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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    The one and only MLB System!!!

    «First Previous 171819 ... 192021 Next Last»
    odieo
    BURG2VEGAS
    JNaylor07
    MicShea
    Ainokea
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    «First Previous 171819 ... 192021 Next Last»
     
    odieo
    odieo
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 10:23 AM ET #401

    RESULTS for 5/3"

    SF
    FLA 
    PITT
    CHC

    CLE
    LAA/BOS U7

    LAA/BOS sic back door under - Sox ran it up against the Angels bullpen - guess my analysis for that Over was way off! lol...sometimes u get lucky....just goes to show you I think we want to be careful betting Unders in parks like fenway and on teams with such crazy good lineups like the Sox - they can explode on a bullpen like last night

    Also I think another strategy to betting these unders may be to hedge with the 5inn line - that way a bullpen can hurt you - for example last night you would have broken even(or lost the VIG) if you had played equal bets on the 5inn line and 9inn total.

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    RESULTS for 5/3"

    SF
    FLA 
    PITT
    CHC

    CLE
    LAA/BOS U7

    LAA/BOS sic back door under - Sox ran it up against the Angels bullpen - guess my analysis for that Over was way off! lol...sometimes u get lucky....just goes to show you I think we want to be careful betting Unders in parks like fenway and on teams with such crazy good lineups like the Sox - they can explode on a bullpen like last night

    Also I think another strategy to betting these unders may be to hedge with the 5inn line - that way a bullpen can hurt you - for example last night you would have broken even(or lost the VIG) if you had played equal bets on the 5inn line and 9inn total.

     
    BURG2VEGAS
    BURG2VEGAS
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 10:53 AM ET #402

    wussup bro, unders been shitty this year i keep sayin it but i believe they will turn,seems to me that oddsmakers have caught up w/system undersd makin it hard to benefit from any value,anyway last nite not bad today i have

    cubbies+107

    bucs+120 corriea coming back to s.d

    nats+140

    dbacks+119

    yanks+104

    oak/texas under 7

    twins now +150 but last nite bet jam had +158 so no play for me BOL

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    wussup bro, unders been shitty this year i keep sayin it but i believe they will turn,seems to me that oddsmakers have caught up w/system undersd makin it hard to benefit from any value,anyway last nite not bad today i have

    cubbies+107

    bucs+120 corriea coming back to s.d

    nats+140

    dbacks+119

    yanks+104

    oak/texas under 7

    twins now +150 but last nite bet jam had +158 so no play for me BOL

     
    odieo
    odieo
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 11:24 AM ET #403

    SYSTEM PLAYS FOR 5/4:

    MIN*
    CHC
    PIT*
    WASH*
    ARZ*


    *Lot of borderline plays today:

    MIN - They opened in most books just under +150 and have moved to that number since.  Perhaps early bettors assume a big game hangover after Liriano's No No last night?  Honestly I think that could have been just what the Twins needed to jump start their season after a 6 game skid.....Morale in the clubhouse will be at an all time high.  The main reason I think this is a borderline play is John Danks sits at #29 in the ratings - close enough for discussion.  Despite pitching pretty decent thus far the White Sox have failed to back up Mr. Danks with a W in all of his 6 starts.  Gonna fire on the Twinkies.

    PIT - Clayton Richard #31 the cause for discussion.  He has pitched well in his last 2 starts and has gotten no run support so unfortunately has had to take a couple L's....Correia coming off his best start of the year @ COL no easy place to pitch - Tough decision here, but I think this will be a close enough game to warrant a play on the plus side.

    WASH - This is a very tricky one - Worley pitched great against the Mutts, however we see this a lot in baseball when an unknown comes in and is lights out for his first few starts until hitters get some tape on him.  Normally I would say throw this play out, but on the other side the Nats have Marquis pitching who has been great as of late and worked his way up to #18 in the ratings.  At +135 I don't see how we can lay off a top 20 pitcher on the Dog side vs. a rook who could get shelled in any of his upcoming starts.  The Phillies offense is somewhat of an X-factor here, but I feel they are way too streaky to not fire on this one.

