All Forums | Nascar

Daytona Speedweeks

...
Participants:
Search
Views: 1969
Posts: 32
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2013
Posts: 605
Posted: #1
Sprint Unlimited Saturday Night!

Hamlin +1450
Kenseth +1300
Harvick +1150

Dale Jr +850 (cover)

H2H Matchups

Mcmurray -110 over Larson
Hamlin -110 over Edwards


   Goodluck!  
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 2890
Posted: #2
Good luck bud...Hamlin looks pretty strong again this year 

My book has Jr at +450...I was like WTF??
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2013
Posts: 605
Posted: #3
Hamlin and Jr both looked fast in practice 

You have to keep an eye on Nascar odds to get the best number they change rapidly and often, I passed on Dale Jr 5 & 6-1 for a solid week before they bumped him to +850 and that lasted all of 5 minutes. Having more than one book will help as well 

After watching practice I wish I would have laid more on him at that price I doubt he goes above 6-1 anymore, to much liability for the books..




 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2013
Posts: 605
Posted: #4
Race Winner - Denny Hamlin +1450  

Split the H2H's 1-1

 Setup nicely for the season starting with the Duel races Thursday night!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 2890
Posted: #5
Nice hit games! Definitely makes for a great start to the season. 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 2241
Posted: #6
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2016
Posts: 8
Posted: #7
Nice win GTB!
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2013
Posts: 605
Posted: #8
Duel Races Set

A few team notes:

Both Penske cars are split up
Hamlin is the lone JGR Toyota in race #1
Johnson is the lone Hendrick car in race #2
Kurt Busch and Harvick are also starting separate races for SHR

Can-Am Duel Race #1

    Chase Elliott
    Dale Earnhardt Jr.
    Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
    Ryan Blaney
    Austin Dillon
    Denny Hamlin
    Joey Logano
    Kasey Kahne
    Kevin Harvick
    Ty Dillon
    Aric Almirola
    Greg Biffle
    Brian Scott
    Michael McDowell
    Regan Smith
    Chris Buescher
    Bobby Labonte
    Trevor Bayne
    Clint Bowyer
    Cole Whitt
    David Ragan
    Josh Wise

Can-Am Duel Race #2

    Matt Kenseth
    Kyle Busch
    Jimmie Johnson
    Carl Edwards
    Kurt Busch
    Casey Mears
    Ryan Newman
    Paul Menard
    Brad Keselowski
    Brian Vickers
    Jamie McMurray
    Kyle Larson
    Matt DiBenetto
    Michael Waltrip
    Danica Patrick
    AJ Allmendinger
    Michael Annett
    Landon Cassill
    Robert Richardson Jr.
    David Gilliland
    Reed Sorenson
    Martin Truex Jr.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 3032
Posted: #9
I could see Junior pushing Chase in race 1 and Kenseth leading all of race 2 with Kyle pushing him.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2013
Posts: 605
Posted: #10
Here's what I came up with for odds on the Duel races for fun, we will see how far off I was when they are released 

Duel Race #1

Dale Earnhardt Jr.   4-1
Denny Hamlin   5-1
Joey Logano   6-1
Kevin Harvick   7-1
Chase Elliott   10-1
Kasey Kahne   10-1
Austin Dillon   12-1
Ryan Blaney   15-1
Ty Dillon   15-1
Greg Biffle   18-1
Aric Almirola   20-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.   20-1
Brian Scott   25-1
   
Duel Race #2

Matt Kenseth   6-1
Jimmie Johnson   6-1
Kyle Busch    7-1
Brad Keselowski   8-1
Carl Edwards   8-1
Kurt Busch    9-1
Jamie McMurray   12-1
Kyle Larson   13-1
Ryan Newman   17-1
Paul Menard   18-1
Brian Vickers   18-1
Casey Mears   20-1
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2016
Posts: 8
Posted: #11
What is up with Truex? He only ran a total of 3 laps in the unlimited practices. He only ran 3 laps total in both Daytona 500 practices so far. Damn that is some crazy strategy.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2013
Posts: 605
Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by FantasyLounge:

What is up with Truex? He only ran a total of 3 laps in the unlimited practices. He only ran 3 laps total in both Daytona 500 practices so far. Damn that is some crazy strategy.


