They have a weaker team this year. Lots of question marks surrounding their starting pitching. Boston is much stronger, Jays and O's are improved and Tampa is still very good.
I dont see the Yankees winning 92 games. I think they end up with 88-90
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Yankees have to win 92 games to go over....
They have a weaker team this year. Lots of question marks surrounding their starting pitching. Boston is much stronger, Jays and O's are improved and Tampa is still very good.
I dont see the Yankees winning 92 games. I think they end up with 88-90
Off the top of my head; Red Sox over 95.5 - I think they win roughly 100 games. That team is loaded. White Sox over 85.5 - I think they take the AL Central by winning 90+ Reds over 85.5 - I think they take the NL Central by winning 90+ Royals under 69.5 - This team has 100 losses written all over it
Those were the only ones that caught my eye
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Off the top of my head; Red Sox over 95.5 - I think they win roughly 100 games. That team is loaded. White Sox over 85.5 - I think they take the AL Central by winning 90+ Reds over 85.5 - I think they take the NL Central by winning 90+ Royals under 69.5 - This team has 100 losses written all over it
These numbers are worth watching for another reason. Total wins are already different from the original numbers posted by Jukstapose (origin unknown). As they move there will be teams dropping in total wins. Most notable so far is the Dodgers from 85.5 to 82. Pretty severe drop. What that tells you is that the Dodgers thus far have little respect. That carries over from these totals to the respect they will receive early in the season, especially if they have a bad or mediocre Cactus League record. When bettors suspicions seem to be confirmed they will have a go-against feeling and distort the probability of a given team on a given day, thus creating value on that team. It is easy to lay big bucks on highly probable winners and make 40 or 50 cents on the dollar of investment, but much more productive and profitable to take the odds on undervalued teams. Anyone else on the same page this early? I will track this angle early and occasionally note that my pick is likely to fly under the radar and have hidden value for a while. Another reason I note the Dodgers drop is that the teams receiving the most respect in the NL West thus far are the Giants and Rockies. That's OK, I don't care, but they are unlikely to be undervalued and on a daily basis that is what we care about. Dodgers could be a money maker and that is what it's all about. Even the stinking Pirates will have value at some times, although I will have to hold my nose when making the play. BOL
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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These numbers are worth watching for another reason. Total wins are already different from the original numbers posted by Jukstapose (origin unknown). As they move there will be teams dropping in total wins. Most notable so far is the Dodgers from 85.5 to 82. Pretty severe drop. What that tells you is that the Dodgers thus far have little respect. That carries over from these totals to the respect they will receive early in the season, especially if they have a bad or mediocre Cactus League record. When bettors suspicions seem to be confirmed they will have a go-against feeling and distort the probability of a given team on a given day, thus creating value on that team. It is easy to lay big bucks on highly probable winners and make 40 or 50 cents on the dollar of investment, but much more productive and profitable to take the odds on undervalued teams. Anyone else on the same page this early? I will track this angle early and occasionally note that my pick is likely to fly under the radar and have hidden value for a while. Another reason I note the Dodgers drop is that the teams receiving the most respect in the NL West thus far are the Giants and Rockies. That's OK, I don't care, but they are unlikely to be undervalued and on a daily basis that is what we care about. Dodgers could be a money maker and that is what it's all about. Even the stinking Pirates will have value at some times, although I will have to hold my nose when making the play. BOL
cubs will improve, but will remain an under .500 team, they would have to play pittsburg and houston home and home for 150ou t of the 162 game season to break the 81 win total.
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cubs will improve, but will remain an under .500 team, they would have to play pittsburg and houston home and home for 150ou t of the 162 game season to break the 81 win total.
Can't wait to see their young prospects. Best farm system in baseball right now, IMO.
Hosmer and Moustakas are going to be exciting players.
Future looks bright....Myers another solid bat in the minors....KC is stacked with pitching prospects. Hope it pans out. This year will be a struggle though.
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Quote Originally Posted by jpero:
Can't wait to see their young prospects. Best farm system in baseball right now, IMO.
Hosmer and Moustakas are going to be exciting players.
Future looks bright....Myers another solid bat in the minors....KC is stacked with pitching prospects. Hope it pans out. This year will be a struggle though.
I like the Jays Over 76. Lind and hill should be able to pick up their offence compared to last season and that should account for the dropoff of the production that Bautista will have. They've improved the bullpen from last year and the rotation although young looks pretty good. I predict 80-85 wins.
