Serious question — I got absolutely smoked on the Fish yesterday. Before I even think about going back to them today, does anybody actually give them a fighting chance?

 Thanks 

Marlins best chance to win was against Sale. A bad pitch to a struggling Austin Riley. If not for that, that f5 would have probably cashed.

I think Atlanta steams them again.

0.0

Fish +1.5 for me. Spencer Strider is very hittable. Getaway game for the Braves who have to fly up to Washington. I like Sandy to have a nice game against a team who will be free swinging. I also sprinkled some on the Fish moneyline. Best of luck with whatever you take. 

Atlanta smashes em again today

ATLANTA LINE UP BACK IN TACK TOUGH TO BEAT BOL

8/10  starts for SA have been excellent....

2 hr flight....no big deal..... 

Strider has only pitched 3 games. 

I disagree with the poster above, he hasn't shown me anything to say that he's "hittable".

His only issue has been walks. But that's about to subside imo as he's finally getting into a rhythm after all that time off from Tommy John's. 

The Marlins batters have barely seen him, only 14 plate appearances. 

Meanwhile the Braves have seen plenty of Sandy, 246 plate appearances. Sandy is coming off 2 really good starts.

Maybe under 7.5 is worth a look, or possibly 1st5 under. 

Atlanta won the 3 game series in Atlanta, 2-1.

The Marlins can't win this series, but they can split with a win.

The Braves are 20-13 after a win.

The Marlins are 13-14 after a loss.

Both bullpens are really good, slight edge to the fish.

I believe the listed odds are revealing.....135 - 140 on Braves virtually everywhere is not exactly suggesting this one is a gimme! 

STRIDER tossed 23 starts last year with very mediocre numbers (actually a tick worse than league mean)....and this year only 3 starts: one bad but 2 good. Very tiny sample size. Flip a coin 3 times and you will get 2 - 1 as well.  We need at least 5 starts to get a reasonable grip on his performances. He could be rated as GOOD if he tosses a fine game today, or rated mediocre if he doesn't.  Huge swing on one game, thus it's a guessing game before game-start and that is unwise...

Alcantara otoh has enough volume  to assess that he is just slightly better than league mean

Bullpens both good; but very slight edge to Braves.

Offensively, Braves are only slightly better when they are on the road vs Marlins home production....as the Braves road stats are SKEWED by one particular lopsided win and an inordinately high number of UNearned runs [luck, not skill!] raising their rpg.....in addition to the fact they are WITHOUT their top batter.

I est. the Braves around 55 - 57% win probability

Strider has done enough to be a number one on those teams. 
but it’s not him you have to worry about,  it’s  the Atlanta bats.  

go Braves minus one or run line or go home. 

I have a big bet on Atlanta and under tonight but you are always the legendary guy , go with your feelings my friend  

I’m surprised at all the Atlanta love tonight 

i added Miami+1.5 to my ATL play and wiped it out. Keep your fishy thoughts to yourself lol. Baseball is a coin flippers bet. If Atlanta won yesterday probably the best bet is a no bet .I do have Atlanta small only because they are hot gl whatever you decide!!

HOTLANTA

Appreciate everybody’s input. I’ve got a horribly ugly card today, but this is where I landed

MLB [906] Miami Marlins +123
Sandy Alcantara - R

MLB [1907] 1H Colorado Rockies +0.5 +115
Zach Agnos - R

Keep betting on bad teams. It's called FAFO....lol

Based on the responses to this thread you’re on the right side.

@football_007

 Your statement is so ignorant