    ARZ - Chacin being #26 in ratings warrants a discussion here.  He hasn't done anything mind blowing though - I think i'll take the home dog here.



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    SYSTEM PLAYS FOR 5/4:

    MIN*
    CHC
    PIT*
    WASH*
    ARZ*


    *Lot of borderline plays today:

    MIN - They opened in most books just under +150 and have moved to that number since.  Perhaps early bettors assume a big game hangover after Liriano's No No last night?  Honestly I think that could have been just what the Twins needed to jump start their season after a 6 game skid.....Morale in the clubhouse will be at an all time high.  The main reason I think this is a borderline play is John Danks sits at #29 in the ratings - close enough for discussion.  Despite pitching pretty decent thus far the White Sox have failed to back up Mr. Danks with a W in all of his 6 starts.  Gonna fire on the Twinkies.

    PIT - Clayton Richard #31 the cause for discussion.  He has pitched well in his last 2 starts and has gotten no run support so unfortunately has had to take a couple L's....Correia coming off his best start of the year @ COL no easy place to pitch - Tough decision here, but I think this will be a close enough game to warrant a play on the plus side.

    WASH - This is a very tricky one - Worley pitched great against the Mutts, however we see this a lot in baseball when an unknown comes in and is lights out for his first few starts until hitters get some tape on him.  Normally I would say throw this play out, but on the other side the Nats have Marquis pitching who has been great as of late and worked his way up to #18 in the ratings.  At +135 I don't see how we can lay off a top 20 pitcher on the Dog side vs. a rook who could get shelled in any of his upcoming starts.  The Phillies offense is somewhat of an X-factor here, but I feel they are way too streaky to not fire on this one.

    ARZ - Chacin being #26 in ratings warrants a discussion here.  He hasn't done anything mind blowing though - I think i'll take the home dog here.



     
    odieo
    odieo
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 11:28 AM ET #404

    Quote Originally Posted by BURG2VEGAS:

    wussup bro, unders been shitty this year i keep sayin it but i believe they will turn,seems to me that oddsmakers have caught up w/system undersd makin it hard to benefit from any value,anyway last nite not bad today i have

    cubbies+107

    bucs+120 corriea coming back to s.d

    nats+140

    dbacks+119

    yanks+104

    oak/texas under 7

    twins now +150 but last nite bet jam had +158 so no play for me BOL



    Twinkies definitely on the border.

    Yanks -102 in my book, but probably still a good bet.

    Missed that under, thx - actually like that play for once - OAK offense has been god awful.

    No play on ARZ?  did you miss that one or are u laying off for other reasons?
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    Quote Originally Posted by BURG2VEGAS:

    wussup bro, unders been shitty this year i keep sayin it but i believe they will turn,seems to me that oddsmakers have caught up w/system undersd makin it hard to benefit from any value,anyway last nite not bad today i have

    cubbies+107

    bucs+120 corriea coming back to s.d

    nats+140

    dbacks+119

    yanks+104

    oak/texas under 7

    twins now +150 but last nite bet jam had +158 so no play for me BOL



    Twinkies definitely on the border.

    Yanks -102 in my book, but probably still a good bet.

    Missed that under, thx - actually like that play for once - OAK offense has been god awful.

    No play on ARZ?  did you miss that one or are u laying off for other reasons?
     
    odieo
    odieo
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 12:01 PM ET #405

    also what about TOR?  they are +108 in my book now.
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    also what about TOR?  they are +108 in my book now.
     
    odieo
    odieo
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 12:07 PM ET #406

    Quote Originally Posted by odieo:



    Twinkies definitely on the border.

    Yanks -102 in my book, but probably still a good bet.

    Missed that under, thx - actually like that play for once - OAK offense has been god awful.

