Posted:
#1
YTD: 69-40 (+24.21 units)..............all plays risk 1 unit.
Yesterday: 2-1 (+0.80)
Tampa Bay/Cleveland UNDER 11 +103
I might wait to actually play this as I think it could hit 11.5. Here's some things to consider:
1. These teams rank #1 and #4 in runs scored in MLB.
2. These teams both have shitty bullpens ranked #15 and #27 in MLB.
3. These teams are on a combined 24-8 OVER run.
4. The umpire in this game is 48-28 to the OVER in the last 2+ years.
5. Both starting pitchers in today's game are absolute dogshit.
6. Combine the 1st 5 things with the fact that the 1st 3 games in this series have been wild high scoring affairs combining for 15.3 runs a game and you would think this is a lock for an OVER, right? Wrong. All those reasons listed above are exactly why I'm on the UNDER, and the fact that this is a turnaround 12:00 start makes it even sweeter.
Baltimore ML -108
Armando Galaragga is finally having his stats catch up with him. The reality is he wasn't as good as the numbers he's put up the last year or so. He's been crap lately and he's always been significantly worse vs lefthanded bats. The O's have some tough lefty sticks and I believe they get another today with Luke Scott coming back. I don't like betting on guys making their MLB debuts but this Hernandez kid has put up very impressive numbers in the minors and this play is more of a fade of Galaragga.
GL.
Yesterday: 2-1 (+0.80)
Tampa Bay/Cleveland UNDER 11 +103
I might wait to actually play this as I think it could hit 11.5. Here's some things to consider:
1. These teams rank #1 and #4 in runs scored in MLB.
2. These teams both have shitty bullpens ranked #15 and #27 in MLB.
3. These teams are on a combined 24-8 OVER run.
4. The umpire in this game is 48-28 to the OVER in the last 2+ years.
5. Both starting pitchers in today's game are absolute dogshit.
6. Combine the 1st 5 things with the fact that the 1st 3 games in this series have been wild high scoring affairs combining for 15.3 runs a game and you would think this is a lock for an OVER, right? Wrong. All those reasons listed above are exactly why I'm on the UNDER, and the fact that this is a turnaround 12:00 start makes it even sweeter.
Baltimore ML -108
Armando Galaragga is finally having his stats catch up with him. The reality is he wasn't as good as the numbers he's put up the last year or so. He's been crap lately and he's always been significantly worse vs lefthanded bats. The O's have some tough lefty sticks and I believe they get another today with Luke Scott coming back. I don't like betting on guys making their MLB debuts but this Hernandez kid has put up very impressive numbers in the minors and this play is more of a fade of Galaragga.
GL.
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