Posted:
#126
Well KC cashed. Cmon now O's. 1-1 Top of the 11th...
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September Dogs - Starting with $4k
Posted:
#139
Texas would be the dog to keep an eye on tonight. Not sure I can stomach a team though that is 44-43 (avg. line -155, -20.43 units) off of a win (this season).
2-5 off of a win and now a dog (-2.94 units). I dunno about the Rangers, but I kind of like a fade against Greinke with the Angels. He was a freakish 24-1 +22.92 units as a home favorite with the Brewers, but just 3-2 -0.2 units with the Angels. I think trading him and Randy Wolf away were f-ed up moves for the Brewers. Anyways, Milwaukee loved seeing him pitch; now he's up with a-hole J. Weaver in a new city and he's got a history of anxiety. Good luck if you take the Rangers here.
Fyi, the Rangers a 99.9% for the playoffs and could easily not give one about this game. The Angels are 0.3% for the playoffs. In the next to be knocked out spot with Zona. That doesn't make me crazy about Texas. Alas, they ARE a dog off of a win though....
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Posted:
#148
Guys,
If you want to follow my NFL teaser experiment here in the covers forum, here's the link: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101424475
I've got one up for Week 3.
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Posted:
#149
what do you think about this dog picks herbshak=
-
St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Run Line Spread
Pick: Chicago Cubs +1,5 1.83 -
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers
Run Line Spread
Pick: Minnesota Twins +1,5 1.83 -
Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners
Run Line Spread
Pick: Seattle Mariners +1,5
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Posted:
#150
Historically, one run losses or two run wins occur more for the road team so immediately I don't like the looks of Chicago or Seattle. Why not take the +1 on those two and the +1.5 on Minnesota for more value?
There is logic in that discrepancy: the home team covers the -1.5 less of the time because they'll often have 1 less inning to split up the margin; same token: the dog cover the +1.5 on the road more often because the home team, again, doesn't get the bottom of the ninth to play enough to make the runline worth taking for the home team.
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