• Forums
  • Best Betting Sites
  • Sportsbook Promos
  • Best Sports Betting Apps
  • NFL Betting Forum
  • NBA Betting Forum
  • MLB Betting Forum
  • NHL Betting Forum
  • NCAAF Betting Forum
  • NCAAB Betting Forum
  • Soccer Betting Forum
  • Tennis Betting Forum
  • General Discussion
  • Help Forum
  • Guidelines
  • FAQ
  • Forum Updates
    Covers Logo
    Covers App
    Faster picks. Smarter bets.
    All in the NEW Covers App
    Download on the App Store Download on the Google Play Store
    • Sports
      • NFL
        • Back
        • NFL
        • NFL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NFL Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NCAAF
        • Back
        • NCAAF
        • NCAAF Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NCAAF Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NBA
        • Back
        • NBA
        • NBA Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NBA Picks
        • Injuries
      • NCAAB
        • Back
        • NCAAB
        • NCAAB Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • NCAAB Picks
        • Injuries
      • MLB
        • Back
        • MLB
        • MLB Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • MLB Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NHL
        • Back
        • NHL
        • NHL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NHL Picks
        • Injuries
      • Soccer
      • UFC
      • WNBA
        • Back
        • WNBA
        • WNBA Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • WNBA Picks
        • Injuries
      • CFL
        • Back
        • CFL
        • CFL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • CFL Picks
      • Golf
        • Back
        • Golf
        • Golf Home
        • Golf Odds
        • Masters Odds
        • PGA Championship Odds
        • US Open Odds
        • British Open Odds
        • Ryder Cup Odds
        • Golf Picks
    • Odds
      • All Odds
      • NFL
      • NCAAF
      • NBA
      • NCAAB
      • MLB
      • NHL
      • Golf
      • Soccer Odds
        • Back
        • Soccer Odds
        • MLS Odds
        • Champions League Odds
        • Premier League Odds
      • UFC
      • WNBA
      • CFL
      • Election Odds
      • Futures
        • Back
        • Futures
        • NFL
        • NBA
        • MLB
        • NHL
        • NCAAB
        • NCAAF
      • Sports Odds History
    • Picks
      • All Picks
      • NFL
      • NBA
      • NHL
      • MLB
      • NCAAF
      • NCAAB
      • Golf
      • WNBA
      • CFL
      • User Picks
      • Team User Picks
      • Consensus Picks
        • Back
        • Consensus Picks
        • All Consensus Picks
        • NFL
        • NBA
        • NHL
        • MLB
        • NCAAF
        • NCAAB
        • CFL
        • WNBA
        • Consensus FAQ
        • Public Money
    • Prop Projections
      • NFL
      • NBA
      • MLB
      • NHL
    • Betting
      • US Betting Sites
      • Canada Betting Sites
      • Sportsbook Reviews
      • States
        • Back
        • States
        • US Legal Tracker
        • Revenue Tracker
        • Arizona
        • Arkansas
        • California
        • Colorado
        • Connecticut
        • DC
        • Florida
        • Georgia
        • Illinois
        • Indiana
        • Iowa
        • Kansas
        • Kentucky
        • Louisiana
        • Maine
        • Maryland
        • Massachusetts
        • Michigan
        • Mississippi
        • Missouri
        • Nevada
        • New Hampshire
        • New Jersey
        • New York
        • North Carolina
        • Ohio
        • Oregon
        • Pennsylvania
        • Tennessee
        • Texas
        • Vermont
        • Virginia
        • West Virginia
        • Wyoming
      • Provinces
        • Back
        • Provinces
        • Alberta
        • British Columbia
        • Manitoba
        • New Brunswick
        • Newfoundland and Labrador
        • Northwest Territories
        • Nova Scotia
        • Nunavut
        • Ontario
        • Prince Edward Island
        • Quebec (English)
        • Quebec (francais)
        • Saskatchewan
        • Yukon
      • By Sport
        • Back
        • By Sport
        • Baseball
        • Basketball
        • Boxing
        • College Football
        • F1
        • Football
        • Super Bowl
        • Golf
        • Hockey
        • Horse Racing
        • March Madness
        • Soccer
        • UFC
        • World Cup
      • Betting Apps
        • Back
        • Betting Apps
        • Best Sports Betting Apps USA
        • Ontario Sports Betting Apps
      • Rest of World
        • Back
        • Rest of World
        • UK Betting Offers
          • Back
          • UK Betting Offers
          • UK Betting Sites
          • bet365 Bonus Code UK
          • 888Sport Promo Code UK
          • William Hill Sign up Offer
          • Betway Sign up Offer
          • BetVictor Bonus Code UK
      • Betting Guides
