When both teams (Yankees/Red Sox) come off a victory, take the home team as a small favorite (-121) to start the series. Since 2024, this scenario for all teams is 167-104 (hitting at 62%) with a 3% ROI.
Early has given up 1 run or fewer in 4 of his 5 starts. Yankees are hitting .185 vs lefties (ranked 28 out of 30 teams).
Gill has struggled with command for Yankees and has a 7.0 era.
Lastly, Red Sox are only drawing 29 percent of the picks at Draft Kings but 56% of the dollars. At Circa Red Sox are getting 39% of the tickets, but 70% of the money.
I'm also taking the Cubs with my second pick. When two teams meet and made the playoffs the previous year, the home favorite between -122 to -140 odds...the home team is 38-16 (70%) win rate. Plus, it is a huge pitching mismatch.
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Rivalry, so Red Sox will be focused.
When both teams (Yankees/Red Sox) come off a victory, take the home team as a small favorite (-121) to start the series. Since 2024, this scenario for all teams is 167-104 (hitting at 62%) with a 3% ROI.
Early has given up 1 run or fewer in 4 of his 5 starts. Yankees are hitting .185 vs lefties (ranked 28 out of 30 teams).
Gill has struggled with command for Yankees and has a 7.0 era.
Lastly, Red Sox are only drawing 29 percent of the picks at Draft Kings but 56% of the dollars. At Circa Red Sox are getting 39% of the tickets, but 70% of the money.
I'm also taking the Cubs with my second pick. When two teams meet and made the playoffs the previous year, the home favorite between -122 to -140 odds...the home team is 38-16 (70%) win rate. Plus, it is a huge pitching mismatch.
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