Posted:
#1
Friday 2-1 +1.99 Units: I was very happy that my play of the day hit without much of a sweat with the Dodgers/D'Backs under. The Mets clobbered the Twins for a pretty easy hit and the Reds rallied but fell just short preventing a sweep. I can't complain though because it was profitable day. It's a long season and slow n steady climbing is more then okay with me. I am just trying to be consistent and keep it going.
Season: 25-23-1 +2.43 Units
ML: 10-9
RL: 1-2
Totals: 12-9-1
Grand Salami: 0-2
Props: 2-1
Saturday Plays
Tigers/A's U 7 (-125) 1 Unit At first glance Verlander at -120 was pretty tempting but I told myself I wouldn't bet against the Green Machine anytime soon so I resisted the urge. I do however love the under in this game. I won't waste anyone's time or mine digging into Verlander's #s because they obviously speak for themselves. Anderson is entering his 5th season in the big leagues and he has started to really make his mark. He was very good in 2012 and so far he hasn't skipped a beat in his first 2 outings of 2013. This will be a day game following a 12 inning night game on Friday, I think we will be see a quick paced game on Saturday with the starting pitchers taking advantage in the early going. I know some bullpen use came into play on Friday and the Tigers pen isn't good, but I know I can count on Verlander to 7-8 innings if not longer and I am not worried about Oakland's pen. Lots of 0s on the board in this one on Saturday.
Braves/Nationals O 7 (+110) 1 Unit: At first glance Hudson vs Strasburg probably looks like a pitchers dual and a solid under play but I don't see that happening in this one. Both pitchers have gotten off to shaky starts and neither one of them have done a real good job of shutting down the opposing team in previous match ups between the Braves and Nationals. Both offensives are very very good and they both are hitting right handed pitching well. The even # of 7 is what makes me really like this play, I think both of these teams can definitely put up 3 runs a piece on Saturday which would make this a push. I like my chances for + money that I can get that 5-3, 5-4 type of game. The big named pitchers are nice but a day game in Washington with these 2 offenses, ill take my chances for + money. I was fighting myself for a while on whether or not to pull the trigger on this one but my gut says it goes over, so the submit button was clicked.
Dodgers/D'Backs U 9 (-120) 1 Unit: I loved the under between these two teams on Friday's series opener with Kershaw and Corbin on the hill and not much has changed heading into Saturday nights game. The Dodgers will be going with what they hope will be their Korean superstar Hyun-Jin Ryu. So far the lefty is 1-1 with a 2.13 era, 11K/2BB ratio and a 1.18 whip. He will have the unfamiliarity factor heading into Saturday's game facing a debut squad who obviously have never seen him before. He will also be facing an Arizona team that is hitting .193 against lefties. Meanwhile the D'Backs will be countering with Ian Kennedy. So far this year Kennedy is 1-1 with a 4.15 era, 12K/2BB ratio, 1.08 whip and .255 average against. In 2012 Kennedy faced the Dodgers 3 times and to say he held them in check would be an understatement. In those 3 outings Kennedy had an era of 0.92, a whip of 0.81, and a .174 batting average against. He will he a good chance to continue that success facing a Dodgers line up that is hitting just .220 against right handed pitching so far this year and have mustered a total of just 27 runs in their first 10 games this season.