        • Back
        • Betting Guides
        • All Guides
        • Glossary
        • Betting Calculators
          • Back
          • Betting Calculators
          • Odds Converter
          • Parlay Calculator
        • Futures Betting Guide
        • Moneyline Betting Guide
        • Over/Under Betting Guide
        • Parlay Betting Guide
        • Point Spread Betting Guide
        • Prop Betting Guide
        • Sports Betting Guides
          • Back
          • Sports Betting Guides
          • How To Bet On Sports Guide
          • NFL Betting Guide
          • NHL Betting Guide
          • NBA Betting Guide
          • MLB Betting Guide
          • NCAAB Betting Guide
          • NCAAF Betting Guide
          • Golf Betting Guide
          • Tennis Betting Guide
        • Teaser Betting Guide
      • Betting News
        • Back
        • Betting News
        • All News
        • Industry News
        • Podcasts
        • Covers Videos
        • Covers Writers
        • Offers & Boosts
    • Promos
      • Sportsbook Promos
      • Canada Sportsbook Promos
      • Bonuses By Sportsbook
        • Back
        • Bonuses By Sportsbook
        • bet365 Bonus Code
        • BET99 Promo Code
        • BetMGM Bonus Code
        • BetRivers Bonus Code
        • Caesars Sportsbook Promo
        • DraftKings Promo Code
        • Fanatics Sportsbook Promo
        • FanDuel Promo Code
        • Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
        • Sports Interaction Promo
        • Stake Promo Code
        • theScore Bet Promo Code
        • TonyBet Promo Code
      • Bonuses By Region
        • Back
        • Bonuses By Region
        • Arkansas Promos
        • Arizona Promos
        • Colorado Promos
        • Connecticut Promos
        • DC Promos
        • Illinois Promos
        • Indiana Promos
        • Iowa Promos
        • Kansas Promos
        • Kentucky Promos
        • Louisiana Promos
        • Maine Promos
        • Maryland Promos
        • Massachusetts Promos
        • Michigan Promos
        • Missouri Promos
        • New Jersey Promos
        • New York Promos
        • North Carolina Promos
        • Ohio Promos
        • Pennsylvania Promos
        • Tennessee Promos
        • Vermont Promos
        • Virginia Promos
        • West Virginia Promos
        • Wyoming Promos
    • Forum & Contests
      • All Forums
      • NFL Betting Forum
      • MLB Betting Forum
      • NCAAB Betting Forum
      • NCAAF Betting Forum
      • NBA Betting Forum
      • NHL Betting Forum
      • Soccer Betting Forum
      • Contests
        • Back
        • Contests
        • Contests Home
        • Streak Survivor
        • King of Covers
        • My Contests
    • Casino
      • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Back
        • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Sweepstakes No-Deposit Bonuses
        • Sweepstakes Promos
          • Back
          • Sweepstakes Promos
          • Card Crush
          • Casino.click
          • Chanced Casino
          • Crown Coins Casino
          • FreeSpin Casino
          • LoneStar
          • McLuck
          • Mega Bonanza Casino
          • PlayFame
          • Pulsz
          • Stake.us
      • US Casinos
        • Back
        • US Casinos
        • US Online Casinos
        • US Online Casino Bonuses
        • Casino Promos
          • Back
          • Casino Promos
          • bet365 Casino Promo Code
          • BetRivers Casino Promo
          • Borgata Casino Bonus Code
          • Caesars Casino Bonus Code
          • DraftKings Casino Promo
          • Fanatics Casino Promo
          • FanDuel Casino Promo Code
          • Golden Nugget Casino Promo
          • Hard Rock Bet Casino Promo
          • Hollywood Casino Promo Code
      • Canada Casinos
        • Back
        • Canada Casinos
        • Canada Online Casinos
        • Provinces
          • Back
          • Provinces
          • Alberta Online Casino
          • BC Online Casino
          • Ontario Online Casinos
        • Casino Promos
          • Back
          • Casino Promos
          • BC.GAME Bonus Code
          • Cloudbet Promo Code
          • RainBet Promo Code
          • Roobet Promo Code
          • Shuffle Promo Code
          • Thrill Promo Code
    • Prediction Markets
      • Prediction Markets
      • Prediction Market Apps
      • Prediction Market Promos
      • Kalshi Promo Code
      • Polymarket Promo Code
      • DraftKings Predictions Promo Code
      • Novig Promo Code
      • ProphetX Promo Code
      • Underdog Promo Code
      • OG Promo Code
      • Fanatics Markets Promo Code
      • Plus500 Promo Code
    • NFL Week 1
      NFL Week 1
      • NFL Picks
      • NFL Odds
      • NFL Prediction Markets
      • NFL Betting Sites
    Covers Account
    Log in Create account
    Join free Log in
    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    September Dogs - Starting with $4k