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I like the Jays Over 76. Lind and hill should be able to pick up their offence compared to last season and that should account for the dropoff of the production that Bautista will have. They've improved the bullpen from last year and the rotation although young looks pretty good. I predict 80-85 wins.
White Sox look good to go over, although 87.5 is a bit high. I would have thought 83-84 to be the number.
Phillies look to be under 97. 97 is a steep number to get for any club, and as good as that rotation is getting hyped up to be, I'm not exactly sold yet. I think Oswalt is a turd, and Hamels isn't the superstar he was looking to morph into a couple years ago. Werth is a bigger loss than people think and is gonna leave a hole in that lineup. Ibanez is 1,002 years old and slow as shit out in LF. Jimmy Rollins is a year older. The way Utley plays, he is always a candidate to miss some time. Dominic Brown was underwhelming last year(although he has the tools to be really good). Polanco getting old. Overall, I like their pen, but what Lidge are we gonna see? Contreras getting old too. This is a really good club, but to say OVER 97 a team has to be bulletproof(imo) and they are far from that. That's not to mention I think the East is gonna be a scrappy division as well. Nats are building right. Marlins are a scrappy bunch. Atlanta is pretty solid. Even the Mets aren't that bad if things could fall into place.
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White Sox look good to go over, although 87.5 is a bit high. I would have thought 83-84 to be the number.
Phillies look to be under 97. 97 is a steep number to get for any club, and as good as that rotation is getting hyped up to be, I'm not exactly sold yet. I think Oswalt is a turd, and Hamels isn't the superstar he was looking to morph into a couple years ago. Werth is a bigger loss than people think and is gonna leave a hole in that lineup. Ibanez is 1,002 years old and slow as shit out in LF. Jimmy Rollins is a year older. The way Utley plays, he is always a candidate to miss some time. Dominic Brown was underwhelming last year(although he has the tools to be really good). Polanco getting old. Overall, I like their pen, but what Lidge are we gonna see? Contreras getting old too. This is a really good club, but to say OVER 97 a team has to be bulletproof(imo) and they are far from that. That's not to mention I think the East is gonna be a scrappy division as well. Nats are building right. Marlins are a scrappy bunch. Atlanta is pretty solid. Even the Mets aren't that bad if things could fall into place.
White Sox look good to go over, although 87.5 is a bit high. I would have thought 83-84 to be the number.
Phillies look to be under 97. 97 is a steep number to get for any club, and as good as that rotation is getting hyped up to be, I'm not exactly sold yet. I think Oswalt is a turd, and Hamels isn't the superstar he was looking to morph into a couple years ago. Werth is a bigger loss than people think and is gonna leave a hole in that lineup. Ibanez is 1,002 years old and slow as shit out in LF. Jimmy Rollins is a year older. The way Utley plays, he is always a candidate to miss some time. Dominic Brown was underwhelming last year(although he has the tools to be really good). Polanco getting old. Overall, I like their pen, but what Lidge are we gonna see? Contreras getting old too. This is a really good club, but to say OVER 97 a team has to be bulletproof(imo) and they are far from that. That's not to mention I think the East is gonna be a scrappy division as well. Nats are building right. Marlins are a scrappy bunch. Atlanta is pretty solid. Even the Mets aren't that bad if things could fall into place.
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Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:
White Sox look good to go over, although 87.5 is a bit high. I would have thought 83-84 to be the number.
Phillies look to be under 97. 97 is a steep number to get for any club, and as good as that rotation is getting hyped up to be, I'm not exactly sold yet. I think Oswalt is a turd, and Hamels isn't the superstar he was looking to morph into a couple years ago. Werth is a bigger loss than people think and is gonna leave a hole in that lineup. Ibanez is 1,002 years old and slow as shit out in LF. Jimmy Rollins is a year older. The way Utley plays, he is always a candidate to miss some time. Dominic Brown was underwhelming last year(although he has the tools to be really good). Polanco getting old. Overall, I like their pen, but what Lidge are we gonna see? Contreras getting old too. This is a really good club, but to say OVER 97 a team has to be bulletproof(imo) and they are far from that. That's not to mention I think the East is gonna be a scrappy division as well. Nats are building right. Marlins are a scrappy bunch. Atlanta is pretty solid. Even the Mets aren't that bad if things could fall into place.
