On a quick 5-0 run and see no reason why today will slow things down. I'm going to post these games early as I LOVE some of them and it's my lady's bday so I will be out for a good part of the day and maybe a bit intoxicated later .
That being said, I am going to post the games in the order of what I like but the first one can also be viewed as a reflection of my screen handle:
LAD - 1.5 (+110) & LAD FH (-172)...BIG PLAYS!!!: Ok, so be careful on MY end I'm positioning this game as both a FH and FG play. The reason is clearly in the pitchers here. To be clear, if the Philies lose, they are done. So they had to cross the country to go to Dodger Stadium and face a team that was the hottest going into the playoffs and seems to still be the hottest to date. Yoshi Yamamoto is on the hill for the Dodgers and he's been one of the BEST pitchers in the MLB over the past two years. He's been almost unhittable of late and would have left his last start with a shutout had Teoscar Hernandez not dropped a fly ball in the 1st inning. Regardless, unearned runs. On the other side of the equation, Aaron Nola has been AWFUL this year going 0-6 with an ERA at about 7 in his road starts. This is don't see changing much because he is playing in a game with more meaning. BUT, Ranger Suarez who is shut down in the playoffs will follow him, and that could come early. That might keep the game in balance so I feel better dropping the high odds in the F5 and seeing the Dodgers pile on late to get the -1.5. The Dodgers lineup is stacked and Will Smith has only just made his return to it. They will want to get it done and rest and while he Phillies have had some success against LAD on the road this year, the stakes here are different. BURY this play and put the Phillies to sleep once and for all.
UNDER 4.5 FH (TOR/NYY)...BIG PLAY!!!: This is my other big play that I just see too much value in. We obviously dont' know what we will get out of the Blue Jays bullpen but we do know that Aaron Judge is on fire in the playoffs this year. I would love to back the NYY to win the game and take it to Toronto, just as I think will happen, but it's hard with such a high price. And the FH is also priced highly with Cam Schlittler on the mound after his shutdown performance in the wildcard round. I do like the Blue Jays to relax into this game knowing they still have the 2-1 advantage and home field advantage, and I think the Yankees come out knowing they will not want to get behind again as they have all series. The only way to ensure that is to shut down the opposing bats. I see this game as an UNDER but again I get spooked by the Yankees bullpen, which was stretched out yesterday. I'm playing this one too with a lot of confidence.
Have to add the other(s) in the next post since the thread is already too long apparently.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD (MLB PLAYOFFS): 14-9-1 (BIG PLAY!!!: 5-3)
On a quick 5-0 run and see no reason why today will slow things down. I'm going to post these games early as I LOVE some of them and it's my lady's bday so I will be out for a good part of the day and maybe a bit intoxicated later .
That being said, I am going to post the games in the order of what I like but the first one can also be viewed as a reflection of my screen handle:
LAD - 1.5 (+110) & LAD FH (-172)...BIG PLAYS!!!: Ok, so be careful on MY end I'm positioning this game as both a FH and FG play. The reason is clearly in the pitchers here. To be clear, if the Philies lose, they are done. So they had to cross the country to go to Dodger Stadium and face a team that was the hottest going into the playoffs and seems to still be the hottest to date. Yoshi Yamamoto is on the hill for the Dodgers and he's been one of the BEST pitchers in the MLB over the past two years. He's been almost unhittable of late and would have left his last start with a shutout had Teoscar Hernandez not dropped a fly ball in the 1st inning. Regardless, unearned runs. On the other side of the equation, Aaron Nola has been AWFUL this year going 0-6 with an ERA at about 7 in his road starts. This is don't see changing much because he is playing in a game with more meaning. BUT, Ranger Suarez who is shut down in the playoffs will follow him, and that could come early. That might keep the game in balance so I feel better dropping the high odds in the F5 and seeing the Dodgers pile on late to get the -1.5. The Dodgers lineup is stacked and Will Smith has only just made his return to it. They will want to get it done and rest and while he Phillies have had some success against LAD on the road this year, the stakes here are different. BURY this play and put the Phillies to sleep once and for all.
UNDER 4.5 FH (TOR/NYY)...BIG PLAY!!!: This is my other big play that I just see too much value in. We obviously dont' know what we will get out of the Blue Jays bullpen but we do know that Aaron Judge is on fire in the playoffs this year. I would love to back the NYY to win the game and take it to Toronto, just as I think will happen, but it's hard with such a high price. And the FH is also priced highly with Cam Schlittler on the mound after his shutdown performance in the wildcard round. I do like the Blue Jays to relax into this game knowing they still have the 2-1 advantage and home field advantage, and I think the Yankees come out knowing they will not want to get behind again as they have all series. The only way to ensure that is to shut down the opposing bats. I see this game as an UNDER but again I get spooked by the Yankees bullpen, which was stretched out yesterday. I'm playing this one too with a lot of confidence.
Have to add the other(s) in the next post since the thread is already too long apparently.