    «First Previous 545556 ... 646566 Next Last»
    royboymiami
    herbshack
    laitay77
    PlayWithThem
    JBost77
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 768918
    Posts: 1630
    «First Previous 545556 ... 646566 Next Last»
     
    royboymiami
    royboymiami
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2011
    Posts: 5321
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 3:29 PM ET #1326

    Herb!!!!!
    Glad you are okay and hoping surgery went well!
    About the divorce , wishing you the best in that department .. I can't comment on that one, love is a strange thing .

    Stay blessed brother ! And stay positive ! 
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Herb!!!!!
    Glad you are okay and hoping surgery went well!
    About the divorce , wishing you the best in that department .. I can't comment on that one, love is a strange thing .

    Stay blessed brother ! And stay positive ! 
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 3:36 PM ET #1327

    Thanks guys. Didn't want to bring it up, but I read the last couple days chats...

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Thanks guys. Didn't want to bring it up, but I read the last couple days chats...

     
    laitay77
    laitay77
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2015
    Posts: 114
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 3:52 PM ET #1328

    Thank you for sharing in difficult times, I wish you the best in your personal life .



    GO MARINERS
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Thank you for sharing in difficult times, I wish you the best in your personal life .



    GO MARINERS
     
    PlayWithThem
    PlayWithThem
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2013
    Posts: 197
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 3:55 PM ET #1329

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Half of my capping revolves around that idea: coattail the books who exploit people who think they know a little too much...

    Herb, could you elaborate a little on what you meant by this?

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Half of my capping revolves around that idea: coattail the books who exploit people who think they know a little too much...

    Herb, could you elaborate a little on what you meant by this?

     
    JBost77
    JBost77
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 4294
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 4:59 PM ET #1330

    Best Regards brother
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Best Regards brother
     
    Bigschiff7
    Bigschiff7
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2007
    Posts: 7
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 5:00 PM ET #1331

    Sorry to hear Herb, best of luck with everything brother.
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Sorry to hear Herb, best of luck with everything brother.
     
    bitty11
    bitty11
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 278
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 5:07 PM ET #1332

    Herb, for what it's worth, take care of yourself and don't worry about what goes on here. Your health, physical and mental, is a f**k of allot more important. 
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Herb, for what it's worth, take care of yourself and don't worry about what goes on here. Your health, physical and mental, is a f**k of allot more important. 
     
