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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Why are the Tigers at + money again???

    «First Previous 12
    MaineRoad
    KOAJ
    erick99
    Macakron19
    JimmyKid
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 1865
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    «First Previous 12
     
    MaineRoad
    MaineRoad
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 2:46 PM ET #26

    with your rationale you'd play the Tigers every time at + money......ok fair enough....., problem is if you'd have done that all season thus far, you'd be in a major hole right now
     
    If my math is right, if you had so wagered, you would be up 0.76 units for the year.
    Reply
    with your rationale you'd play the Tigers every time at + money......ok fair enough....., problem is if you'd have done that all season thus far, you'd be in a major hole right now
     
    If my math is right, if you had so wagered, you would be up 0.76 units for the year.
     
    KOAJ
    KOAJ
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 2:48 PM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by MaineRoad:

    with your rationale you'd play the Tigers every time at + money......ok fair enough....., problem is if you'd have done that all season thus far, you'd be in a major hole right now
     
    If my math is right, if you had so wagered, you would be up 0.76 units for the year.


    Profits

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MaineRoad:

    with your rationale you'd play the Tigers every time at + money......ok fair enough....., problem is if you'd have done that all season thus far, you'd be in a major hole right now
     
    If my math is right, if you had so wagered, you would be up 0.76 units for the year.


    Profits

     
    MaineRoad
    MaineRoad
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 2:52 PM ET #28

    I was actually going to start a "Thanks KOAJ" thread today, but never did.  I took your advice on Seattle last night.  I think I'm something like 5-0 stealing info from you this year. 
    Reply
    I was actually going to start a "Thanks KOAJ" thread today, but never did.  I took your advice on Seattle last night.  I think I'm something like 5-0 stealing info from you this year. 
     
    erick99
    erick99
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 2:54 PM ET #29

    I almost played the Tigers today.  In the stat system that I am developing they were 4 - 1 in favor of winning.  I am not entirely sure why I left them out other than I am still working on the stat system and I wasn't confident enough to make it a public pick.  However, I will likely play the Tigers myself but not add it as a public pick. 
    Reply
    I almost played the Tigers today.  In the stat system that I am developing they were 4 - 1 in favor of winning.  I am not entirely sure why I left them out other than I am still working on the stat system and I wasn't confident enough to make it a public pick.  However, I will likely play the Tigers myself but not add it as a public pick. 
     
    Macakron19
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 2:56 PM ET #30

    Damnit why did I not see he had Seattle Last night
    Reply
    Damnit why did I not see he had Seattle Last night
     
    JimmyKid
    JimmyKid
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 2:57 PM ET #31

    devils fan, what chick is that in your avatar?
    Reply
    devils fan, what chick is that in your avatar?
     
    JobaRules
    JobaRules
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 3:11 PM ET #32

    i think the yankees wiill blow out the tigs tonight
    Reply
    i think the yankees wiill blow out the tigs tonight
     
    HutchEmAll
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 3:12 PM ET #33

    if righties are having their way with pettitte then his cutting isnt biting as much as it should. that is a major issue against the righty lineup the tigers will throw out there tonight
    ______

    No argument there at all which explains why it's difficult to lay chalk with NYY.  Pettitte's numbers against Detroit are solid, but this is a different group. 

    All that said, I just don't know if I can trust Bonderman enough to play that + number.  As you know, lots of bettors zone in on the starters.  Taking that into account (and Bonderman's recent history), I think the line is pretty close to where it should be.

    Good discussion.


    Reply
    if righties are having their way with pettitte then his cutting isnt biting as much as it should. that is a major issue against the righty lineup the tigers will throw out there tonight
    ______

    No argument there at all which explains why it's difficult to lay chalk with NYY.  Pettitte's numbers against Detroit are solid, but this is a different group. 

    All that said, I just don't know if I can trust Bonderman enough to play that + number.  As you know, lots of bettors zone in on the starters.  Taking that into account (and Bonderman's recent history), I think the line is pretty close to where it should be.

    Good discussion.


     
    JobaRules
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 3:14 PM ET #34

    like i posted earlier - the yanks will blow out bonderman tonight
     
    waiting to hit my METS over to put the winnings on the Yanks
    Reply
    like i posted earlier - the yanks will blow out bonderman tonight
     
    waiting to hit my METS over to put the winnings on the Yanks
     
    gamblingsnob
    gamblingsnob
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 3:17 PM ET #35

    Quote Originally Posted by KOAJ:

    snob - a bad balk call lost the game...regardless it was a loser


    Geez, you watch these games? Thats nuts. That will take years off your life.

    Just hoping your thread can save people some bucks again, we all in this together.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KOAJ:

    snob - a bad balk call lost the game...regardless it was a loser


    Geez, you watch these games? Thats nuts. That will take years off your life.

    Just hoping your thread can save people some bucks again, we all in this together.


     
    MaineRoad
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 3:20 PM ET #36

    Quote Originally Posted by Macakron19:

    Damnit why did I not see he had Seattle Last night

    Upon further review, I see that he wasn't!  I must have read it in another thread.  Whoever is was made great points about Cremona's recent outings.  No clue who it was, though.  Sorry for the confusion.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Macakron19:

    Damnit why did I not see he had Seattle Last night

    Upon further review, I see that he wasn't!  I must have read it in another thread.  Whoever is was made great points about Cremona's recent outings.  No clue who it was, though.  Sorry for the confusion.

     
    blues2112
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 3:22 PM ET #37

    On paper Detroit is a good as any team in MLB......
    Reply
    On paper Detroit is a good as any team in MLB......
     
    ICAPSports
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 3:22 PM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by KOAJ:



    Profits

    after further review it appears you are in the right ballpark, its arguably around even (depending on the line you got) with them as dogs....thought they were dogs a few more times during that awful drought but often they were slight favs.......

    as for Pettite (1) you have to love him coming off a personal loss and his shortest outing of the year; (2)  and off the Yanks coming off an L; (3) after the bullpen was taxed b/c of yet another shitty outing by Hughes and (4) with Arod going on the DL......he knows his team needs a solid and long performance and I expect him to "man up" and give it to them tonight............also factor in the great success the Yanks' lefties have had against Bondy and I consider -134 to be a very reasonable price in this spot..........GL to all whatever you decide

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KOAJ:



    Profits

    after further review it appears you are in the right ballpark, its arguably around even (depending on the line you got) with them as dogs....thought they were dogs a few more times during that awful drought but often they were slight favs.......

    as for Pettite (1) you have to love him coming off a personal loss and his shortest outing of the year; (2)  and off the Yanks coming off an L; (3) after the bullpen was taxed b/c of yet another shitty outing by Hughes and (4) with Arod going on the DL......he knows his team needs a solid and long performance and I expect him to "man up" and give it to them tonight............also factor in the great success the Yanks' lefties have had against Bondy and I consider -134 to be a very reasonable price in this spot..........GL to all whatever you decide

     
    ICAPSports
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2008 - 9:56 PM ET #39

    good call KOAJ......spot on
    Reply
    good call KOAJ......spot on
     
     
    cubsin08
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    Posted: May. 1, 2008 - 1:03 AM ET #40

    Just got home from the Yankee game , I thought it was going to be a long night in the 1rst ,but it turned out to be an easy win. Koaj ,you hit it right on the head with the sleep sleepwalking comment.
    Reply
    Just got home from the Yankee game , I thought it was going to be a long night in the 1rst ,but it turned out to be an easy win. Koaj ,you hit it right on the head with the sleep sleepwalking comment.
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