SAC 1st half -.5: 50
Analysis 3/11/13 (I've actually got a few minutes in between meetings to type it up. It helps me feel better about my picks too writing it out)
Brooklyn: After a 10-19 point win BKN is 3-1 ATS on the road. After a 5-9 point loss Philly is a deplorable 2.5 at home. Philly is also in a B2B, so their poor offense will continue to struggle. It doesnt help that they have to play against a brooklyn defense that has been crushing fools. When less than 10pt favorite BKN is averaging a final score of 99-92, when a dog in this spot philly goes 92-97 Final score. Lastly PHI is 4-11 on 0 days rest. Line is set perfectly. Crooklyn for the W, stay off the total. PHI defense will suffer too, might go over.
Analysis 3/11/13 (I've actually got a few minutes in between meetings to type it up. It helps me feel better about my picks too writing it out)
Brooklyn: After a 10-19 point win BKN is 3-1 ATS on the road. After a 5-9 point loss Philly is a deplorable 2.5 at home. Philly is also in a B2B, so their poor offense will continue to struggle. It doesnt help that they have to play against a brooklyn defense that has been crushing fools. When less than 10pt favorite BKN is averaging a final score of 99-92, when a dog in this spot philly goes 92-97 Final score. Lastly PHI is 4-11 on 0 days rest. Line is set perfectly. Crooklyn for the W, stay off the total. PHI defense will suffer too, might go over.
Denver: Before I go any further, BOTH Jermaine O'Neal and Gortat are out. They have no to bang with Koufous and Faried down low.
On 1 day of rest DEN is a whopping 24-11-2, PHO is 11-22-2. After a blowout of 20+ points DEN is only 2-2 on the road, but after a close win PHO is only 2-0 at home. Dont be fooled tho, it's not everyday you blow out an NBA team by 20+. Following a 10+ W DEN is 7-3 on the road. In this spot DEN is avg final score of 107-98. As a dog PHO is averaging 93-100. The line SHOULD be at 7...but it's at 8.5. I feel extremely confident taking a healthy, charged up DEN over lowly PHO with no reason to try once they go down by 10 at half. Throw in a little payback for the last game and go DEN. Do not worry about a "look ahead" to the Knicks. The Nuggets are vying for 1st placeand know they have to pound the weak teams.
Denver: Before I go any further, BOTH Jermaine O'Neal and Gortat are out. They have no to bang with Koufous and Faried down low.
On 1 day of rest DEN is a whopping 24-11-2, PHO is 11-22-2. After a blowout of 20+ points DEN is only 2-2 on the road, but after a close win PHO is only 2-0 at home. Dont be fooled tho, it's not everyday you blow out an NBA team by 20+. Following a 10+ W DEN is 7-3 on the road. In this spot DEN is avg final score of 107-98. As a dog PHO is averaging 93-100. The line SHOULD be at 7...but it's at 8.5. I feel extremely confident taking a healthy, charged up DEN over lowly PHO with no reason to try once they go down by 10 at half. Throw in a little payback for the last game and go DEN. Do not worry about a "look ahead" to the Knicks. The Nuggets are vying for 1st placeand know they have to pound the weak teams.
OKC: Tough game, but I like OKC to edge it out with Matchups being the factor. It's a pick'em at this point. There is no data to show how SA should react after a 30+ blowout, as they havent been beaten like that in recent memory. They are 2-3 on +5 losses at home. As the underdog OKC is at a final score of 96-97. IN this spot SA is 104-101. This should get a lot of action on both sides, but I particularly like OKC as the underdog specifically because of the energy they have, the young athelticism, and the fact that the plane trip from OKC to SA is under 2 hours.
OKC: Tough game, but I like OKC to edge it out with Matchups being the factor. It's a pick'em at this point. There is no data to show how SA should react after a 30+ blowout, as they havent been beaten like that in recent memory. They are 2-3 on +5 losses at home. As the underdog OKC is at a final score of 96-97. IN this spot SA is 104-101. This should get a lot of action on both sides, but I particularly like OKC as the underdog specifically because of the energy they have, the young athelticism, and the fact that the plane trip from OKC to SA is under 2 hours.
BOOKED 3/11/13
DEN -9: 500
BKN -5.5: 250
Utah -9.5: 250
OKC +2.5: 100
Been stacking recently, can afford to go big today. Feeling pretty confident today. I saw that the covers experts are fading me on DEN 3-4 and the public is all over DEN on this one...so really take that into account if you're tailing my 10 units on DEN. Home dogs are at a losing record with tonights ref assignment tho, so we'll see which "fix" is in. I LOVE that high spread for Denver BTW, it means vegas is anticipating a big game.
I'm sticking to the system that's gotten me here, I'll be back tomorrow win lose or draw. Hustle hard fellas, good luck!
BOOKED 3/11/13
DEN -9: 500
BKN -5.5: 250
Utah -9.5: 250
OKC +2.5: 100
Been stacking recently, can afford to go big today. Feeling pretty confident today. I saw that the covers experts are fading me on DEN 3-4 and the public is all over DEN on this one...so really take that into account if you're tailing my 10 units on DEN. Home dogs are at a losing record with tonights ref assignment tho, so we'll see which "fix" is in. I LOVE that high spread for Denver BTW, it means vegas is anticipating a big game.
I'm sticking to the system that's gotten me here, I'll be back tomorrow win lose or draw. Hustle hard fellas, good luck!
BOOKED 3/11/13
DEN -9: 500
BKN -5.5: 250
Utah -9.5: 250
OKC +2.5: 100
Been stacking recently, can afford to go big today. Feeling pretty confident today. I saw that the covers experts are fading me on DEN 3-4 and the public is all over DEN on this one...so really take that into account if you're tailing my 10 units on DEN. Home dogs are at a losing record with tonights ref assignment tho, so we'll see which "fix" is in. I LOVE that high spread for Denver BTW, it means vegas is anticipating a big game.
I'm sticking to the system that's gotten me here, I'll be back tomorrow win lose or draw. Hustle hard fellas, good luck!
BOOKED 3/11/13
DEN -9: 500
BKN -5.5: 250
Utah -9.5: 250
OKC +2.5: 100
Been stacking recently, can afford to go big today. Feeling pretty confident today. I saw that the covers experts are fading me on DEN 3-4 and the public is all over DEN on this one...so really take that into account if you're tailing my 10 units on DEN. Home dogs are at a losing record with tonights ref assignment tho, so we'll see which "fix" is in. I LOVE that high spread for Denver BTW, it means vegas is anticipating a big game.
I'm sticking to the system that's gotten me here, I'll be back tomorrow win lose or draw. Hustle hard fellas, good luck!
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