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THURSDAY PUBLIC%,LINES AND FADE PLAYS

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Posted: #26
line moves as of 4;02
cubs 140 to 180 lean pitt now
boston 135 to 120 lean boston
arizona 134 to 119 lean arizona
minny 240 to 202  lean minny
 
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Posted: #27
so it could min and TB then and boston right?
 
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Posted: #28
If the line moves with the public sometimes its the way to go. When it goes oppo the public Hammer it. For example yesterdays Blackhawks game went from Van -150 to -130 with the pub on Vancouver. Hawks won. Same with the total, Public loved Under, total never moved, it went Over. Anytime the public loves a dog or an under is the time to play the favorite and Over.
 
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Posted: #29
bestcap here you have all bookies linemovement
https://www.oddsportal.com/baseball/united-states-of-america/mlb/washington-nationals-atlanta-braves-199102/#home-away;1
 
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Posted: #30
I like your theory, and I use the same type of method to win. Some times however the line movement goes according to plan. Last night The ml for milwaukee went from plus170 to plus155 and they still won. That is what I see for Boston, the line movement is appropriate, due to the fact that Scott Kazmiz pitches exceptionally well in boston, a team that is anemic against left handed pitching. daisuke has an astronomical k/bb ratio. I have picked Tor and LAA. Good value in these two teams. Best of Luck . Lets make it rain !!!
 
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Posted: #31
Moneylines in baseball is diff than hoops. Totals however are the same. Made a killing baseball totals this year.
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by Jerryblackwell:

If the line moves with the public sometimes its the way to go. When it goes oppo the public Hammer it. For example yesterdays Blackhawks game went from Van -150 to -130 with the pub on Vancouver. Hawks won. Same with the total, Public loved Under, total never moved, it went Over. Anytime the public loves a dog or an under is the time to play the favorite and Over.
so your saying just fade the public
 
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Posted: #33
fade and public on same team

fades plays
atlanta  pub is on
cubs pub is on
angels
san fran
kansas city
houston

minnesota pub is on  [will be no play in this group its in 2 other sets saying thee twins win ]

white sox pub is on
seattle
la dodgers pub is on

we would go against teams in green these are not official yet
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by mikkii10:

so your saying just fade the public


you cant just fade the public as they win sometimes .
honestly i dont think youd ever get an accurate reading on what the real #s are im just going by trends for the #s they want me to see.
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by mikkii10:

so your saying just fade the public

No, read first sentence. sometimes riding pub is the way to go.
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by BESTCAP:



you cant just fade the public as they win sometimes .
honestly i dont think youd ever get an accurate reading on what the real #s are im just going by trends for the #s they want me to see.
how true bestcap on that
 
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Posted: #37

Quote Originally Posted by BESTCAP:

line moves as of 4;02
cubs 140 to 180 lean pitt now
boston 135 to 120 lean boston
arizona 134 to 119 lean arizona
minny 240 to 202  lean minny

 

why would you lean arizona if all the money is on arizona yet the line dropped 20 cents?

 
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Posted: #38
I just disagree with Bestcaps strategy. Such as cubs game. The line is following the Public. Therefore Cubs would be a no play for me. 
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by hitterno24:

 

why would you lean arizona if all the money is on arizona yet the line dropped 20 cents?



if it goes like yesterday going opposite the line move is the way to go
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by hitterno24:

 

why would you lean arizona if all the money is on arizona yet the line dropped 20 cents?


Reverse Line movement, that does warrant a play for the ASTROS.
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by Jerryblackwell:


No, read first sentence. sometimes riding pub is the way to go.



yea i know jerry i dont like it cause of sweep factor by PITT
but the line has moved up big,public on them and fade is on them thats three positives on that one
 
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Posted: #42

but wasnt the public and the line moveemtn moving together yesterday? if you looked before first pitch...public was on Muts and indians..line move the way it was supposed to..public was on indians and line went up..public was on mets and line went down..but before first pitch reds shot up to -125 from -115 from my site and i knew i shuda hedged right there....

 
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Posted: #43
public was on astros yesterday until an hour before the game..and if you looked beofre first pitch they were on dbacks..and the -105 game went to -115 on astros..this line watching you do is good.i do the same thing..but you have to wait about 5 mins to game time to really get a good read on wheere the public money is..it fluctuates a lot before game time..and the lines moive significantly too...
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by BESTCAP:

LINE MOVES YESTERDAY
LINES FOR PINNACLE
CLEVELAND OPEN -114 CLOSED -130 [LOST]
TWINS OPEN -154 CLOSE -141 [WIN]
BRAVES OPEN -144 CLOSE -165 [WIN]
SAN FRAN -133 CLOSE -117 [WIN]
PADRES -114 CLOSED 139 [LOST]
SEATTLE OPEN AS DOG CLOSED AS FAV [LOST]





SO IF WE WENT VS THE LINE MOVES YESTERDAY WE WENT 5-1



thats why i lean pittsburgh,arizona,twins,boston
dont get me wrong it could be total opposite today on line moves
 
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Posted: #45
i personally if lines stay like this like marlins redsox and astros...right now..more money on san fran and marlins went from -120 to -125...in the sox game..public is all over the angels and it went down to -120..and i can guarantee that 5 mins before game time..that line will go to atleast -130...and astros...money all over the dbacks and the line drops 20 cents...wandys filthy at home..haren has been hittable at times and their pen sucsk..plus dbacks bats have cooled down alot..i can see y that line has reverse line movement..
 
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Posted: #46
in my eyes its all about deception they try to sway bettors
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by BESTCAP:

LINE MOVES YESTERDAY
LINES FOR PINNACLE
CLEVELAND OPEN -114 CLOSED -130 public and line movement corelated(loss)
TWINS OPEN -154 CLOSE -141  if you look before game time..more moeny was on det..cuz i almost took twins but stayed away..so public and line correlated(loss)
BRAVES OPEN -144 CLOSE -165 public and line correlated(win)
SAN FRAN -133 CLOSE -117 public was on san fran and line dropped (reverse line movement loss)
PADRES -114 CLOSED 139 public and line move correlate
SEATTLE OPEN AS DOG CLOSED AS FAV - if you look before game time..more money was on seattle..i know cuz i took tampa because of that..

SO IF WE WENT VS THE LINE MOVES YESTERDAY WE WENT 5-1
 
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Posted: #48

so if you look at it

public and line moves lost in clev, detroit, pads and seattle...

all these games..the public and the line moved together...

 
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Posted: #49
so....what do you thnk about the games?
 
 
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Posted: #50
Perfect Example. Todays Phillies game. Public loved the Under. Over was.


I'm telling you I have made a killing in baseball totals this year. When the the Public LOVES an UNDER,  PLAY THE OVER. Do this for every game, no parlays, same amount of money every game, you will be plenty ahead by years end.
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