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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Wall Street Plays of the Day-with Analysis-BIG PLAY

    Gordon Gekko
    shakey12381
    ApacheM
    lonetreejj
    tonktime
    ...
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    Views: 1029
    Posts: 13
     
    Gordon Gekko
    Gordon Gekko
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    Posted: May. 5, 2008 - 1:35 PM ET #1

    YTD
    19-19  +1.6 Units for the Year            
     
    Won 3 units yesterday with the Yankees and Washington.  Both dominated their games.  Today's Play is a very strong play for me.  A 3 unit Play that matches my biggest wager so far this year.
     
    1-0 on 3 Unit Play
     
    Today's 3 Unit GREED IS GOOD PLAY
     
    Over St. Louis/Colorado  10   (-105) played it at 830 AM ET
     
    Pineiro .vs opponents has been more than adequate posting a 2-2 record with a 3.75 era.  He's coming off two strong performances vs Pitt and Cin.  He's faced 3 teams this year SF, CIN, and PIT.  None of these teams rank in the top 7 in average.  He's been saved being on ST. Louis staff, however, this is not a time you want to face the Rockies.  Weather will be in low 60's with high altitude and Rockies on there most productive performance of the year.  They batted over 320 for the weekend against a decent LAD staff (4th in era).  St. Louis is 2nd in era but I believe Pineiro has benefited by pitching to weaker opponents.  Colorado is much better than the other teams he faced especially at double field COORS.  Other factors that you need to consider:
     
    Avg against Pineiro
    Holliday          2 for 3
    Torvit              1 for 2
    Pods.             3 for 6
    Helton             1 for 2
    Hawpe            2 for 3
    Barmes          1 for 2   
     
    Avg against Jimenez
    Pujols           .667
    Glauss          .500
    Ankiel           .500    
     
    St.  Louis is also the 4th ranked team in average.  Jimenez sports a 5.90 era and allowed 3 er on 5 BB's in 5 ip in St. Louis on a cold April night.  Now he's pitching in hitter friendly Coors on a semi warm evening for CO. 
     
    LAST 3 games Colorado is averaging almost 7 a game.  I can see a 10-6 final tonight. 
     
    In my opinion the value is there and I believe the line may hit 11  by late afternoon.  The line already jumped from 105 to 115. 
     
    TWO UNIT PLAYS
    Cincinatti                  -108
    KCRoyals                 +126
     
    GLTA -GREED IS GOOD
     
     
     
     
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    YTD
    19-19  +1.6 Units for the Year            
     
    Won 3 units yesterday with the Yankees and Washington.  Both dominated their games.  Today's Play is a very strong play for me.  A 3 unit Play that matches my biggest wager so far this year.
     
    1-0 on 3 Unit Play
     
    Today's 3 Unit GREED IS GOOD PLAY
     
    Over St. Louis/Colorado  10   (-105) played it at 830 AM ET
     
    Pineiro .vs opponents has been more than adequate posting a 2-2 record with a 3.75 era.  He's coming off two strong performances vs Pitt and Cin.  He's faced 3 teams this year SF, CIN, and PIT.  None of these teams rank in the top 7 in average.  He's been saved being on ST. Louis staff, however, this is not a time you want to face the Rockies.  Weather will be in low 60's with high altitude and Rockies on there most productive performance of the year.  They batted over 320 for the weekend against a decent LAD staff (4th in era).  St. Louis is 2nd in era but I believe Pineiro has benefited by pitching to weaker opponents.  Colorado is much better than the other teams he faced especially at double field COORS.  Other factors that you need to consider:
     
    Avg against Pineiro
    Holliday          2 for 3
    Torvit              1 for 2
    Pods.             3 for 6
    Helton             1 for 2
    Hawpe            2 for 3
    Barmes          1 for 2   
     
    Avg against Jimenez
    Pujols           .667
    Glauss          .500
    Ankiel           .500    
     
    St.  Louis is also the 4th ranked team in average.  Jimenez sports a 5.90 era and allowed 3 er on 5 BB's in 5 ip in St. Louis on a cold April night.  Now he's pitching in hitter friendly Coors on a semi warm evening for CO. 
     
    LAST 3 games Colorado is averaging almost 7 a game.  I can see a 10-6 final tonight. 
     
    In my opinion the value is there and I believe the line may hit 11  by late afternoon.  The line already jumped from 105 to 115. 
     
    TWO UNIT PLAYS
    Cincinatti                  -108
    KCRoyals                 +126
     
    GLTA -GREED IS GOOD
     
     
     
     
     
    shakey12381
    shakey12381
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    Posted: May. 5, 2008 - 1:55 PM ET #2

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    ApacheM
    ApacheM
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    Posted: May. 5, 2008 - 2:05 PM ET #3

    You got me......GL Kemosabe
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    You got me......GL Kemosabe
     
    lonetreejj
    lonetreejj
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    Posted: May. 5, 2008 - 2:06 PM ET #4

    Compelling argument for the over. Thanks. Looks like a nice card.
     
      good luck
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    Compelling argument for the over. Thanks. Looks like a nice card.
     
      good luck
     
    Gordon Gekko
    Gordon Gekko
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    Posted: May. 5, 2008 - 2:12 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by lonetreejj:

    Compelling argument for the over. Thanks. Looks like a nice card.
     
      good luck

    Always looks like great cards, unfortunately they play the games...