    No play on ARZ?  did you miss that one or are u laying off for other reasons?


    My bad - yo got Dbacks on there.

    TOR?
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    Quote Originally Posted by odieo:



    Twinkies definitely on the border.

    Yanks -102 in my book, but probably still a good bet.

    Missed that under, thx - actually like that play for once - OAK offense has been god awful.

    No play on ARZ?  did you miss that one or are u laying off for other reasons?


    My bad - yo got Dbacks on there.

    TOR?
     
    JNaylor07
    JNaylor07
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 2:38 PM ET #407

    Quote Originally Posted by odieo:



    My bad - yo got Dbacks on there.

    TOR?

    Whats up, I have been following this thread the past week or so and have been doing a little research on my own.....I do have Toronto down as a play today....or does it not count because Niemann has not pitched over 29 innings this season??? Still i like this play anyway
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    Quote Originally Posted by odieo:



    My bad - yo got Dbacks on there.

    TOR?

    Whats up, I have been following this thread the past week or so and have been doing a little research on my own.....I do have Toronto down as a play today....or does it not count because Niemann has not pitched over 29 innings this season??? Still i like this play anyway
     
    BURG2VEGAS
    BURG2VEGAS
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 3:44 PM ET #408

    jays have lost 3 in a row no play

    and to you mr balls of clemens  FUCK YOU POLITLEY

    i have been a dedicated follower to this system for years and it has worked ,and it is not the only pistol i fire with in mlb,but its a little extra ammo in my arsenal when looking at angles on the daily board in mlb your opinion in your opinion but dont come in here bashing and sucking martingales dick

    BOL

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    jays have lost 3 in a row no play

    and to you mr balls of clemens  FUCK YOU POLITLEY

    i have been a dedicated follower to this system for years and it has worked ,and it is not the only pistol i fire with in mlb,but its a little extra ammo in my arsenal when looking at angles on the daily board in mlb your opinion in your opinion but dont come in here bashing and sucking martingales dick

    BOL

     
    MicShea
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 6:13 PM ET #409

    no play on Jays they have lost 3 in a row

    first two games winners  Minn + Cubs

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    no play on Jays they have lost 3 in a row

    first two games winners  Minn + Cubs

     
    JNaylor07
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 11:07 PM ET #410

    Quote Originally Posted by MicShea:

    no play on Jays they have lost 3 in a row

    first two games winners  Minn + Cubs


    hmmm...i guess the standings i was looking at weren't updated. you're right though...TOR was not a play, even though they did win
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    Quote Originally Posted by MicShea:

    no play on Jays they have lost 3 in a row

    first two games winners  Minn + Cubs


    hmmm...i guess the standings i was looking at weren't updated. you're right though...TOR was not a play, even though they did win
     
    BURG2VEGAS
    BURG2VEGAS
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 11:57 PM ET #411

    something i do sometimes if i win early sides i wont play late sides, and if system loses early i will sometimes press late

    lots of early games tommorow will update shortly

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    something i do sometimes if i win early sides i wont play late sides, and if system loses early i will sometimes press late

    lots of early games tommorow will update shortly

     
    BURG2VEGAS
    BURG2VEGAS
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    Posted: May. 5, 2011 - 2:13 AM ET #412

    thursday sagarin

    toronto ??? if thry open+149 or lower is a play

    tigers opened +100 now -104 get on it opened +$ makes it a play

    astros+135

    mariners+106

    atlanta/brewer under 7.5 -120 beachy and marcum

    i think i may take early games off with david price coming off bad game he responds well, you see what astros did yesterday ,and yankee/tiger game very close, and as i said earlier if the first 3 sides go 1-2 or 0-3 ,i can double down on seattle late

