The Reds are red hot and slaughtering lefties. On MLB they are listed at 3-1 vs lefty starters, but the news is much better. In the 5-nning head-to-head, starter vs starter category, they are not only 3-1, but have scored above MLB average in all 4 games, even the one they lost, and clobbered the last 3 lefties with an average offensive rating of 47.4, vs the MLB average of 37.2. That is per my rankings, so I don’t expect anyone to fully understand it, but take my word for it, that is a HUGE difference. The Rays come in at 9-9 vs righty, but have really struggled lately, not scoring above league average for 5 consecutive games.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
9-12 -2, -256.03, RoR -11.6%
JMHO – 4/21
F5 – RL – Reds +125 Burns/Matz
The Reds are red hot and slaughtering lefties. On MLB they are listed at 3-1 vs lefty starters, but the news is much better. In the 5-nning head-to-head, starter vs starter category, they are not only 3-1, but have scored above MLB average in all 4 games, even the one they lost, and clobbered the last 3 lefties with an average offensive rating of 47.4, vs the MLB average of 37.2. That is per my rankings, so I don’t expect anyone to fully understand it, but take my word for it, that is a HUGE difference. The Rays come in at 9-9 vs righty, but have really struggled lately, not scoring above league average for 5 consecutive games.
You do not read or track the same stats and conditions I do, and I do not care about YTD stats or bullpens (learned that lesson last week). I track and compute for 5 inning purposes, and what happened in March is of far less concern than what has happened the last ten days, or two weeks. All that I track is graded, from most recent to farthest back, with some stats eventually becoming irrelevant. Here is a good example:
About ten to fifteen years ago the Brewers had an absolutely disastrous April on the road, something like 3-12. They got over it in May and by June were a near 50/50 road team, based on their road trips in May and June. So, we had a guy here that kept saying, ALL SEASON, "I would love to take the Brewers today, BUT THEY ARE SUCH A BAD ROAD TEAM." Obviously he was looking at YTD stats and felt they were still applicable, when nothing could have been further from the truth.
I have long considered you a friend Rebel, and I appreciate your views and opinions, but sometimes you must realize I am looking at things from a different perspective. Please don't be offended. If you prefer FG, by all means go for it, but I feel our best advantage is F5, lefty vs righty, and a very hot offense vs lefty.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
3
@RebelTell2
You do not read or track the same stats and conditions I do, and I do not care about YTD stats or bullpens (learned that lesson last week). I track and compute for 5 inning purposes, and what happened in March is of far less concern than what has happened the last ten days, or two weeks. All that I track is graded, from most recent to farthest back, with some stats eventually becoming irrelevant. Here is a good example:
About ten to fifteen years ago the Brewers had an absolutely disastrous April on the road, something like 3-12. They got over it in May and by June were a near 50/50 road team, based on their road trips in May and June. So, we had a guy here that kept saying, ALL SEASON, "I would love to take the Brewers today, BUT THEY ARE SUCH A BAD ROAD TEAM." Obviously he was looking at YTD stats and felt they were still applicable, when nothing could have been further from the truth.
I have long considered you a friend Rebel, and I appreciate your views and opinions, but sometimes you must realize I am looking at things from a different perspective. Please don't be offended. If you prefer FG, by all means go for it, but I feel our best advantage is F5, lefty vs righty, and a very hot offense vs lefty.
He lives between 92 to 102, hard throwing 23 year old.
He might have one of the best sliders in the game, throwing it around 93 to 95 mph.
The Rays have not hit RHP well in the last 2 weeks(195 plate appearances) in innings 1 through 5. 51.8% of their batted balls have been into the ground in this frame. Hitting .211 with an ops of .560.
Burns worst outing was vs the Angels because of walks. The ball was getting away from him. When he has control he's really tough.
I like the play, but won't bet it to avoid the double jynx.
Good Luck
1
I can dig it.
The Rays have never seen Chase Burns.
He lives between 92 to 102, hard throwing 23 year old.
He might have one of the best sliders in the game, throwing it around 93 to 95 mph.
The Rays have not hit RHP well in the last 2 weeks(195 plate appearances) in innings 1 through 5. 51.8% of their batted balls have been into the ground in this frame. Hitting .211 with an ops of .560.
Burns worst outing was vs the Angels because of walks. The ball was getting away from him. When he has control he's really tough.
I like the play, but won't bet it to avoid the double jynx.
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