Loudon Discussion

Looking like this will be the Q matchups

 

151 Jimmie Johnson          
152 Jeff Gordon          
 
153 David Reutimann          
154 Martin Truex Jr          
 
155 Clint Bowyer          
156 Ryan Newman          
 
157 Kasey Kahne          
158 Kyle Busch          
 
159 Tony Stewart          
160 Denny Hamlin          
 
161 Greg Biffle          
162 Dale Earnhardt Jr   

 

 

gonna throw some numbers together to see what I come up with odds wise....we will see some odds today for sure.

hopefully a new crew chief will get the Biff going... hes been horrible lately 

 

think he needs more than that, a whole new team.....between the horrible pit stops and bad pit calls....just not his year.

Trucks at Iowa Sat. night, no Cup guys at all.....Yeah..

Iowa Speedway is the nation’s most state-of-the-art motorsports facility. Located just south of I-80, exit 168 in Newton, Iowa, the track showcases the first-ever driver designed speedway.

 

Skinner and Dillon are the only 2 winners there thus far.

Lat 4 yrs @ N.H.

tony 194 laps led, Clint 177 laps led,, Juan 147 laps led,, Kahne 114 laps led,  Have led over 50% of the laps run there, but none of them won the race...Only 4 top 5's out of 20 combined starts

Hey Shooter, i kind of like Jeff G, Rueti and Newman with those match-ups. They looked consistent the last few races also i like ku. b and martin for Q's

P.S  funny to see you in the mlb forum.

Talk to you later.

 

Actually posting my special forum in the Penalty Box now, seems a certain someone gets upset when the truth is spoken, so I have a new thread for the rest of baseball season in the box......1-0    +16.40 Units so far.....

 

Shooters "Circle Jerk"  ............Don't miss it IP 

sportsbook early odds have
kyle 9-1
tony 13-1
kasey 40-1  great value there.  
those are the only 3 that jump out 2 me

Just a heads up -- Kahne's stats are terrible at this track. I don't remember his particular performance in any of the races, but the finishes don't point to him winning.
https://www.driveraverages.com/nascar_stats/drivertrack.php?drv_id=22&trk_id=16

Kahne had engine issues in 2 of the last 3 one of which he led 110 laps. I'm more concerned about the Red Bull Teams focus with RB pulling out at the end of this year. at 40/1  he maybe a small play or better yet a T3  play at 12/1 or so

Qualifying Matchups - Lenox Industrial Tools 301 - New Hampshire Motor Speedway - Loudon, NH - Friday, 3:00 PM EST - Speed

Fri 7/15   551 Jimmie Johnson (Qualifying)   -130         
11:30AM    552 Jeff Gordon (Qualifying)    +100
        
Fri 7/15   553 David Reutimann (Qualifying)   -150         
11:30AM    554 Martin Truex Jr (Qualifying)    +120
       
Fri 7/15   555 Clint Bowyer (Qualifying)   -125         
11:30AM    556 Ryan Newman (Qualifying)    -105
        
Fri 7/15   557 Kasey Kahne (Qualifying)   -130         
11:30AM    558 Kyle Busch (Qualifying)    +100
        
Fri 7/15   559 Tony Stewart (Qualifying)   -115         
11:30AM    560 Denny Hamlin (Qualifying)    -115
        
Fri 7/15   561 Greg Biffle (Qualifying)   -145         
11:30AM    562 Dale Earnhardt Jr (Qualifying)    +115 

Sprint Cup   Lenox Industrial Tools 301
Fri 7/15  11:30AM

Jimmie Johnson   +575
Denny Hamlin   +600
Kevin Harvick   +850
Jeff Gordon   +850
Kyle Busch   +850
Kurt Busch   +1100
Carl Edwards   +1150
Tony Stewart   +1250
Matt Kenseth   +2000
Clint Bowyer   +2000
Greg Biffle   +2200
Dale Earnhardt Jr   +2200
Jeff Burton   +3300
Ryan Newman   +4300
Kasey Kahne   +4300
Mark Martin   +4300
David Reutimann   +4300
Martin Truex Jr   +4300
Jamie McMurray   +5000
Joey Logano   +5000

LOCKED IN

Kyle over Kahne +100    .50 unit

 

Stewart to win @+1250    .10 unit

Bowyer to win @ +2000   .07 unit

Newman to win @ +4300    .05 unit

Kahne to win @ +4300   .05 unit

Reutti to win @ +4300   .05 unit

Montoya to win @ +5000    .05 unit

 

 

going with guys who have led here alot last 4 races, No point in grabbin JJ or Denny at such short numbers, simply looking for real value now....These guys have a legit shot at winning come sunday, and if they Q up front and practice up front, the prices on them will fall big time....Denny and JJ aren't moving much from where they are, plus as the favs....a parlay can be worked in. 