    YuBuuBuu
    YuBuuBuu
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2015
    Posts: 944
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 6:33 PM ET #1333

    Well wishes brotha. Get well mentally and physically
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Well wishes brotha. Get well mentally and physically
     
    Achilles1629
    Achilles1629
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2015
    Posts: 12504
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 6:35 PM ET #1334

    Herb get better brotha. Prayers amigo.
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Herb get better brotha. Prayers amigo.
     
    mlesnet
    mlesnet
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2012
    Posts: 3099
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 7:36 PM ET #1335

    I hope you're feeling better brother.  I liked the M's as well, line jumped 15 cents though, so debating.  BOL tonight!
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    I hope you're feeling better brother.  I liked the M's as well, line jumped 15 cents though, so debating.  BOL tonight!
     
    Hoyasaxa
    Hoyasaxa
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2008
    Posts: 5248
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 7:44 PM ET #1336

    Herb...went through a hellacious divorce in California..I know all the tricks even if you're in another state...let me know if I can help...
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Herb...went through a hellacious divorce in California..I know all the tricks even if you're in another state...let me know if I can help...
     
    OlDirtyBaztid
    OlDirtyBaztid
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2017
    Posts: 10645
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 7:50 PM ET #1337

    the fact that you explain why you haven't posted free picks even though you provide a paid service speaks volume on your character. the fact that you explain your personal life is even bigger. best of luck in this situation bro.. you deserve good fortune
    No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    the fact that you explain why you haven't posted free picks even though you provide a paid service speaks volume on your character. the fact that you explain your personal life is even bigger. best of luck in this situation bro.. you deserve good fortune
     
    cochisse303
    cochisse303
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2014
    Posts: 28
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 10:00 PM ET #1338

    He is overrb look at it this way.  Close one chapter in your life and open another.  Your ex part in your story of life is over.  Enjoy being single for awhile and keep your head up.
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    He is overrb look at it this way.  Close one chapter in your life and open another.  Your ex part in your story of life is over.  Enjoy being single for awhile and keep your head up.
     
    dbasports
    dbasports
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2017
    Posts: 183
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2017 - 11:17 PM ET #1339

    Did you cheat on her bro???
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Did you cheat on her bro???
     
    stocktrader15
    stocktrader15
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2017
    Posts: 239
    Posted: Sep. 16, 2017 - 10:33 AM ET #1340

    Quote Originally Posted by dbasports:

    Did you cheat on her bro???



    What kind of question is this?  Mind your business punk..
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by dbasports:

    Did you cheat on her bro???



    What kind of question is this?  Mind your business punk..
     
    Windy8899
    Windy8899
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2015
    Posts: 2559
    Posted: Sep. 16, 2017 - 12:07 PM ET #1341

    Quote Originally Posted by dbasports:

    Did you cheat on her bro???

    How stup%t are you to ask such a question? You must have cheated on your lady to think of that.
    Best wishes to you Herb
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by dbasports:

    Did you cheat on her bro???

    How stup%t are you to ask such a question? You must have cheated on your lady to think of that.
    Best wishes to you Herb
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Sep. 16, 2017 - 2:31 PM ET #1342

    Thanks guys. Appreciate the well wishes. 

    Here's what I've got for today. Again, consider passing. I haven't had the same amount of time and focus in this last week. But a qualifier is a qualifier for me. No emotional bias:


    Toronto Blue Jays +123 
    vs Minnesota Twins
    $365 to win $448.95

    • SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2004, home favorites are just https://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&ou=1&sdql=SG+%3D+3+and+%28streak+%3D+1+or+streak+%3D+-1%29+and+HF+and+month+%3D+9&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++ in Septembers when they are on either a single game winning streak or single game losing streak and it is a regular three game series.

    • Active to fade the Indians, Tigers and Twins today!

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Thanks guys. Appreciate the well wishes. 

