Are you tracking to see if these same games are also Under at half??..
I havent looked so much at that, as I also am looking for games that the O/U line for full game is already low, but I can start to see if the total under for 1st 5 is winning also starting tomorrow.
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Quote Originally Posted by Vicious_Vikings:
Are you tracking to see if these same games are also Under at half??..
I havent looked so much at that, as I also am looking for games that the O/U line for full game is already low, but I can start to see if the total under for 1st 5 is winning also starting tomorrow.
Very interesting, but wouldn't you have to bet every game to see true results? I appreciate hand selecting a few games a night but should those 3 or 4 all lose, you are crippled.
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Very interesting, but wouldn't you have to bet every game to see true results? I appreciate hand selecting a few games a night but should those 3 or 4 all lose, you are crippled.
How are we making money if 2 out of the first 3 innings have a score though? What am I missing here?
Yes, hypothetically lets say I wager to win 2.5 units for no run in the first inning at odds of -120. That would result in laying 3 units. one of the teams scores in the first inning causing our bet to lose. Bummer. Now we lay units to still win the 2.5 and make up for our loss. so if the odds were still at -120 we would lay 6.6 units to win 5.5. if that cashes we still have +2.5 units profit. Now if it fails then we are in the hole 9.6 units. so you can either risk units to break even if no run scores in the third which in our scenario would be to lay 11.52 units to win our 9.6 back if the odds stayed at -120. Or to try and still walk away with positive 2.5 units which would mean to lay 14.52 units to win 12.1 units if the odds were -120 throughout the scenario. If that fails we chalk it up as a loss of either 21.12 (If you played to break even in the third inning) or loss of 24.12 units if you played to win the 2.5 units still in the third inning. Iremind you that there have only be 19 games with a run scored in the first 3 innings so far this season out of 204 games played. That is 9.31%
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Quote Originally Posted by loserforeverz:
How are we making money if 2 out of the first 3 innings have a score though? What am I missing here?
Yes, hypothetically lets say I wager to win 2.5 units for no run in the first inning at odds of -120. That would result in laying 3 units. one of the teams scores in the first inning causing our bet to lose. Bummer. Now we lay units to still win the 2.5 and make up for our loss. so if the odds were still at -120 we would lay 6.6 units to win 5.5. if that cashes we still have +2.5 units profit. Now if it fails then we are in the hole 9.6 units. so you can either risk units to break even if no run scores in the third which in our scenario would be to lay 11.52 units to win our 9.6 back if the odds stayed at -120. Or to try and still walk away with positive 2.5 units which would mean to lay 14.52 units to win 12.1 units if the odds were -120 throughout the scenario. If that fails we chalk it up as a loss of either 21.12 (If you played to break even in the third inning) or loss of 24.12 units if you played to win the 2.5 units still in the third inning. Iremind you that there have only be 19 games with a run scored in the first 3 innings so far this season out of 204 games played. That is 9.31%
Very interesting, but wouldn't you have to bet every game to see true results? I appreciate hand selecting a few games a night but should those 3 or 4 all lose, you are crippled.
I personally dont want to bet every game, say you have 3-5 games going on at once. and each has a run the first ining you wont have enough funds to cover making it through the second inning in each..
And there have only been more than 1 game having a run in the first 3 innings 2 days this season and that was the 6th April with 3 losing out of 14 games being played and the 11th with 4 out of 11 games being losers.
I like games where the pitching is quality, the lineups and offense are mediocre and average typically, and vegas even thinks its a low scoring game.
Youre free to pick your own games, Im just posting what I like, Im not saying this is perfect by any means, its just a system I like to play. Play it at your own units, your own picks and your own risks. Im just trying to be open with what I enjoy doing on here.
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Quote Originally Posted by ADAMOX:
Very interesting, but wouldn't you have to bet every game to see true results? I appreciate hand selecting a few games a night but should those 3 or 4 all lose, you are crippled.
I personally dont want to bet every game, say you have 3-5 games going on at once. and each has a run the first ining you wont have enough funds to cover making it through the second inning in each..
And there have only been more than 1 game having a run in the first 3 innings 2 days this season and that was the 6th April with 3 losing out of 14 games being played and the 11th with 4 out of 11 games being losers.
I like games where the pitching is quality, the lineups and offense are mediocre and average typically, and vegas even thinks its a low scoring game.
Youre free to pick your own games, Im just posting what I like, Im not saying this is perfect by any means, its just a system I like to play. Play it at your own units, your own picks and your own risks. Im just trying to be open with what I enjoy doing on here.
I was curious so I just went back and looked at every game thus far. With a closing over/under of 7 runs or less per closing line on Covers, this system has 1 loss. Might be the move
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I was curious so I just went back and looked at every game thus far. With a closing over/under of 7 runs or less per closing line on Covers, this system has 1 loss. Might be the move
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