The Mets under 77.5 seems like a huge play to me. Their rotation is horrible and there is no reason to believe RA Dickey will pitch as well as he did last year because he is a very average pitcher for his career. They only won 79 games last year and that was with having Johan Santana most of the year. He will be out until at least June and probably longer. They are bankrupt because of the Madoff scandal and couldn't make any moves in the off-season. Plus every other team in the East should be about the same if not better than last year. To think they will only be 6 games under is a gift. They will be in the cellar for sure.
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The Mets under 77.5 seems like a huge play to me. Their rotation is horrible and there is no reason to believe RA Dickey will pitch as well as he did last year because he is a very average pitcher for his career. They only won 79 games last year and that was with having Johan Santana most of the year. He will be out until at least June and probably longer. They are bankrupt because of the Madoff scandal and couldn't make any moves in the off-season. Plus every other team in the East should be about the same if not better than last year. To think they will only be 6 games under is a gift. They will be in the cellar for sure.
White Sox look good to go over, although 87.5 is a bit high. I would have thought 83-84 to be the number.
Phillies look to be under 97. 97 is a steep number to get for any club, and as good as that rotation is getting hyped up to be, I'm not exactly sold yet. I think Oswalt is a turd, and Hamels isn't the superstar he was looking to morph into a couple years ago. Werth is a bigger loss than people think and is gonna leave a hole in that lineup. Ibanez is 1,002 years old and slow as shit out in LF. Jimmy Rollins is a year older. The way Utley plays, he is always a candidate to miss some time. Dominic Brown was underwhelming last year(although he has the tools to be really good). Polanco getting old. Overall, I like their pen, but what Lidge are we gonna see? Contreras getting old too. This is a really good club, but to say OVER 97 a team has to be bulletproof(imo) and they are far from that. That's not to mention I think the East is gonna be a scrappy division as well. Nats are building right. Marlins are a scrappy bunch. Atlanta is pretty solid. Even the Mets aren't that bad if things could fall into place.
As much as this hurts, I actually agree with the pick. I don't agree with most of your player assumptions, especially Hamels (I expect a MONSTER year from him), but who cares as long as your bet comes through. I won't have any money on this, and I won't wish you good luck cause I wouldn't mean it (phils fan), but I do think it has a pretty decent shot at winning.
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Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:
White Sox look good to go over, although 87.5 is a bit high. I would have thought 83-84 to be the number.
Phillies look to be under 97. 97 is a steep number to get for any club, and as good as that rotation is getting hyped up to be, I'm not exactly sold yet. I think Oswalt is a turd, and Hamels isn't the superstar he was looking to morph into a couple years ago. Werth is a bigger loss than people think and is gonna leave a hole in that lineup. Ibanez is 1,002 years old and slow as shit out in LF. Jimmy Rollins is a year older. The way Utley plays, he is always a candidate to miss some time. Dominic Brown was underwhelming last year(although he has the tools to be really good). Polanco getting old. Overall, I like their pen, but what Lidge are we gonna see? Contreras getting old too. This is a really good club, but to say OVER 97 a team has to be bulletproof(imo) and they are far from that. That's not to mention I think the East is gonna be a scrappy division as well. Nats are building right. Marlins are a scrappy bunch. Atlanta is pretty solid. Even the Mets aren't that bad if things could fall into place.
As much as this hurts, I actually agree with the pick. I don't agree with most of your player assumptions, especially Hamels (I expect a MONSTER year from him), but who cares as long as your bet comes through. I won't have any money on this, and I won't wish you good luck cause I wouldn't mean it (phils fan), but I do think it has a pretty decent shot at winning.
Its plain and simple. If that is the correct total on the royals then im hittin under 69.5 for at least 10 units. There is absolutely nothing on that team that would be worth watching as a fan. Wow you have a good closer . Kewl story bro. How often are they going to actually be ina close situation throughout the year.
Mediocre hitting combined with below average pitching from top to bottom = a possible 100 loss season
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Its plain and simple. If that is the correct total on the royals then im hittin under 69.5 for at least 10 units. There is absolutely nothing on that team that would be worth watching as a fan. Wow you have a good closer . Kewl story bro. How often are they going to actually be ina close situation throughout the year.
Mediocre hitting combined with below average pitching from top to bottom = a possible 100 loss season
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