I was curious so I just went back and looked at every game thus far. With a closing over/under of 7 runs or less per closing line on Covers, this system has 1 loss. Might be the move
Hye, good intel my friend. Really appreciated. So only 1 loss when the line was 7 or under at closing? I am reading that right correct?
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Quote Originally Posted by ADAMOX:
I was curious so I just went back and looked at every game thus far. With a closing over/under of 7 runs or less per closing line on Covers, this system has 1 loss. Might be the move
Hye, good intel my friend. Really appreciated. So only 1 loss when the line was 7 or under at closing? I am reading that right correct?
Yep you're reading it correctly and I calculated the same. I'm a smaller player so trying to win $25 a game instead of $250 but I'd be happy up $725 right about now lol
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Yep you're reading it correctly and I calculated the same. I'm a smaller player so trying to win $25 a game instead of $250 but I'd be happy up $725 right about now lol
Yep you're reading it correctly and I calculated the same. I'm a smaller player so trying to win $25 a game instead of $250 but I'd be happy up $725 right about now lol
Same boat man, Im not Mr. Deep Pockets by any means, as long as I win even 1 dollar at the end of it all I am happy with a profit. So then that will definitely be criteria for a play. Total game O/U @ Less than or equal to 7.
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Quote Originally Posted by ADAMOX:
Yep you're reading it correctly and I calculated the same. I'm a smaller player so trying to win $25 a game instead of $250 but I'd be happy up $725 right about now lol
Same boat man, Im not Mr. Deep Pockets by any means, as long as I win even 1 dollar at the end of it all I am happy with a profit. So then that will definitely be criteria for a play. Total game O/U @ Less than or equal to 7.
Another good, profitable day overall. Cubs came out swinging for sure and glad that the third inning was a somewhat easy one. Looks like from here on out I will only be playing closing line 7 or below for this "system thing" after the helpful input by ADAMOX today.
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LAD/ATL - 2nd Inning Scoreless +2.5 units
ARI/SF - 2nd Inning Scoreless +2.5 units
CHC/CIN - 3rd Inning Scoreless +2.5 units
PIT/SD - 1st Inning Scoreless +2.5 units
Daily: 4-0 +10 units
Total: 12-0 +30 units
Another good, profitable day overall. Cubs came out swinging for sure and glad that the third inning was a somewhat easy one. Looks like from here on out I will only be playing closing line 7 or below for this "system thing" after the helpful input by ADAMOX today.
It would be profitable for all the 6 games that have already started.
The third stage looks a bit scary as going into the 3rd inning would mean laying a lot of units to break even depending on the odds.
I'm thinking about trying to go with only 2 steps progression - betting only up to 2nd inning.
Wondering if you have by any chance stats for first 2 innings as well? It would be 5-1 so far today - only Nats game needed 3rd inning to cash.
Bol on Arizona
Finally had time to do the math, and the number of games total played thus far, even after today is 232. With that being said 186 of those games have had a scoreless 1st, oOR 2nd inning. Meaning it has been successful at 80.17%. Only losing needing the 3rd inning or later to have the first scoreless inning 46 times for 19.82%.
Hope this helps.
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Quote Originally Posted by Arturo777:
Nice one DD.
That system is bloody promising.
It would be profitable for all the 6 games that have already started.
The third stage looks a bit scary as going into the 3rd inning would mean laying a lot of units to break even depending on the odds.
I'm thinking about trying to go with only 2 steps progression - betting only up to 2nd inning.
Wondering if you have by any chance stats for first 2 innings as well? It would be 5-1 so far today - only Nats game needed 3rd inning to cash.
Bol on Arizona
Finally had time to do the math, and the number of games total played thus far, even after today is 232. With that being said 186 of those games have had a scoreless 1st, oOR 2nd inning. Meaning it has been successful at 80.17%. Only losing needing the 3rd inning or later to have the first scoreless inning 46 times for 19.82%.
Just want to say great job man. I was only able to follow the first game today as i was busy but i followed all yesterday. Lets keep it up man. And as for the Input about the O/U 7 stat, I like it.
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Hey Dizzy,
Just want to say great job man. I was only able to follow the first game today as i was busy but i followed all yesterday. Lets keep it up man. And as for the Input about the O/U 7 stat, I like it.
Just want to say great job man. I was only able to follow the first game today as i was busy but i followed all yesterday. Lets keep it up man. And as for the Input about the O/U 7 stat, I like it.
Hey no worries man, glad you could make some profit! Cheers to you good sir!
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Quote Originally Posted by TheHawksWin:
Hey Dizzy,
Just want to say great job man. I was only able to follow the first game today as i was busy but i followed all yesterday. Lets keep it up man. And as for the Input about the O/U 7 stat, I like it.
Hey no worries man, glad you could make some profit! Cheers to you good sir!
Because it has been asked in the thread about only playing the first 2 innings to have a scoreless frame here are the results from that so far in the season including todays game that fit the 7 or under total at closing.
If only playing to the second inning to have a scoreless frame:
48-3
average loss would be about -15 units
48*2.5= 120
3*15=45
120-45= 75
You would be up 75 units.
If only playing to the third inning to have a scoreless frame
50-1
average loss would be about -30 units
50*2.5= 125
1*30=30
125-30= +95
You would be up 95 units.
Also this is not taking into account the game on opening day between CHC@LAA since that game didnt produce a closing total.
Hope this help clarify some things for some people. Also, 2 of the 3 losses for the second inning theory were between KC and OAK.
1 of those games (KC @ OAK) was also the lone loss for the 3rd inning theory.
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Because it has been asked in the thread about only playing the first 2 innings to have a scoreless frame here are the results from that so far in the season including todays game that fit the 7 or under total at closing.
If only playing to the second inning to have a scoreless frame:
48-3
average loss would be about -15 units
48*2.5= 120
3*15=45
120-45= 75
You would be up 75 units.
If only playing to the third inning to have a scoreless frame
50-1
average loss would be about -30 units
50*2.5= 125
1*30=30
125-30= +95
You would be up 95 units.
Also this is not taking into account the game on opening day between CHC@LAA since that game didnt produce a closing total.
Hope this help clarify some things for some people. Also, 2 of the 3 losses for the second inning theory were between KC and OAK.
1 of those games (KC @ OAK) was also the lone loss for the 3rd inning theory.
I also actually try to wait right before the game starts to make the first inning bet as well. It can show up on the regular pre game card at say -135 for the 1st inning. But as soon as live starts you can catch some at -111 or-120 even though its the same play. Be quick and shop around between live play and pre-game while you have the opportunity. getting good odds early can be the difference between 3-7 additional units lost if the entire thing fails.
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I also actually try to wait right before the game starts to make the first inning bet as well. It can show up on the regular pre game card at say -135 for the 1st inning. But as soon as live starts you can catch some at -111 or-120 even though its the same play. Be quick and shop around between live play and pre-game while you have the opportunity. getting good odds early can be the difference between 3-7 additional units lost if the entire thing fails.
+2.5 units
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