ATS off an upset win as a dog this year and 7-30 ATS in the last couple of years. Having to travel from Washington to Portland is another factor here that favors the Blazers. Bottom line, I expect this to be a big 'let-down' game for the Wizards, similar to the Raptors last night, after their big win @ Okie City. I know Washington beating the Nets does not really qualify as a 'big' win, but when you're a team that lost 13 of your last 14 games, ANY win is 'BIG'.

In any case, Blazers are coming into this game off a loss of their own, in LA. They had a chance to win at the end but just couldn't execute in the 4th. I expect them to get some 'revenge' tonight. Speaking of 'revenge', the Wizards actually beat Portland in the first meeting, early in the season. I expect McMillan to remind the players about that, to ensure that they don't take this game lightly. The Blazers have a lot of depth, size, and are actually playing for the playoffs. They will be more motivated in this game, and I expect them to get a comfortable 20+ win in this one.

Good luck!

Update!  Took Blazers -15.5

I know I expected line to be around -14 or so, so 1.5 points more is probably due to a number of guys on Washington expected to miss this one.  I see Blazers winning this game by 20+.

Good luck tonight fellas!

 
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Posted: #33
Bodio IF you had to pick a lock of the month.... would any of your picks today be it??
 
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Quote Originally Posted by mtbaker:

I really like your Blazers play.

Bulls not too sure about that one.  Can't really fade the Bulls but I think the Hawks come out to play tomorrow.  The Hawks have beaten the Bulls after being down in ATL and already hung around with the Bulls in the 1st Half in Chi town.  I just have a feeling the Hawks won't go down after having a players' meeting to fix their problems after Miami blew em out and being on TNT Tuesday on national TV makes me think that they won't go away without a fight.  Line reversed too.  Hope the Bulls win as I got a future on em and would like to see em take 1st place.

GL 

Yeah, I'm not doubting that Hawks will come to play, but so will the Bulls.  Rose remembers that meltdown in Atlanta, last time they played there, and I'm sure Mr. MVP won't let it happen again.  I see Bulls with another advantage on the 'boards' in this one as their defense should dominate here again. 

 
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Posted: #35
GL.
 
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Posted: #36
Best of Luck Bodio , hopefully  a 2-0 tonight 
 
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Get it!!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #39

Quote Originally Posted by lockedupbets:

no one is concerned about the b2b games? if u guys haven't noticed yet about the trend of b2b games. chi have been a victim of it as well after the all-star break. just check out the game against indiana, they were blown out after winning a blow out the night before

Not sure if I would consider it a blow-out agains the Pacers.  Indiana had 'triple-revenge' in that game, and Bulls were coming off a road game in New Jersey, that also came down to the 4th quarter.  It was a tough spot. 

I think today's situation is slightly different, as Bulls played at home last night, it was a fairly easy game, and D-Rose and Co. remember the 'meltdown' that took place last time they played in ATL.  Basically, from my analysis I feel that Chicago dominated Atlanta twice already even though they're 1-1 against them.  Outscoring the Bulls 50-30 in a half, with your top player having a 'career' game, is not something that happens on a regular basis.  I don't see it happening today

 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by YungMoolah:


Well firstly they didn't win in a blowout vs NJ the night before, the game was tied with 4 minutes left in the 4th, Chicago ended up pulling away in the final minutes of the 4th to win. 

Secondly they didn't get blown out vs the pacers, the game went into OT where they lost.

Thirdly hardly any of their starters logged many minutes and were able to rest in the 4th Q, thus the b2b is not as much of an impact as it would of been if the game came down to the wire and the starters all played big minutes.

I should have just read your response prior to responding to the question above :)

 
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Posted: #41

Quote Originally Posted by hammer22:

This is the NBA.....where crazy motherfucking shit happens on a nightly basis.

Chicago looks way to easy tonight and we all know what happens when these gems are on the board in the NBA. I can just see it now Joe Johnson stealing a inbound pass with ATL down 6 and drains a 3 ball at the buzzer to screw all Bulls backers.

I have a feeling tonight will be one of those nights where whatever you think is going to happen....it goes the complete opposite, typical nba shit.

good luck man

Possibly.  That's why NOONE can be 60%+ betting sports long-term!  Agree with that 100%.

Things don't always go as we 'see it' but that's the beauty of sports.

I know Hawks had an all-player meeting, but frankly, I'm not so sure how much of an impact it will have for this game. Atlanta knows they don't have the talent to compete with the top 4 teams in the East.  That was evident for years now.  Signing Joe Johnson to a max contract was a huge mistake, as he's just not worth it and is more of a secondary player, not someone who can win a championship on his own.  Will they play hard today?  Absolutely.  But so will the Bulls. 

I think Celts and Bulls will play really hard the rest of the way as neither team wants to see the Heat earlier than they have to.  April 7th game on TNT between Boston and Chicago should be a great one, and could decide this thing. 

 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by DetroitPlaya23:

When it seems to small, it usually goes under...IMO

I would say 50/50  ;)

 
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Posted: #43

Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Definitely agree that the numbers point to the Bulls, although I was a Hawks backer earlier in the year when they had that 50-30 2H... Like the Portland play as well but I hate laying that many points. Washington TT UNDER might be something to consider as an alternate play if you doing like laying that much juice

Yeah, Wash TT UNDER could be a good 'value' play.

Hopefully there is no 'meltdown' by the Bulls tonight

 
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Posted: #44

Quote Originally Posted by iNeedSomePicks:

Bodio IF you had to pick a lock of the month.... would any of your picks today be it??

No, because locks only exist on doors, not in sports betting  :)

 
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Posted: #45

Some interesting RLM in the Bulls game as the line is coming back down to -3.5/-4

 

 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

No, because locks only exist on doors, not in sports betting  :)

i was just saying IF you had to pick a lock of the month(like IF you had a gun pointed to your head and they said "we will give you 1 pick (-110) if you pick right u live... if you pick wrong u die) 
 
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IM Looking for your most confident pick..... with in the next 2 months.... 
 
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Posted: #48
i like the bulls game. should be close, but -4 looks good to me.

i'm laying off the trailblazers -15.5. i don't see a 30 point win here, and once they are up by 20 or so they are going to put the bench in and let them make a game out of it. i see it far too often.

i think if the trailblazers are blowing them out at the half, a 2nd half washington bet may be in order.

BOL BODIO! I LOVE YOUR WRITE UPS!
 
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I love the bulls at -3.5...great line value...As long as the portland line stays at -15.5. that's good because their power rating at home is 102 and washington power rating on the road is 86. Bulls is probably the best play. Bulls should be a 2 star play for most people and portland should be a 1 star play for most people.
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