:::Wednesday:: 4/15 (36-27-2) +10.82 units

Hard to believe the Nats/Bucs game doesn't get to 10 after being at 9 thru 5, especially with those bullpens.  But that's baseball I guess.

Arizona Diamondbacks +120

This number makes ZERO sense to me.  Rodriguez has arguably been off to the best start of anyone this year.  Giving up a single run in 18 IP. Those 18 innings were vs the Braves, Dodgers, and Mets.  I know the Mets suck, but they have bats in that line up that just aren't hitting.  Bradish on the other hand hasn't been very good.  8 ER in 13.2 IP.  The offenses are fairly equal, but I give the edge to Arizona at the moment.  Marte is starting to hit.  Arenado had a 2 HR game the other day after getting off to a terrible start, and Vargas has been great.  For the Os though, if you can get the top 3 out, there isn't much fire power 4-9.  Two guys in their line up today are making their debuts.  Number is too good to pass up, but kinda scary that its too good to be true. 

Guardians/Cardinals Over 9 -115

Rain should be gone by first pitch, but the wind shall stay and blow to the power alley in left center all day long at Busch.  May has been terrible.  Yes, his numbers in his last start look good, but the Red Sox offense is making everyone look good at the moment.  Tampa and Detroit both had a field day with him prior to that.  Cecconi is kinda in the same boat.  Has one good looking start, until you realize it was against the Cubs who aren't hitting either.  Plenty of pop in both line ups.  I'd be shocked if the ball didn't leave the yard 2+ times today.

Good Luck

Tailed the over, crazy we are on 11 hits combined and only 2 runs. Lets see what the back 1/3 does for scoring......

@STLTarHeels

 looking at the scores IRT and man you are very accurate 

@bajalife

 yep.  too many wasted opportunities early on.  Plus, it wasn't supposed to rain anymore today here.  Meteorologist fail me again.

Royals/Tigers Under 8.5 -105

I just don't trust either offense at all right now.  The Tigers have spurts where their offense shows up, but for the most part, they aren't scoring any runs.  The Royals are just woeful. In their last 7 games, they've scored more than 2 runs just one time, vs the White Sox.  Wind is blowing in from right, and two lefty heavy line ups so that helps a bit.  Lugo appears to be back to 2024 form, when he finished 2nd in the Cy Young race.  He's only given up 3 runs over 17.2 IP.  No HR given up.  If Flaherty can just throw strikes, and pitch to contact, this game should stay well below 9.

Chicago Cubs +122

Imanaga appears to have figured something out.  He got beat up in his opener, but it was the Nats who have proven to be a formidable offense, so I don't hold it against him.  His last two starts have been extraordinary, despite the Cubs losing both games.  Luzardo has been really bad, aside from a 11K performance against the Rockies (cool).  And his two bad starts, were here at Citizens Bank.  Cubs have plenty of offense to win a shootout, if it comes to that, but Philly hasn't been hitting lefties at all, and in a game where it's probably going to be a "first to their bullpen loses" kinda game, I'll take Imanaga.

Los Angeles Angels +154

The Yanks are 3-7 in their last 10, and 1-6 in their last 7.  Trending in the wrong direction, and it gets no easier tonight.  It will likely be a bomb fest again, as winds are blowing out to left/center, but 10.5 is too high for me with how little offense the Yanks are producing, and how well Kochanowicz has throwing this year.  He got beat around by the Astros in the opener, but since then 1 ER in 12.2 IP, striking out 9 and allowing 0 HRs.  Luis Gil is on only start number two for the season, and he was far from sharp in his debut.  This is a hell of price for a Yanks team to be laying while playing such bad baseball. 

Tampa Bay Rays -116

Quite frankly, its just too cheap of a price to pass up vs a bad White Sox team.  That's really it.  Sulser hasn't pitched since 2024, so no idea what to expect from him, but I know the White Sox line up isn't very good, and I also know that the Rays line up is pretty good.  That's enough for me to pull this trigger. 

Rockies/Astros Over 8.5 -115

Quintana has gone to Colorado to be taken to pasture.  It's a beautiful place for your career to die though.  Houston is still hitting the shit out of just about everything, but they can't stop anyone from scoring.  They are going to try a new arm tonight in Spencer Arrighetti, who last year, posted a 1-5 record with a 5.35 ERA.  Baseballs should be flying in the little league park in Houston. 

Rangers/Athletics Over 9.5 -115

2-1 ball game last night.  Certainly didn't see that coming, but it doesn't change my opinion on this ball park.  The wind is blowing out tonight too, and Rocker is known to give up a long ball or two, and the As have some thumpers.  

Good stuff so far this year.  Not a big fan of betting on the same thing I lost the night before but baseball is a different animal.  Tailing you this year.