Kurt Busch all day for this cat.  He loves this place and it is an extremely technical track something Kurt is anal about.  I will have some on Stewart and Bowyer early.  Anxious to see Gordon.  I like him a lot here but not at those odds IMO. 

I will be there so excited to see practice live and some live racing!!

agree with Kurt, but was hoping to see a little better than 1100, pretty much just hitting the long shots that should drop.

Smoke and Bowyer early for me. Infact +2000 on Clint looks to good to be true.

Like Bowyer over Newman as well in Q.

really shocked by that +2000 on bowyer, that was pretty much a no brainer play.

   u r correct but in 2 of the last 3 races here he has had a top3 car and blew up in both of them so 40-1 is worth a shot and i do think red bull will win a race by seasons end...

Just a couple of thoughts-

1. Smoke at 11-1 (greek) seems solid to me. Hoping for the rare quality Q run this week as well.

2. I'm expecting the 4 and 83 to start their collapses. Have a hard time believing the motivation is going to stay with them.

MS- Great stat on the MLL leaders (14,33,42, and Kahne) failing to win. The 42 desperatly needs a  win to go chasing and I don't trust his ass when desperate like he is now.

Ah, I was unaware. That's why I tried to qualify my ignorance by saying "I don't remember his particular performance..."

So, Kahne's numbers may be artificially low... I see why you all like him then!

Trucks   Coca Cola 200
Fri 7/15  5:30PM

Johnny Sauter   +225
Ron Hornaday   +275
Austin Dillon   +350
Field (any driver not listed)   +375
Cole Whitt   +1150
Matt Crafton   +1150
Parker Kligerman   +1350
Joey Coulter   +1350
Brian Ickler   +1550
Timothy Peters   +1550
Nelson Piquet Jr   +2000
James Buescher   +2600

Nationwide   New England 200
Fri 7/15  10:30AM

Kyle Busch   +250
Carl Edwards   +325
Kevin Harvick   +500
Joey Logano   +550
Brad Keselowski   +550
Field (any driver not listed)   +750
Kasey Kahne   +1100
Elliot Sadler   +1300
Ricky Stenhouse Jr   +1300
Trevor Bayne   +2200
Reed Sorenson   +2800
Aric Almirola   +2800

Interesting lines on the Truck race, see a few I am considering....Dillon is the defending race winner.

finally, finally we get to a race worth capping.
2nd practice speeds..this 31 is a real sleeper would not go against him at this point. still one practice left for the day.



            lps    best speed          avgspeed       
1     14     Tony Stewart     42     129.169         127.240    
2     33     Clint Bowyer     34     129.156         127.528
3     2     Brad Keselowski 36     129.151                     127.420
4     24     Jeff Gordon     35     128.976         127.818    
5     56     Martin Truex Jr.     34     128.972     127.528    
6     11     Denny Hamlin     33     128.924         127.567    
7     31     Jeff Burton     50     128.902         127.422    
8     27     Paul Menard     29     128.841         127.427    
9     48     Jimmie Johnson     41     128.837     127.038    
10     29     Kevin Harvick     29     128.758         127.951    
11     16     Greg Biffle     31     128.758         127.232    
12     18     Kyle Busch     39     128.754         126.954    
13     20     Joey Logano     33     128.732         127.206    
14     39     Ryan Newman     45     128.663         127.297    
15     47     Bobby Labonte     29     128.624         127.073    
16     88     Dale Earnhardt Jr.     41     128.619         126.991    
17     1     Jamie McMurray     11     128.576         127.325    
18     42     Juan Pablo Montoya     27     128.563         126.879    
19     9     Marcos Ambrose     38     128.550         127.297    
20     22     Kurt Busch     38     128.532     127.505    
21     4     Kasey Kahne     32     128.519     126.652     127.577    
22     00     David Reutimann     39     128.407         126.774    
23     83     Brian Vickers     40     128.346         126.966    
24     6     David Ragan     36     128.329          127.290    
25     5     Mark Martin     42     128.281         127.063    
26     99     Carl Edwards     24     128.260         127.334    
27     43     A.J. Allmendinger     36     128.238      127.406    
28     17     Matt Kenseth     28     128.148         127.046    
29     78     Regan Smith     36     128.070         127.188