I'm stoked that I was able to rebound on Sunday with a sweep after going 1-4 on Saturday. It's kinda funny that on Saturday I had my worst day of the season, then on Sunday I had the best day of my season. I definitely was hoping for a rebound but I didn't expect it to be a sweep. Let's hope I can carry some of that momentum into the week.
Rays/Soxs U 8.5 (+108) 1 unit: I rolled with this play on Sunday and I am gonna pretty much copy n paste it for Monday, except now I am getting it for + money instead of - juice. Nothing has changed heading into this one from Sunday. The Rays offense or lack their off it is just flat out awful. The Rays have scored an American League worst 33 runs so far in 11 games. The Rays are also hitting a dismal .200 against right handed pitching and will be facing a quality right handed pitcher in Ryan Dempster on Monday. If you look at the Dempster's career you will see 3-4 with a 4.24 era in 8 career starts. I can't help but laugh because those #s aren't even remotely close to relevant. I am sure someone will see those #s and quickly make up their minds. However, if you dig in a little further you will notice that the last time Dempster faced TB, was way back in 2008!!!! In that 2008 start Dempster went 5 innings, allowing just 1 run on 6 hits. Prior to that 2008 strong performance, Dempster went 7 scoreless innings, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits, that start was back in 2003 by the way. So basically what I am getting at is it's been beyond 10 years since the Tampa Bay Rays had roughed up Dempster. Throw those 2 quality starts out and Dempster's career #s against the Rays out the window, and never judge a book by it's cover. The 2013 Rays have a total of 5 players that have seen Dempster before and they are a combined 7 for 45 for a .155 batting average and just 1 XBH. All that being said I like the familiarity factor advantage Dempster will have facing a line up full of slumping batters who he has either dominated or has never seen before. I also like the factor in 2012 Dempster showed he enjoyed pitching day games posting a 6-2 mark, 2.54 era, 1.06 era and a solid .210 average against. Meanwhile on the other side we have Jeremy Hellickson who might be the x factor in whether or not this under play hits. Let me start off by saying I don't think his first 2 starts of the year is an indicator of what he is capable of doing. I watched Hellickson pitch a couple times last season and I like what he brings to the table. Sure he has gotten off to a shaky start thus far but I like his chances of a solid outing on Monday. Last season he posted solid road #s with a 4-4 record, 2.95 era, 1.27 whip and .242 batting average against, which were better than his home starts. His daytime #s weren't too shabby either with a 3.28 era, 1.14 whip and .210 batting average against. He will be Red Sox team that he has mixed results against in the early going of his career. He enters this contest with a 3-2 record, 4.47 era, 1.32 whip and .238 batting average against in 9 career outings. The one thing I do really like heading into Monday's game is the only person on the current Red Sox team that has had a good amount of success against is David Ortiz, who of course won't be in the line up. Afer Ortiz, the next player with some decent #s is Jarrod Saltalmacchia who is hitting .278 with 5 hits in 22 at bats. The rest of the Red Sox line has either struggled against Hellickson or have very minimal plate appearances. This should help the young rookie looking to get his 2013 season back on track. Similar to the rest of this series, I think we have a low scoring affair on Monday. The Rays TT under is also a nice play if it opens at 4, but Monday is my day off at I don't plan on being awake at 8am on my day off haha.
Ill be adding 1-2 plays to this slate, but not gonna rush it since the rest of the scheduled games won't be till the evening
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Sunday: 4-0 Sweep!!! + 4 Units
I'm stoked that I was able to rebound on Sunday with a sweep after going 1-4 on Saturday. It's kinda funny that on Saturday I had my worst day of the season, then on Sunday I had the best day of my season. I definitely was hoping for a rebound but I didn't expect it to be a sweep. Let's hope I can carry some of that momentum into the week.
