Revenge's Opening Day Picks & Analysis - Yankees at Red Sox

GL with your pick

Interesting...Josh Beckett is 10-4 in the month of April in the L3 seasons.

good to know they're worth the work

BOL revenge

With you on the over and I hope you have a great season.

You too Sparky, enjoy watching your Yankees have a great season

I really like the Jays to start strong, maybe even lead the division 10 games in, before imploding - Offense will be great to kick off the year

Adding:

10:05pm: Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels
Scott Baker (0-0) vs Jered Weaver (0-0)
Pick: Los Angeles -1 (+106) for 1 unit

Scott Baker is not a strong starter.  He's 18-18 Pre-All-Star with a 4.97 ERA and after the break he's 25-15 with a 3.71 ERA.  Through seven starts against the Angels, he's 0-4 with a 5.59 ERA, 1.63 WHIP & .301 BAA!  Jered Weaver is such a better pitcher at home.  He's 27-12 with a 3.27 ERA & .243 BAA.  A 3-1 record against the Twins with a 3.51 ERA, 1.00 WHIP & .220 BAA!  Angels roll.

10:05pm: Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics
Felix Hernandez (0-0) vs Ben Sheets (0-0)
Pick: Seattle -1 (+103) for 1 unit

King Felix has always been a strong starter.  In April he has a 2.79 ERA, 1.20 WHIP & .229 BAA, all better than his career numbers.  An 8-4 record against Oakland with a 2.88 ERA, 1.21 WHIP & .233 BAA, all better than his career numbers.  And we're talking about a pitcher with a career ERA of 3.45, WHIP of 1.27 & BAA of .252!  Ben Sheets makes his first start since Tommy John surgery.  He's never pitched against Seattle.  But some of htese batters have seen him.  Griffey may only be 4 for 19 but he's hit 3 homers for 7 RBIs.  Wilson is 20 for 62 (.323), Bradley is 3 for 6 with a homer.  His worst month has always been April.  A 14-17 record with a 4.09 ERA!  The only time he's pitched on the mound in Oakland, he gave up seven runs (six earned) on nine hits & two walks in four innings.  Mariners roll.

Final Picks for Opening Day:

Sunday
NY Yankees ML (+107)
NYY/BOS Over 9 (-113)

Monday:
Florida ML (+110)
STL/CIN Over 7.5 (-102)
TOR/TEX Over 9.5 (+101)
COL/MIL Over 7.5 (+100)
LA Angels -1 (+106)
Seattle -1 (+103)

Revenge's Million Dollar Challenge

Every so often in my threads I'm going to pop up with a pick I feel so certain about that I'm gonna make it my "Million Dollar Play" - Here's the basic idea behind it:

Bet #1 - $65
After 1 Win, Bet #2 - $130
After 2 Wins, Bet #3 - $260
After 3 Wins, Bet #4 - $520
After 4 Wins, Bet #5 - $1,040
After 5 Wins, Bet #6 - $2,080
After 6 Wins, Bet #7 - $4,160
After 7 Wins, Bet #8 - $8,320
After 8 Wins, Bet #9 - $16,640
After 9 Wins, Bet #10 - $33,280
After 10 Wins, Bet #11 - $66,560
After 11 Wins, Bet #12 - $133,120
After 12 Wins, Bet #13 - $266,240
After 13 Wins, Bet #14 - $532,480
After 14 Wins - $1,064,960

Before the cynics chime in, Yes I realize it would be increidbly hard to make massive bets but that's a good problem to have & I'd deal with it then.  Yes I realize it will be hard, but I'm having fun.  And Yes I realize that paying chalk will bring down each bet but the above is just a guideline.

Anyways, Pick #1 comes on Monday.....

Risking $65.00 to win $61.90
Colorado/Milwaukee OVER 7.5

And I hope you turn out right on your prediction that Jeter will have a HUGE season.

GL tonight and this season Revenge....great write-ups very helpful.

Also good luck with the Million dollar challenge plays, that would be awesome to actually pull it off

not many people seem to be doing write-ups anymore - BOL to you too

I am with you on this as well.  Banking on a strong start and a strong finnish to get me my futures over 71 wins. 

With you on the over tonight.  Good Luck this season

BIG day for the mariners tomm, complete blowout

Adding:

New York Yankees/Boston Red Sox Over 8.5 (-118) for 1 unit

I had to grab the extra unit at that value

NYY/BOS Over 8.5

Record: 1-0-0
Units: +1.00