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    thursday sagarin

    toronto ??? if thry open+149 or lower is a play

    tigers opened +100 now -104 get on it opened +$ makes it a play

    astros+135

    mariners+106

    atlanta/brewer under 7.5 -120 beachy and marcum

    i think i may take early games off with david price coming off bad game he responds well, you see what astros did yesterday ,and yankee/tiger game very close, and as i said earlier if the first 3 sides go 1-2 or 0-3 ,i can double down on seattle late

     
    JNaylor07
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    Posted: May. 5, 2011 - 2:29 AM ET #413

    Quote Originally Posted by BURG2VEGAS:

    thursday sagarin

    toronto ??? if thry open+149 or lower is a play

    tigers opened +100 now -104 get on it opened +$ makes it a play

    astros+135

    mariners+106

    atlanta/brewer under 7.5 -120 beachy and marcum

    i think i may take early games off with david price coming off bad game he responds well, you see what astros did yesterday ,and yankee/tiger game very close, and as i said earlier if the first 3 sides go 1-2 or 0-3 ,i can double down on seattle late


    i had the same thing, although im not playing the unders. also wasnt sure to count houston as they are facing Homer Bailey in his first start of the season. do we still count this? 

    I like Tigers and Mariners the best here.

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    Quote Originally Posted by BURG2VEGAS:

    thursday sagarin

    toronto ??? if thry open+149 or lower is a play

    tigers opened +100 now -104 get on it opened +$ makes it a play

    astros+135

    mariners+106

    atlanta/brewer under 7.5 -120 beachy and marcum

    i think i may take early games off with david price coming off bad game he responds well, you see what astros did yesterday ,and yankee/tiger game very close, and as i said earlier if the first 3 sides go 1-2 or 0-3 ,i can double down on seattle late


    i had the same thing, although im not playing the unders. also wasnt sure to count houston as they are facing Homer Bailey in his first start of the season. do we still count this? 

    I like Tigers and Mariners the best here.

     
    JNaylor07
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    Posted: May. 5, 2011 - 3:28 AM ET #414

    i agree about David Price. copied from statfox.com report:

    Since 1997, David Price is 7-0 when starting against Toronto with an ERA of 2.30 and a WHIP of 1.097. His team's record is 8-0 in these starts. 

    With that said, that trend has to turn around at some point. I'm staying away though.
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    i agree about David Price. copied from statfox.com report:

    Since 1997, David Price is 7-0 when starting against Toronto with an ERA of 2.30 and a WHIP of 1.097. His team's record is 8-0 in these starts. 

    With that said, that trend has to turn around at some point. I'm staying away though.
     
    odieo
    odieo
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    Posted: May. 5, 2011 - 12:59 PM ET #415

    Quote Originally Posted by BURG2VEGAS:

    thursday sagarin

    toronto ??? if thry open+149 or lower is a play

    tigers opened +100 now -104 get on it opened +$ makes it a play

    astros+135

    mariners+106

    atlanta/brewer under 7.5 -120 beachy and marcum

    i think i may take early games off with david price coming off bad game he responds well, you see what astros did yesterday ,and yankee/tiger game very close, and as i said earlier if the first 3 sides go 1-2 or 0-3 ,i can double down on seattle late



    BURG -

    Agree with you on TOR - Disagree on HOU - i think there is value in their price against a pitcher coming off the DL.

    Haven't capped the late games yet, but hey we finally hit a total last night!  lets keep it goin!
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    Quote Originally Posted by BURG2VEGAS:

    thursday sagarin

    toronto ??? if thry open+149 or lower is a play

    tigers opened +100 now -104 get on it opened +$ makes it a play

    astros+135

    mariners+106

    atlanta/brewer under 7.5 -120 beachy and marcum

    i think i may take early games off with david price coming off bad game he responds well, you see what astros did yesterday ,and yankee/tiger game very close, and as i said earlier if the first 3 sides go 1-2 or 0-3 ,i can double down on seattle late



    BURG -

    Agree with you on TOR - Disagree on HOU - i think there is value in their price against a pitcher coming off the DL.