Rays/Soxs U 8.5 (+108) 1 unit: I rolled with this play on Sunday and I am gonna pretty much copy n paste it for Monday, except now I am getting it for + money instead of - juice. Nothing has changed heading into this one from Sunday. The Rays offense or lack their off it is just flat out awful. The Rays have scored an American League worst 33 runs so far in 11 games. The Rays are also hitting a dismal .200 against right handed pitching and will be facing a quality right handed pitcher in Ryan Dempster on Monday. If you look at the Dempster's career you will see 3-4 with a 4.24 era in 8 career starts. I can't help but laugh because those #s aren't even remotely close to relevant. I am sure someone will see those #s and quickly make up their minds. However, if you dig in a little further you will notice that the last time Dempster faced TB, was way back in 2008!!!! In that 2008 start Dempster went 5 innings, allowing just 1 run on 6 hits. Prior to that 2008 strong performance, Dempster went 7 scoreless innings, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits, that start was back in 2003 by the way. So basically what I am getting at is it's been beyond 10 years since the Tampa Bay Rays had roughed up Dempster. Throw those 2 quality starts out and Dempster's career #s against the Rays out the window, and never judge a book by it's cover. The 2013 Rays have a total of 5 players that have seen Dempster before and they are a combined 7 for 45 for a .155 batting average and just 1 XBH. All that being said I like the familiarity factor advantage Dempster will have facing a line up full of slumping batters who he has either dominated or has never seen before. I also like the factor in 2012 Dempster showed he enjoyed pitching day games posting a 6-2 mark, 2.54 era, 1.06 era and a solid .210 average against. Meanwhile on the other side we have Jeremy Hellickson who might be the x factor in whether or not this under play hits. Let me start off by saying I don't think his first 2 starts of the year is an indicator of what he is capable of doing. I watched Hellickson pitch a couple times last season and I like what he brings to the table. Sure he has gotten off to a shaky start thus far but I like his chances of a solid outing on Monday. Last season he posted solid road #s with a 4-4 record, 2.95 era, 1.27 whip and .242 batting average against, which were better than his home starts. His daytime #s weren't too shabby either with a 3.28 era, 1.14 whip and .210 batting average against. He will be Red Sox team that he has mixed results against in the early going of his career. He enters this contest with a 3-2 record, 4.47 era, 1.32 whip and .238 batting average against in 9 career outings. The one thing I do really like heading into Monday's game is the only person on the current Red Sox team that has had a good amount of success against is David Ortiz, who of course won't be in the line up. Afer Ortiz, the next player with some decent #s is Jarrod Saltalmacchia who is hitting .278 with 5 hits in 22 at bats. The rest of the Red Sox line has either struggled against Hellickson or have very minimal plate appearances. This should help the young rookie looking to get his 2013 season back on track. Similar to the rest of this series, I think we have a low scoring affair on Monday. The Rays TT under is also a nice play if it opens at 4, but Monday is my day off at I don't plan on being awake at 8am on my day off haha.
Ill be adding 1-2 plays to this slate, but not gonna rush it since the rest of the scheduled games won't be till the evening
i wouldnt say nothing changed from sunday-the pitchers on sunday are a lot better dempsters day starts don't really mean much-he played a lot of day games on the cubs and he had a ton of trouble once he came to the AL. I think this is a pretty fair line and wouldnt touch it but gl.
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i wouldnt say nothing changed from sunday-the pitchers on sunday are a lot better dempsters day starts don't really mean much-he played a lot of day games on the cubs and he had a ton of trouble once he came to the AL. I think this is a pretty fair line and wouldnt touch it but gl.
of course Sunday's pitchers were better, I meant not a whole lot has changed with 2 offenses that aren't major threats to score a ton. neither team has a line up built to plate across a ton. That very thing could happen on Monday. Along with the Rays offensive struggles the Red Sox have only surrendered 32 runs in 11 games. If I had to pick a side in this one id be taking Boston, but I feel much better about my +108 under vs -131 red sox ml... it may or may not pan out but I like my chances
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of course Sunday's pitchers were better, I meant not a whole lot has changed with 2 offenses that aren't major threats to score a ton. neither team has a line up built to plate across a ton. That very thing could happen on Monday. Along with the Rays offensive struggles the Red Sox have only surrendered 32 runs in 11 games. If I had to pick a side in this one id be taking Boston, but I feel much better about my +108 under vs -131 red sox ml... it may or may not pan out but I like my chances
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