Just a matter of what has better +EV to me. I think I had 3 sides yesterday and will likely have about 3-4 tomorrow, depending on how today goes and looking at early pitching matchups. But it is also a function of how the game has been changing and you cannot rely on the starters staying in the game past the 1st5 innings. Then you have to rely on a good bullpen and hope the manager is not setting up his bullpen for a future series and, instead, lets a shaky reliever stay in too long. Then you couple it with the extra inning rules and it makes a ML play not as valuable because that changes the game when it is a lower number ML game that would normally have value. It is expected to be a close game and can go either way and you will have a slight edge. But then the extra innings can blow that value up. Etc., etc.
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Just a matter of what has better +EV to me. I think I had 3 sides yesterday and will likely have about 3-4 tomorrow, depending on how today goes and looking at early pitching matchups. But it is also a function of how the game has been changing and you cannot rely on the starters staying in the game past the 1st5 innings. Then you have to rely on a good bullpen and hope the manager is not setting up his bullpen for a future series and, instead, lets a shaky reliever stay in too long. Then you couple it with the extra inning rules and it makes a ML play not as valuable because that changes the game when it is a lower number ML game that would normally have value. It is expected to be a close game and can go either way and you will have a slight edge. But then the extra innings can blow that value up. Etc., etc.
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