Mets ML (-131) 1 Unit: I have been kicking myself for not jumping on the Harvey train more often. What is their not to like about Matt Harvey? This kid can flat out pitch and I have backed him a few times so far in his young career but I plan on doing it a ton in 2013. So far Harvey is 2-0 with a 0.64 era, 19K/4BB ratio, 0.57 whip and teams are hitting .093 against him. Sure the sample size is small in 2013, but these godly #s was something Harvey started to do in 2012. Anytime you can end your rookie season with a 2.73 era, 70K/26BB, 1.15 whip and .200 batting average against you are doing something right. Harvey will be facing the Twins for the first time in his career and I think it will be a long day for the Twins hitters who will get their first taste of a future CY Young winner. The Twins will be countering with their 2012 ace in Scott Diamond. I backed Diamond a lot last season and it turned out to be a profitable play because the young lefty can definitely pitch but he isn't on the same level as Harvey imo. Diamond also tailed off a bit in the later stages of the 2012 season. Prior to the all star game Diamond had an era of 2.62, a whip of 1.18 and teams were hitting .266 against him. After the all star game Diamond's era shot up to 4.31, his whip rose to 1.31, and teams were hitting .281 against him. Diamond will be making his first start of the 2013 seasons following a DL stint while he recovered from left elbow surgery on his throwing hand. This will also be Diamond's first time facing the Mets so he will be able to enjoy that familiarity advantage similar to Harvey. I think the Mets continue their recent offensive surge and they take advantage of Diamond fresh off returning from the DL. When was the last time the Mets were laying -130 road chalk? Yea, it's been a while but that should be a good indicator who everyone thinks will win this game. In Matt Harvey I trust!!!
Phillies RL (+120) 1 Unit: Pure fade of the 1-9 Miami Marlins who are the complete laughing stock of Major League Baseball. It looks like the only offensive threat the Marlins have in Giancarlo Stanton is questionable for Saturday's game with a shoulder injury. He skipped Friday's game. Phillies starter Cole Hamels has gotten off to a rocky start but a Saturday match up against the Marlins is exactly what the doctor ordered. I think Hamels has a very strong outing and holds the Marlins to 1-2 runs at the most. The Marlins thus far this season have scored a total of 16 runs in 10 games, that 1.6 average should be right in Cole Hamels wheel zone on Saturday. The sample size for Miami starter Jose Fernandez is too small for me to really gauge what kinda pitcher he is and I didn't see his opening start against the Mets. The line sheet looks good but we shall see if he can do that again on Saturday. I think the magic # for the Phillies is 4 runs, if they can put a 4 spot I really like my chances of hitting this run line play.
Extended the card a little bit from the normal 3 plays, so hopefully it doesn't bite me in the ass but I feel pretty good about this card. Best of luck to everyone on Saturday, ill be checking my ESPN app during the day as much as I can at work :(
Season: 25-23-1 +2.43 Units
ML: 10-9
RL: 1-2
Totals: 12-9-1
Grand Salami: 0-2
Props: 2-1
Saturday Plays
Tigers/A's U 7 (-125) 1 Unit At first glance Verlander at -120 was pretty tempting but I told myself I wouldn't bet against the Green Machine anytime soon so I resisted the urge. I do however love the under in this game. I won't waste anyone's time or mine digging into Verlander's #s because they obviously speak for themselves. Anderson is entering his 5th season in the big leagues and he has started to really make his mark. He was very good in 2012 and so far he hasn't skipped a beat in his first 2 outings of 2013. This will be a day game following a 12 inning night game on Friday, I think we will be see a quick paced game on Saturday with the starting pitchers taking advantage in the early going. I know some bullpen use came into play on Friday and the Tigers pen isn't good, but I know I can count on Verlander to 7-8 innings if not longer and I am not worried about Oakland's pen. Lots of 0s on the board in this one on Saturday.
Braves/Nationals O 7 (+110) 1 Unit: At first glance Hudson vs Strasburg probably looks like a pitchers dual and a solid under play but I don't see that happening in this one. Both pitchers have gotten off to shaky starts and neither one of them have done a real good job of shutting down the opposing team in previous match ups between the Braves and Nationals. Both offensives are very very good and they both are hitting right handed pitching well. The even # of 7 is what makes me really like this play, I think both of these teams can definitely put up 3 runs a piece on Saturday which would make this a push. I like my chances for + money that I can get that 5-3, 5-4 type of game. The big named pitchers are nice but a day game in Washington with these 2 offenses, ill take my chances for + money. I was fighting myself for a while on whether or not to pull the trigger on this one but my gut says it goes over, so the submit button was clicked.
