TB and Why 10-18-26

I guess the break on Friday benefitted TB yesterday - either way TB got it done.  I did not went 1-1 -with Clev losing but hitting the under First 5.     Let's look at some numbers:

-132 TB Rasmussen   -1   

6.5   Clev.   Messick    11 

Line opened at -132 currently 124-126  (madduxsports.com)   .    I give Rasmussen a rating of -1 a very elite pitcher with more strikeouts than I.P.   His last game out he struggled - in that game he had not pitched for 9 days - pitchers love routine and sometimes it can affect them.    In todays game we have him on 6 days rest.     Messick has a rating of 11;  more strikeouts than i.p - a very good sign of a pitcher this late in the season for a starter.    I think both pitchers are going to be on their game today.   

The reason I like TB - is the ratings  -1 vs 11 ,  last year we had a similar game in the playoffs with these exact ratings and both pitchers had more strike outs than I.P. - so trying to get as close to apples to apples as I can.    The only difference in that game vice this game today was the opening line - in that game it was 125 for the road fav. in this it's 132.  I use a few other metrics and it's all pointing to TB .      

My plays:

1.  TB -127 

2. small small parlay  run in the first inning -yes  +145 to TB -1.5 +142   pays 4.5 to 1 

Good luck all    

GL 

@Quaffer

 Thanks bud - back at ya

Always respect your plays Buddah. You think this is something I should go for the fences. 

I have a 4 leg 

Bears, Rays , Cowboys , Niners mL

18 units to get 140 units

o want o make Rays ML the largest position I have been on for 150 units. I just don’t see how the Cleveland bats will get to the Rays pitcher 

@queensfinest17

 Sorry just seeing this now - I feel pretty confident about - if that helps .  I like the fact I have data that’s identical to last year - gives me that extra confidence / appreciate your comments Bol in your choices 

Messick looks nervous

An equally as good as a reason why to side with TB is that the sooner Clev. is eliminated, the sooner I can stop having to hit my mute button every time the Indians fans start singing Chase Delauter to the melody of Country Roads.  Why does that grate on my nerves so much?

@wildwelder303

 He definitely looked rattled - not confidant . 

@iceman67

lol 

3 outs Baker !!!!!

Actually had to get 4.    nice win Buddah grats

@iceman67

 Thanks bud .    

what a win - hit the small parlay as well sweeet !!!!!

@TheBuddah

@TheBuddah

 Like them Monday as well 

Thanks for the analysis   

i ended up putting the 140 units on the rays. 
good thing I did with the lack luster performance the Cowboys put up. thanks always for the hard word and keep being spot on. Great Call