Royals: Shields had his troubles, no doubt about that, and he was up against an above average level of performance from Nolasco. The reference to being buried by six unearned runs was not the “excuse” someone thought it was. Minus the unearned runs you are still in the game and your team, not down so far, may well come back. Down six they are not likely to. You win, you lose, but you have no way of knowing what might have happened otherwise. Yes, Shields got hit, but you have no way of knowing his mental state later.
Rockies-Giants OVER: I am bit baffled by this one. Neither team ever really got going, although there was plenty of potential by both. I know Anderson only went three innings, but the Giants, with all their offensive potential in that game, did nothing while he was available. The Rockies probably feel good about any road win, but scoring a 25.5 versus Matt Cain when you have 38 potential is not a performance to be proud of either.
Nationals +115: The Braves simply beat the numbers I had projected for them and Taylor Jordan failed to reach his. Sometimes these back to back or similar situational performances reverse, sometimes they don’t, but I have more faith in my performance projections than I have in trying to guess which ones will or will not repeat. My personal history has taught me that arguing with my projections, which I developed myself, is not a good idea. If you want to handicap your handicapper and not play a pick, that is always your option. Your money, your choice.
Astros +140: If a team can’t hit and puts an inconsistent chucker on the hill why are they considered a 60% probability to win the game? I pointed out yesterday they were a poor righty hitting team and they proved it by taking 12 innings to post 1 run. The Rangers are now 0-4-3 versus right handed starters and have an even worse oera today than yesterday. It is now 0.58. Scheppers is no big deal at all and one thing you can love about a team like the Astros is that when young guys are building a future they never give up. Why should I explain anything? The handicap is its own explanation. Didn’t get any criticism on this one.
Tigers: Read prior explanation.
Mets: I warned you that you probably had to hold your nose to make the play, but it was close and Angels backers must have been nervous. They probably soiled their diapers after the Mutts went on to win the game.
Athletics: Read
Astros explanation, again.
So, after a day the bashers really expected to enjoy I lose a lousy $212.30, 23.2% of the 5 straight winners leading up to it ($915.87 includes White Sox, last play Thursday night). Panic? Now you gotta be joking. Forty years at roughly 200 baseball wagering days equals roughly eight thousand days of experience. S**t happens, but it ain’t the end of the world.
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