Dodgers/D'Backs U 9 (-120) 1 Unit: I loved the under between these two teams on Friday's series opener with Kershaw and Corbin on the hill and not much has changed heading into Saturday nights game. The Dodgers will be going with what they hope will be their Korean superstar Hyun-Jin Ryu. So far the lefty is 1-1 with a 2.13 era, 11K/2BB ratio and a 1.18 whip. He will have the unfamiliarity factor heading into Saturday's game facing a debut squad who obviously have never seen him before. He will also be facing an Arizona team that is hitting .193 against lefties. Meanwhile the D'Backs will be countering with Ian Kennedy. So far this year Kennedy is 1-1 with a 4.15 era, 12K/2BB ratio, 1.08 whip and .255 average against. In 2012 Kennedy faced the Dodgers 3 times and to say he held them in check would be an understatement. In those 3 outings Kennedy had an era of 0.92, a whip of 0.81, and a .174 batting average against. He will he a good chance to continue that success facing a Dodgers line up that is hitting just .220 against right handed pitching so far this year and have mustered a total of just 27 runs in their first 10 games this season.
Mets ML (-131) 1 Unit: I have been kicking myself for not jumping on the Harvey train more often. What is their not to like about Matt Harvey? This kid can flat out pitch and I have backed him a few times so far in his young career but I plan on doing it a ton in 2013. So far Harvey is 2-0 with a 0.64 era, 19K/4BB ratio, 0.57 whip and teams are hitting .093 against him. Sure the sample size is small in 2013, but these godly #s was something Harvey started to do in 2012. Anytime you can end your rookie season with a 2.73 era, 70K/26BB, 1.15 whip and .200 batting average against you are doing something right. Harvey will be facing the Twins for the first time in his career and I think it will be a long day for the Twins hitters who will get their first taste of a future CY Young winner. The Twins will be countering with their 2012 ace in Scott Diamond. I backed Diamond a lot last season and it turned out to be a profitable play because the young lefty can definitely pitch but he isn't on the same level as Harvey imo. Diamond also tailed off a bit in the later stages of the 2012 season. Prior to the all star game Diamond had an era of 2.62, a whip of 1.18 and teams were hitting .266 against him. After the all star game Diamond's era shot up to 4.31, his whip rose to 1.31, and teams were hitting .281 against him. Diamond will be making his first start of the 2013 seasons following a DL stint while he recovered from left elbow surgery on his throwing hand. This will also be Diamond's first time facing the Mets so he will be able to enjoy that familiarity advantage similar to Harvey. I think the Mets continue their recent offensive surge and they take advantage of Diamond fresh off returning from the DL. When was the last time the Mets were laying -130 road chalk? Yea, it's been a while but that should be a good indicator who everyone thinks will win this game. In Matt Harvey I trust!!!
Phillies RL (+120) 1 Unit: Pure fade of the 1-9 Miami Marlins who are the complete laughing stock of Major League Baseball. It looks like the only offensive threat the Marlins have in Giancarlo Stanton is questionable for Saturday's game with a shoulder injury. He skipped Friday's game. Phillies starter Cole Hamels has gotten off to a rocky start but a Saturday match up against the Marlins is exactly what the doctor ordered. I think Hamels has a very strong outing and holds the Marlins to 1-2 runs at the most. The Marlins thus far this season have scored a total of 16 runs in 10 games, that 1.6 average should be right in Cole Hamels wheel zone on Saturday. The sample size for Miami starter Jose Fernandez is too small for me to really gauge what kinda pitcher he is and I didn't see his opening start against the Mets. The line sheet looks good but we shall see if he can do that again on Saturday. I think the magic # for the Phillies is 4 runs, if they can put a 4 spot I really like my chances of hitting this run line play.
Extended the card a little bit from the normal 3 plays, so hopefully it doesn't bite me in the ass but I feel pretty good about this card. Best of luck to everyone on Saturday, ill be checking my ESPN app during the day as much as I can at work :(
0
good that baseball is back. bol bro today 
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