FedEx 400 @ Dover

CUP YTD

26-18 +6.91 units (Match-Ups)
12-14 - 0.02 unit (Props/FP)
03-05 +2.15 units (RaceWinners)

Total: +9.04 units

Backed up a good start to the year with a horrible last 2 or 3 weeks....but at least after a month of aggrevation and excitement of moving into a new house and no race to go to this week hoping a little more preparation added with some good luck will turn it back around

All plays made at about 10:30 this morning

MATCH-UPS

1.50 units Matt Kenseth (+110) over Greg Biffle (@5dimes)
No one gets around the Monster Mile better than Kenseth (7 Top 5's last 10 races)
and from reading pit reports he is thought to be the best Ford today along with Allmendinger

1.50 units AJ Allmendinger (-130) over Joey Logano (@thegreek)
Speaking of AJ this is the darkhorse today...if he can stay clean this is a Top 5 car(finished 10th, 14th and 7th last 3 here)

1.50 units Ryan Newman (-125) over Juan Montoya (@thegreek)
Like this play for a few reasons, good recent history for Newman at Dover and he is having a solid, consistent year while JPM and this race team has struggled a bit this weekend and admit they are "experimenting" and would be happy with a Top 15.

PROPS/FP


0.75 unit Matt Kenseth (+400) Top 3 (@thegreek)
5 Top 4 finishes in last 6 races at Dover

0.66 unit Kasey Kahne (+210) Top 5 (@5dimes)
Kahne has Red Bull rolling and making Scott Speed look bad in the process

0.50 unit Matt Kenseth (+300) to win group (@thegreek)
over Stewart/Gordon/Hamlin/Bowyer

0.50 unit Kasey Kahne (+390) to win group (@thegreek)
over Ku. Busch/Harvick/Biffle/Jr

RACE WINNER


1.50 units Jimmie Johnson (+333) @5dimes
Going by practice, past history and pit reports he is head and shoulders over everyone

0.33 unit Matt Kenseth (+1800) @thegreek
0.33 unit Kasey Kahne (+1800) @thegreek
0.33 unit Field(Allmendinger) (+1800) @thegreek
If JJ falters like these three the best

Good luck!