    Haven't capped the late games yet, but hey we finally hit a total last night!  lets keep it goin!
     
    BURG2VEGAS
    BURG2VEGAS
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    Posted: May. 5, 2011 - 2:31 PM ET #416

    ya i did some diggin last nite on reds game i ended up actually buckin the system and taking reds i just think the way they own this astro team no way they lose 2 outta 3 to them, houston had there chance yesterday.

    i didnt take detroit either i had this game to close for comfort

    i actually cranked the mets and reds, and made a small play on angels

    system wise im going to try mariners tonite, may try atl/milw under ,but tonite i really like brew crew w/shaun marcum ,i also like ian kennedy at home small number,and of course our system play w m's

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    ya i did some diggin last nite on reds game i ended up actually buckin the system and taking reds i just think the way they own this astro team no way they lose 2 outta 3 to them, houston had there chance yesterday.

    i didnt take detroit either i had this game to close for comfort

    i actually cranked the mets and reds, and made a small play on angels

    system wise im going to try mariners tonite, may try atl/milw under ,but tonite i really like brew crew w/shaun marcum ,i also like ian kennedy at home small number,and of course our system play w m's

     
    odieo
    odieo
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    Posted: May. 5, 2011 - 8:35 PM ET #417

    Quote Originally Posted by BURG2VEGAS:

    ya i did some diggin last nite on reds game i ended up actually buckin the system and taking reds i just think the way they own this astro team no way they lose 2 outta 3 to them, houston had there chance yesterday.

    i didnt take detroit either i had this game to close for comfort

    i actually cranked the mets and reds, and made a small play on angels

    system wise im going to try mariners tonite, may try atl/milw under ,but tonite i really like brew crew w/shaun marcum ,i also like ian kennedy at home small number,and of course our system play w m's



    Yea HOU was prolly a mistake, I liked the number though - thought it would be a closer game on getaway day.  Took Detroit - Yanks a bit banged up today, no Jeter, Cano and eh....I too had a small play on LAA - however looking at it I think they qualify as a system play - depending on the book and where the number opened. 

    Kicking myself so hard for not capping the Mets' harder (their my team) Glanced at it and saw no value @even money with big Pelf going and Sanchez for SF.  Was busy this morning and didn't look into it until after the game started - SF already with the series clinched and ending their East coast road trip heading across the country back home after the game to take on COL a team in their division. Mets trying not to get swept at home. Pretty much a no brainer to fire on the Metsies and I think there was a TON of value playing them -1 for a plus number.  Ah well good ole Monday QB.....

    Played the M's as well as the ATL/MIL total - looking good so far.  Also have a small play on MIL.  Small play on CLE as well which worked out.

    I feel this system is heating up...excited for May/June.
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    Quote Originally Posted by BURG2VEGAS:

    ya i did some diggin last nite on reds game i ended up actually buckin the system and taking reds i just think the way they own this astro team no way they lose 2 outta 3 to them, houston had there chance yesterday.

    i didnt take detroit either i had this game to close for comfort

    i actually cranked the mets and reds, and made a small play on angels

    system wise im going to try mariners tonite, may try atl/milw under ,but tonite i really like brew crew w/shaun marcum ,i also like ian kennedy at home small number,and of course our system play w m's



    Yea HOU was prolly a mistake, I liked the number though - thought it would be a closer game on getaway day.  Took Detroit - Yanks a bit banged up today, no Jeter, Cano and eh....I too had a small play on LAA - however looking at it I think they qualify as a system play - depending on the book and where the number opened. 

    Kicking myself so hard for not capping the Mets' harder (their my team) Glanced at it and saw no value @even money with big Pelf going and Sanchez for SF.  Was busy this morning and didn't look into it until after the game started - SF already with the series clinched and ending their East coast road trip heading across the country back home after the game to take on COL a team in their division. Mets trying not to get swept at home. Pretty much a no brainer to fire on the Metsies and I think there was a TON of value playing them -1 for a plus number.  Ah well good ole Monday QB.....