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    Quote Originally Posted by lonetreejj:

    Compelling argument for the over. Thanks. Looks like a nice card.
     
      good luck

    Always looks like great cards, unfortunately they play the games...

     
    lonetreejj
    lonetreejj
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    Posted: May. 5, 2008 - 2:20 PM ET #6

      funny and true bro.
     
    more winnin days than losin ones, its all we should look for...
     
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      funny and true bro.
     
    more winnin days than losin ones, its all we should look for...
     
     
    Gordon Gekko
    Gordon Gekko
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    Posted: May. 5, 2008 - 2:26 PM ET #7

    Kansas City  (+126)  Writeup
     
    Is Ervin Santana for real?  He's 5-0 with an era in the low to mid 2's at 2.48.  He's  pitched great this year, however for some reason KC has owned him.  Although, this is a NEW Santana.  Brett Tomko who's had 2 QS this year faces the Angels who are a combined .270 against him.  He's held VLAD to .077.  Angels start there first game on the road after a 7 day home trip.  I see some value in KC cuz of Santana's woes and KC coming home for home cooking.  AVERAGES against SANTANA
     
    TEAHAN         .364           
    GUILLEN         .300
    Gruz.               .400
    GORDON         .333
    Dejesus           .400          
     
    SHIT the whole team is hitting a combined .395 against him.  Add +26 cents on the dollar, I'll gamble on Santana having a rough outing.  I might be wrong but the numbers don't lie and that's all I can go by.  They've had a pretty good attitude this year with their new manager holding tight in a tough division.  I think they shock LA in the first game. 
     
    KC 8-5  over the Angels...
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    Kansas City  (+126)  Writeup
     
    Is Ervin Santana for real?  He's 5-0 with an era in the low to mid 2's at 2.48.  He's  pitched great this year, however for some reason KC has owned him.  Although, this is a NEW Santana.  Brett Tomko who's had 2 QS this year faces the Angels who are a combined .270 against him.  He's held VLAD to .077.  Angels start there first game on the road after a 7 day home trip.  I see some value in KC cuz of Santana's woes and KC coming home for home cooking.  AVERAGES against SANTANA
     
    TEAHAN         .364           
    GUILLEN         .300
    Gruz.               .400
    GORDON         .333
    Dejesus           .400          
     
    SHIT the whole team is hitting a combined .395 against him.  Add +26 cents on the dollar, I'll gamble on Santana having a rough outing.  I might be wrong but the numbers don't lie and that's all I can go by.  They've had a pretty good attitude this year with their new manager holding tight in a tough division.  I think they shock LA in the first game. 
     
    KC 8-5  over the Angels...
     
    tonktime
    tonktime
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    Posted: May. 5, 2008 - 2:31 PM ET #8

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    Sparky10191
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    Posted: May. 5, 2008 - 2:58 PM ET #9

    Now this is a man who does his research. On the Cards and the Royals too because I did my research as well. Might want to think of taking the Royals over as well seeing that Tomko has pitched like shit lately. But thats just my 2 cents.
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    Now this is a man who does his research. On the Cards and the Royals too because I did my research as well. Might want to think of taking the Royals over as well seeing that Tomko has pitched like shit lately. But thats just my 2 cents.
     
    Gordon Gekko
    Gordon Gekko
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    Posted: May. 5, 2008 - 6:01 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by Sparky10191:

    Now this is a man who does his research. On the Cards and the Royals too because I did my research as well. Might want to think of taking the Royals over as well seeing that Tomko has pitched like shit lately. But thats just my 2 cents.

     

    Sparky,

    Just put a 1/2 unit on it for kicks and shiggles...

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sparky10191:

    Now this is a man who does his research. On the Cards and the Royals too because I did my research as well. Might want to think of taking the Royals over as well seeing that Tomko has pitched like shit lately. But thats just my 2 cents.

     

    Sparky,

    Just put a 1/2 unit on it for kicks and shiggles...

     
    Gordon Gekko
    Gordon Gekko
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    Posted: May. 6, 2008 - 12:47 PM ET #11

    YTD
     
    21-20  + 4.6 Units  
     
    2-0 on 3 Unit Plays for the Year...
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    YTD
     
    21-20  + 4.6 Units  
     
    2-0 on 3 Unit Plays for the Year...
     
    rjas44
    rjas44
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    Posted: May. 6, 2008 - 1:02 PM ET #12

    Thanks you
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    Thanks you
     
     
    HowWinWolf
    HowWinWolf
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    Posted: May. 6, 2008 - 1:04 PM ET #13

    Solid plays Gordon
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    Solid plays Gordon
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