    Here's what I've got for today. Again, consider passing. I haven't had the same amount of time and focus in this last week. But a qualifier is a qualifier for me. No emotional bias:


    Toronto Blue Jays +123 
    vs Minnesota Twins
    $365 to win $448.95

    • SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Since 2004, home favorites are just https://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&ou=1&sdql=SG+%3D+3+and+%28streak+%3D+1+or+streak+%3D+-1%29+and+HF+and+month+%3D+9&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++ in Septembers when they are on either a single game winning streak or single game losing streak and it is a regular three game series.

    • Active to fade the Indians, Tigers and Twins today!

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Sep. 16, 2017 - 2:33 PM ET #1343

    Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:

    the fact that you explain why you haven't posted free picks even though you provide a paid service speaks volume on your character. the fact that you explain your personal life is even bigger. best of luck in this situation bro.. you deserve good fortune

    Thanks. I really appreciate that comment, and all the others.
    Here's to a prosperous future for all of us!
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:

    the fact that you explain why you haven't posted free picks even though you provide a paid service speaks volume on your character. the fact that you explain your personal life is even bigger. best of luck in this situation bro.. you deserve good fortune

    Thanks. I really appreciate that comment, and all the others.
    Here's to a prosperous future for all of us!
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 12:01 PM ET #1344

    There's a  winner
    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Toronto Blue Jays +123 
    vs Minnesota Twins
    $365 to win $448.95
    WINNER!

    Current Bankroll: $12,870.40
    from $4000 (+221.76 units)
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    There's a  winner
    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Toronto Blue Jays +123 
    vs Minnesota Twins
    $365 to win $448.95
    WINNER!

    Current Bankroll: $12,870.40
    from $4000 (+221.76 units)
     
    santa813
    santa813
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 655
    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 12:02 PM ET #1345

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
     
    dbasports
    dbasports
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2017
    Posts: 183
    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 12:20 PM ET #1346

    Thank you sir my comment about cheating on her was a bad joke but gave us some good karma again because we know you wouldn't do that 
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Thank you sir my comment about cheating on her was a bad joke but gave us some good karma again because we know you wouldn't do that 
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 1:23 PM ET #1347

    Quote Originally Posted by dbasports:

    Thank you sir my comment about cheating on her was a bad joke but gave us some good karma again because we know you wouldn't do that 

    Oh its ok. I just didn't respond. I'm too 'head-in-the-books' to even have time for cheating non-sense  :P

    Divorcing isn't good or healthy, and I really don't want to advocate it to anyone. It is unfortunate that I'm petitioning one. As reluctant as I am to be the one to file, I'll let you do the math as to what happened...

    Anyways, some thoughts here for September:
    (As the thread title is 'SEPTEMBER DOGS', I wanted to briefly talk about MLB and how it has changed in the last few years since I began this thread roughly)

    Up until the last several years (after they added the extra wild card spot) Septembers were my best month just blindly taking big dogs against clinched over valued favs. The rules changed though. September isn't dogs on the blind month anymore. Definitely more thinking required now.

    Consider the following COLD HARD FACTS:
    My first post was in 2012
    *Since 2005 to 2011, (prior to the first season the extra wild card spot was added), September dogs were, 1245-1614 +77.68 units on the blind.

    *Since 2012 (first season wild card spot was added), September dogs are flip flopped: 932-1376 -110.03 units.

    It seems telling what happened if you understood the premise of betting dogs late season to begin with: you bet against overvalued, don't need the win favorites. Things are different now, more often, team do need a win...MLB wanted to make late regular season more interesting. so no more freebies.

    So I wanted to test the original premise, isolating post 2011 season results only: The thought: does the original premise STILL hold up, but this time we isolate dogs with opponents with a plethora of wins above .500.
    Let's see what recent history says:

    BINGO!

    Since 2012, Dogs facing teams (likely clinched) with over 33 more wins than losses, in regular season from 9/1's on, are 57-49 +39.06 units, +36.8% roi SU!

    The premise holds true, it just needed to be more clearly defined. This is why keeping up with the rules and recent news in sports you cap is important.