    Played the M's as well as the ATL/MIL total - looking good so far.  Also have a small play on MIL.  Small play on CLE as well which worked out.

    I feel this system is heating up...excited for May/June.
     
    JNaylor07
    JNaylor07
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    Posted: May. 6, 2011 - 1:32 PM ET #418

    5/6 Plays

    Minnesota +136
    Houston +106
    Colorado +107
    LA Dodgers +117

    I'm liking the Dodgers the most here

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    5/6 Plays

    Minnesota +136
    Houston +106
    Colorado +107
    LA Dodgers +117

    I'm liking the Dodgers the most here

     
    BURG2VEGAS
    BURG2VEGAS
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    Posted: May. 6, 2011 - 3:27 PM ET #419

    ton of plays for friday

    TOTALS

    atl/phils U7.5

    st.lou/brewer U8

    O'S/rays U8

    ASTROS+105

    LAD+114

    ZONA+130

    ROCKIES+104

    TWINS+137

    TIGERS+105

    BOLPLAY NONE,PLAY ONE,OR PLAY ALL

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    ton of plays for friday

    TOTALS

    atl/phils U7.5

    st.lou/brewer U8

    O'S/rays U8

    ASTROS+105

    LAD+114

    ZONA+130

    ROCKIES+104

    TWINS+137

    TIGERS+105

    BOLPLAY NONE,PLAY ONE,OR PLAY ALL

     
    JNaylor07
    JNaylor07
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    Posted: May. 6, 2011 - 3:38 PM ET #420

    Detroit on 3 game win streak....still a play? 

    i didnt count Arizona because someone on this thread said system worked better when you bet against pitchers outside of top 25 instead of top 20. stauffer is 25th in sagarin rankings for NL
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    Detroit on 3 game win streak....still a play? 

    i didnt count Arizona because someone on this thread said system worked better when you bet against pitchers outside of top 25 instead of top 20. stauffer is 25th in sagarin rankings for NL
     
    Ainokea
    Ainokea
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    Posted: May. 6, 2011 - 7:16 PM ET #421

    Any reason why KC is not a play?
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    Any reason why KC is not a play?
     
    BURG2VEGAS
    BURG2VEGAS
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    Posted: May. 6, 2011 - 11:19 PM ET #422

    FORGOT KC DIDNT POST M'S UNDER BUT PLAYED IT

    DETROIT WAS A DOG I PLAY DOGS IF ON WIN STREAK NOT A LOSING STREAK,BUT IM SORRY I DID

    UNDERS NICE RUN

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    FORGOT KC DIDNT POST M'S UNDER BUT PLAYED IT

    DETROIT WAS A DOG I PLAY DOGS IF ON WIN STREAK NOT A LOSING STREAK,BUT IM SORRY I DID

    UNDERS NICE RUN

     
    BroadwayBob
    BroadwayBob
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    Posted: May. 7, 2011 - 11:55 AM ET #423

    TPs

    Tigers/BJs.......U7.5 -120

    Braves +108 @ Phils

    Nats + 123 @ Marls

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    TPs

    Tigers/BJs.......U7.5 -120

    Braves +108 @ Phils

    Nats + 123 @ Marls

     
    BroadwayBob
    BroadwayBob
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    Posted: May. 7, 2011 - 11:58 AM ET #424

    Add:

    Rocks +115 @ Giants

    Any corrections appreciated.

    Add ons appreciated as well.

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    Add:

    Rocks +115 @ Giants

    Any corrections appreciated.

    Add ons appreciated as well.

     
     
    Barnstorm
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: May. 8, 2011 - 3:32 PM ET #425

    What's the record of this system so far? Or at least from May 1?

    I see picks but no results or records.

    GL
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    What's the record of this system so far? Or at least from May 1?

    I see picks but no results or records.

    GL
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