A Little Early Longshot Action @ Phx

hey hey. i'm grabbing a little JJ at +400 and T3 +120 now as it will only go down unless he goes to the back of the field for some reason. The sleeper play is Martin Truex!!  No,  Really, plz stop laughing.  He's +5000 and T3 +1500. In the last 5 at Phx he has 4 top 10's and a DNF for overheating. Let's include 2 front row starts in the past 5. Doesn't MWR seems to be a better fit for him this year? Who knows @ 50/1 . The Past Performance, new environment and possibility of a front row spot don't add up to +5000 to me. Your thoughts, oh Wise Men of the NASCAR Forum

GL and very good info

gl goggs, didn't know that about Truex

gl   goggles

Vegas, Lugs, Shooter - thx for the beer

Shooter i'm still not sure why Truex is +5000/+1500 with so many top 10's at Phx. If he grabs the front row, the media will start talking and the odds will drop like a rock. I'm grabbing the value now. I hope the chart below posts properly

      Date           Start         Finish
11/15/2009          1              5
4/18/2009           26             7 
11/9/2008           20           43 overheating
4/12/2008            9             8
11/11/2007          2             7

Good morning fella's. I'll need some help today from some of you as i have absolutely no read on tonights race. And I'm leaving in the early afternoon probably b4 you post.  The only lean I have today is Jeff Gordon who cost me  last week.       YTD: -1.95U This is what i played early in the week

JJ +400 0.7U and Top3 +120 0.5U
Truex +5000 0.05U and Top3 +1500 0.02U

Final card. I'm leaving now without access to a PC later but will be watching the race. going easy tonight. GL to everyone 

JJ Win +400 0.7U/ +500 0.3U and Top3 +120 0.5U and +150 0.25
Truex Win +5000 0.05U and Top3 +1500 0.01U
Gordon Win +1000 0.1U

Burton T3 T3 +500 0.1U
Gordon under 8.5 +105 0.25U

I don`t have a good feeling about tonights race. After that first practice I was all excited about McMurray then in the 2nd practice he looked like junk. In fact no one stands out to me in either of the combined practices. Which there hard to go by being they were in the heat of the day and the race will end under the lights.

gl
lugs

 don't believe the Treux play is that far-fetched...understand why you gave it a shot. Like Burton as well