    That simple system is active on the Royals today. Will follow up if I'm betting them though.






    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by dbasports:

    Thank you sir my comment about cheating on her was a bad joke but gave us some good karma again because we know you wouldn't do that 

    Oh its ok. I just didn't respond. I'm too 'head-in-the-books' to even have time for cheating non-sense  :P

    Divorcing isn't good or healthy, and I really don't want to advocate it to anyone. It is unfortunate that I'm petitioning one. As reluctant as I am to be the one to file, I'll let you do the math as to what happened...

    Anyways, some thoughts here for September:
    (As the thread title is 'SEPTEMBER DOGS', I wanted to briefly talk about MLB and how it has changed in the last few years since I began this thread roughly)

    Up until the last several years (after they added the extra wild card spot) Septembers were my best month just blindly taking big dogs against clinched over valued favs. The rules changed though. September isn't dogs on the blind month anymore. Definitely more thinking required now.

    Consider the following COLD HARD FACTS:
    My first post was in 2012
    *Since 2005 to 2011, (prior to the first season the extra wild card spot was added), September dogs were, 1245-1614 +77.68 units on the blind.

    *Since 2012 (first season wild card spot was added), September dogs are flip flopped: 932-1376 -110.03 units.

    It seems telling what happened if you understood the premise of betting dogs late season to begin with: you bet against overvalued, don't need the win favorites. Things are different now, more often, team do need a win...MLB wanted to make late regular season more interesting. so no more freebies.

    So I wanted to test the original premise, isolating post 2011 season results only: The thought: does the original premise STILL hold up, but this time we isolate dogs with opponents with a plethora of wins above .500.
    Let's see what recent history says:

    BINGO!

    Since 2012, Dogs facing teams (likely clinched) with over 33 more wins than losses, in regular season from 9/1's on, are 57-49 +39.06 units, +36.8% roi SU!

    The premise holds true, it just needed to be more clearly defined. This is why keeping up with the rules and recent news in sports you cap is important.

    That simple system is active on the Royals today. Will follow up if I'm betting them though.






     
    laitay77
    laitay77
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2015
    Posts: 114
    Posted: Sep. 18, 2017 - 11:49 AM ET #1348

    My little system also suffered changes this year on the subject of dogs, maybe the dogs meet in April May and June is what my numbers say but what can be the reasons? I'm not an expert in baseball, but I'll comment on some ideas that came to me these days. As you said mlb can't afford games without excitement is not a long-term profitable show as the general public loses interest. My opinion and my numbers of the last 2 years tell me, that dogs are a value in days or stages of the season that a manager of a good team can take a break for example before and after the all star break this year from the day 7,8,9,10 (all star break 11-14 Jul) 15,16,17, every day these I mention won a great dog the odds were the highest +254 , the lowest was +130. I could also observe that the first days of the month 1,2,3 of each month is a day of big dogs, the system deals with fade to the general public maybe this would be the explanation money lost work. But the last idea I thought about is that I don't like to be conspiracy, but if I don't remember wrong last year I changed the headquarters of the mlb from toronto to cleveland I would say and also the maximum responsible person perhaps gave orders to have a league more equaled in percentage of victories you with the one of numbers that has it will be easy to answer if the league during this time is matched or not. Starting from this last idea it would be easier to give small help to the bad teams at the beginning of the season to take everything more evenly since the beginning and already at the end of the season wild card teams that need wild card would do their work and the percentages would be more or less the same as every year, the difference would be that during April - August everything would be more even in the table of classification. My humble opinion if you don't understand something I'm sorry I'm improving my English. Greetings and good luck!