I did not realize that until you brought it up. I would guess it's because of the manufacture switch, they might only have so many cars available and can't afford to wreck them.

The two Saturday practice sessions where just a few laps in qualifying trim for Sunday. They still have a ton of practice time coming up I'd expect to see him out there a little more.




 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 2890
Posted: #13
I like the piecing together of potential odds to win the duels Games haha....good stuff 

They probably will be close to that
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 8153
Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by FantasyLounge:

What is up with Truex? He only ran a total of 3 laps in the unlimited practices. He only ran 3 laps total in both Daytona 500 practices so far. Damn that is some crazy strategy.
nice to c u over here buddy 
This place tends to b a little more on point then the other place if it wasn't for 1 IDIOT over there who can't spell or type and just posts so much bs        I read earlier where Truex team said they will b a little behind at the start of the season with cars due to the switch to Toyota and it will take them some time to get up to speed!  might b y they ran such few laps        I plan on fading Truex at Atl & Vegas     Daytona is a total con flip as u know 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2013
Posts: 605
Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by AshyLarry:

I like the piecing together of potential odds to win the duels Games haha....good stuff 

They probably will be close to that


They are going to be off now that the #4 and #14 failed post qualifying inspection, it switched a few cars around in each race. I jumped the gun on that

This should be the correct starting grid


Can-Am Duel 1 lineup

1.    24    Chase Elliott    Hendrick Motorsports
2.    88    Dale Earnhardt Jr.    Hendrick Motorsports
3.    17    Ricky Stenhouse Jr.    Roush Fenway Racing
4.    21*    Ryan Blaney*    Wood Brothers Racing
5.    3    Austin Dillon    Richard Childress Racing
6.    11    Denny Hamlin    Joe Gibbs Racing
7.    22    Joey Logano    Team Penske
8.    5    Kasey Kahne    Hendrick Motorsports
9.    27    Paul Menard    Richard Childress Racing
10.    2    Brad Keselowski    Team Penske
11.    16    Greg Biffle    Roush Fenway Racing
12.    44    Brian Scott    Richard Petty Motorsports
13.    59*    Michael McDowell*    Circle Sport-Leavine Family Racing
14.    7    Regan Smith    Tommy Baldwin Racing
15.    34    Chris Buescher    Front Row Motorsports
16.    32    Bobby Labonte    Go Green Racing
17.    6    Trevor Bayne    Roush Fenway Racing
18.    15    Clint Bowyer    HScott Motorsports
19.    98*    Cole Whitt*    Premium Motorsports
20.    23    David Ragan    BK Racing
21.    30*    Josh Wise*    The Motorsports Group
22.    4    Kevin Harvick    Stewart-Haas Racing


Can-Am Duel 2 lineup

1.    20    Matt Kenseth    Joe Gibbs Racing
2.    18    Kyle Busch    Joe Gibbs Racing
3.    48    Jimmie Johnson    Hendrick Motorsports
4.    19    Carl Edwards    Joe Gibbs Racing
5.    41    Kurt Busch    Stewart-Haas Racing
6.    13    Casey Mears    Germain Racing
7.    31    Ryan Newman    Richard Childress Racing
8.    95    Ty Dillon    Circle Sport-Leavine Family Racing
9.    43    Aric Almirola    Richard Petty Motorsports
10.    1    Jamie McMurray    Chip Ganassi Racing
11.    42    Kyle Larson    Chip Ganassi Racing
12.    93*    Matt DiBenedetto*    BK Racing
13.    83    Michael Waltrip    BK Racing
14.    10    Danica Patrick    Stewart-Haas Racing
15.    47    AJ Allmendinger    JTG Daugherty Racing
16.    46    Michael Annett    HScott Motorsports
17.    38    Landon Cassill    Front Row Motorsports
18.    26*    Robert Richardson Jr.*    BK Racing
19.    35*    David Gilliland*    Front Row Motorsports
20.    40*    Reed Sorenson*    Hillman Smith Motorsports
21.    78    Martin Truex Jr.    Furniture Row Racing
22.    14    Brian Vickers    Stewart-Haas Racing
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 2890
Posted: #16
Hamlin +750 my book...tempted...
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2016
Posts: 8
Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by stats1:

nice to c u over here buddy 
This place tends to b a little more on point then the other place if it wasn't for 1 IDIOT over there who can't spell or type and just posts so much bs        I read earlier where Truex team said they will b a little behind at the start of the season with cars due to the switch to Toyota and it will take them some time to get up to speed!  might b y they ran such few laps        I plan on fading Truex at Atl & Vegas     Daytona is a total con flip as u know 

What's up stats? Jay seems like a good guy but Mike is completely full of garbage. He'll try to cheat on his picks every chance he gets. He'll post stale lines from wednesday that are no longer available 20 minutes before the green flag.  For several years he posted the peak number for every driver he wagered on. That's one of the reasons he waits till just before the start.  No chance the guy makes a living at Nascar like he claims. He's the main reason I don't post much over there. One of his buddies will show him this post and I'll probably be banned there now anyway. HaHa! 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2016
Posts: 8
Posted: #18
One angle that sometimes pays off in the Duels is fading the pole sitter. Several times the pole sitter will drop back near the end of their duel to stay away from crashing and going to a backup. Gordon stayed up front till the end last year but Dillon in 2014 and Danica in 2013 played it safe. Mark Martin was on the pole in 2010 and leading his duel. With 2 laps left he dropped out of line and went to the rear to save his pole position. I think Chase will play it real safe tomorrow but you never know. I got A.Dillon at +100 over Chase in the 1st duel.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 2890
Posted: #19
One guy to never listen to in this forum like that....Texas Gambler
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2016
Posts: 8
Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by AshyLarry:

One guy to never listen to in this forum like that....Texas Gambler

Thanks for the warning!
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2013
Posts: 605
Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by FantasyLounge:


Mike is completely full of garbage. He'll try to cheat on his picks every chance he gets. He'll post stale lines from wednesday that are no longer available 20 minutes before the green flag.  For several years he posted the peak number for every driver he wagered on.


I watch line movement closely and can say he definitely post lines that are never offered, even in his duel picks with Logano and Mcmurray he added +100 to both, and if they wreck out halfway they will magically disappear from his post
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2013
Posts: 605
Posted: #22
I wasn't too far off with my odds prediction even with the driver switch..

Duel Race #1

Jr +475   (1.75 units)
Logano +650    (1.25 units)
Keselowski +900   (.5 unit cover)
Hamlin +900   (.5 unit cover)

H2H's
Denny Hamlin #11 -105 vs Kevin Harvick #4
Austin Dillon #3 +100 vs Chase Elliott #25


Duel Race #2

Kenseth +600   (1.5 units)
Johnson +550   (1.5 units)
Ky Busch +600 (.5 unit cover)

H2H
Casey Mears #13 +100 vs AJ Allmendinger #47


Good Luck!  
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2016
Posts: 8
Posted: #23
I got the Dillon and Mears matchups at the same price. Hope we win!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2016
Posts: 8
Posted: #24
I took Stenhouse -105 over Blaney (now at +100) in duel 1. Blaney has 1 career Cup start at Daytona.
 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 2890
Posted: #25
Nice hit Race #1 
All Forums | Nascar
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Privacy Choices Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo
Covers Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 Genius Sports. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.