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    My little system also suffered changes this year on the subject of dogs, maybe the dogs meet in April May and June is what my numbers say but what can be the reasons? I'm not an expert in baseball, but I'll comment on some ideas that came to me these days. As you said mlb can't afford games without excitement is not a long-term profitable show as the general public loses interest. My opinion and my numbers of the last 2 years tell me, that dogs are a value in days or stages of the season that a manager of a good team can take a break for example before and after the all star break this year from the day 7,8,9,10 (all star break 11-14 Jul) 15,16,17, every day these I mention won a great dog the odds were the highest +254 , the lowest was +130. I could also observe that the first days of the month 1,2,3 of each month is a day of big dogs, the system deals with fade to the general public maybe this would be the explanation money lost work. But the last idea I thought about is that I don't like to be conspiracy, but if I don't remember wrong last year I changed the headquarters of the mlb from toronto to cleveland I would say and also the maximum responsible person perhaps gave orders to have a league more equaled in percentage of victories you with the one of numbers that has it will be easy to answer if the league during this time is matched or not. Starting from this last idea it would be easier to give small help to the bad teams at the beginning of the season to take everything more evenly since the beginning and already at the end of the season wild card teams that need wild card would do their work and the percentages would be more or less the same as every year, the difference would be that during April - August everything would be more even in the table of classification. My humble opinion if you don't understand something I'm sorry I'm improving my English. Greetings and good luck!

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Sep. 19, 2017 - 3:11 PM ET #1349

    For today:

    Pittsburgh Pirates +111 
    vs Milwaukee Brewers
    $89 to win $98.79

    KEY SYSTEM: Since 2004, sub .500 home division dogs, +100 to +145, off of a loss as a home favorite are 145-114 +49.56 units SU +19.1% roi. - Take the Pirates

     
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    For today:

    Pittsburgh Pirates +111 
    vs Milwaukee Brewers
    $89 to win $98.79

    KEY SYSTEM: Since 2004, sub .500 home division dogs, +100 to +145, off of a loss as a home favorite are 145-114 +49.56 units SU +19.1% roi. - Take the Pirates

     
     
     
    Motherflickee
    Motherflickee
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 1257
    Posted: Sep. 19, 2017 - 6:28 PM ET #1350



    Thanks.
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User


    Thanks.
    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum
    «First Previous 545556 ... 646566 Next Last»

    Hot Forums IconHot Forum Topics

    • Sunday 09/13/2026 733 Covers arrow
    • NFL LOCKED IN! 96,873 Covers arrow
    • SUNDAY 6,469 Covers arrow
    • DK NFL Week 1 Picks 9,194 Covers arrow
    • Week One-Post Week One Plays Here 1,692 Covers arrow
    • PART DEUX 138 Covers arrow
    • Cowboys vs Giants in-game live 1,101 Covers arrow
    • _📌 🤗 Fubah's bets for NFL 2026: Week 01 🚩 10,305 Covers arrow
    • ***Macwesties * Sun. Sept 13, 2026 * NFL * Week #1* Football Plays*** 7,783 Covers arrow
    • 2026 POW Week 1 310 Covers arrow

    Warning - External Link

    Report User

    Thank you for reporting
    This content is abusive or harmful
    This post is spam
    An error has occurred
    This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

    Delete Post

    Are you sure you would like to remove this post?

    Remove Thread

    Are you sure you would like to remove this thread?

    Scan Results

    Login/Register

    Happy to have you join the conversation. To do so, please login or create an account.
    Accounts are free and easy to create.

    Search


    Loading…

    Loading…

    About Us
    Contact Us
    Careers
    Our Team
    Brand
    Testimonials
    Betting Guides
    Sportsbook Reviews
    Betting News
    Podcasts
    Responsible Gambling
    Betting Sites
    US Betting Sites
    Canada Betting Sites
    Canada Casinos
    Best Betting Apps
    Contests
    Streak Survivor
    King of Covers
    Ultimate Race
    Office Pools
    The Covers community has
    810,221
    lifetime members worldwide
    Join our community today
    Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
    Covers is the world
    leader in sports
    betting information.
    21+
    Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
    Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
    YouTube logo
    Facebook logo
    Twitter logo
    Instagram logo
    LinkedIn logo
    Google News logo
    Covers is verified safe by:
    Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
    Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
    If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.