DETROIT TIGERS TO WIN SERIES (+245): No reason to make this a BIG PLAY as I'm already getting value in the line for the series. This is an EXCELLENT series prop if you think about it. Casey Mize is MUCH better at home and extremely solid during the day, which are the situations he finds himself in today. The Mariners like the Blue Jays are in the drivers seat and can even sustain a loss here and head back to Seattle for the close out game. BUT...that will come with squaring off against Tariq Skubal and I don't care who they throw against him, the Tigers will have that pitching advantage. So today's play oh the series is as much a play on Casey Mize as it will be a play on Skubal should they get past this game. With the odds set at over +200, I'm totally in for this "dart" which I think will hit the bullseye.
I am still assessing the Brewers/Cubs game. I very much like Priester and the Brewers have been excellent with him on the mound. He's rested and a big guy so I'm not really fretting about all the innings. But Taillon has been really good at home and I want to look at the weather before posting this play. I have backed the Brewers all year and in a close out game I think they have the advantage, just not sure by how much. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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DETROIT TIGERS TO WIN SERIES (+245): No reason to make this a BIG PLAY as I'm already getting value in the line for the series. This is an EXCELLENT series prop if you think about it. Casey Mize is MUCH better at home and extremely solid during the day, which are the situations he finds himself in today. The Mariners like the Blue Jays are in the drivers seat and can even sustain a loss here and head back to Seattle for the close out game. BUT...that will come with squaring off against Tariq Skubal and I don't care who they throw against him, the Tigers will have that pitching advantage. So today's play oh the series is as much a play on Casey Mize as it will be a play on Skubal should they get past this game. With the odds set at over +200, I'm totally in for this "dart" which I think will hit the bullseye.
I am still assessing the Brewers/Cubs game. I very much like Priester and the Brewers have been excellent with him on the mound. He's rested and a big guy so I'm not really fretting about all the innings. But Taillon has been really good at home and I want to look at the weather before posting this play. I have backed the Brewers all year and in a close out game I think they have the advantage, just not sure by how much. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
DETROIT TIGERS TO WIN SERIES (+245): No reason to make this a BIG PLAY as I'm already getting value in the line for the series. This is an EXCELLENT series prop if you think about it. Casey Mize is MUCH better at home and extremely solid during the day, which are the situations he finds himself in today. The Mariners like the Blue Jays are in the drivers seat and can even sustain a loss here and head back to Seattle for the close out game. BUT...that will come with squaring off against Tariq Skubal and I don't care who they throw against him, the Tigers will have that pitching advantage.
That is true....but it's also the reason why the Mariners will be supremely motivated to clinch the series today. They want to avoid having to try and beat Skubal a second time.
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Quote Originally Posted by LAGameofInches:
DETROIT TIGERS TO WIN SERIES (+245): No reason to make this a BIG PLAY as I'm already getting value in the line for the series. This is an EXCELLENT series prop if you think about it. Casey Mize is MUCH better at home and extremely solid during the day, which are the situations he finds himself in today. The Mariners like the Blue Jays are in the drivers seat and can even sustain a loss here and head back to Seattle for the close out game. BUT...that will come with squaring off against Tariq Skubal and I don't care who they throw against him, the Tigers will have that pitching advantage.
That is true....but it's also the reason why the Mariners will be supremely motivated to clinch the series today. They want to avoid having to try and beat Skubal a second time.
Which is the reasoning I did not play Detroit today and just took the long series odds. I perhaps might not trust Miller as much as yourself but then again the Detroit bats have been in the cooler.
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@MrBator
Which is the reasoning I did not play Detroit today and just took the long series odds. I perhaps might not trust Miller as much as yourself but then again the Detroit bats have been in the cooler.
In short, I have backed this theory almost all year and I just have to do it here. I do respect the playoffs and intensity but the Brewers have shown they can score early and often and I'm not sure that Taillon is going to strike the fear into their bats. On the other side of the equation, Quinn Priester has been really great and the Brewers have had an incredible rate of success with him on the mound, but he can give up runs. This is again just too short for me and I've backed this play all year even taking it against Paul Skenes, so I can't not take it against these guys:
OVER 3.5 FH (MILWAUKEE/CHC)
That will be all, a nervy day so also do your own research. Lots of love for the Tigers I see and I could see the Blue Jays winning tonight but with Aaron Judge swinging how he is, they would probably need to walk him to get the W. So I think a lot of that game will be decided by the 3, 4, 5 hitters. Guerrero Jr. OWNED Rodon, but he's not on the hill tonight and I think Schlittler will challenge him. Anyways, first things first...
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I am adding a play here...
In short, I have backed this theory almost all year and I just have to do it here. I do respect the playoffs and intensity but the Brewers have shown they can score early and often and I'm not sure that Taillon is going to strike the fear into their bats. On the other side of the equation, Quinn Priester has been really great and the Brewers have had an incredible rate of success with him on the mound, but he can give up runs. This is again just too short for me and I've backed this play all year even taking it against Paul Skenes, so I can't not take it against these guys:
OVER 3.5 FH (MILWAUKEE/CHC)
That will be all, a nervy day so also do your own research. Lots of love for the Tigers I see and I could see the Blue Jays winning tonight but with Aaron Judge swinging how he is, they would probably need to walk him to get the W. So I think a lot of that game will be decided by the 3, 4, 5 hitters. Guerrero Jr. OWNED Rodon, but he's not on the hill tonight and I think Schlittler will challenge him. Anyways, first things first...
Alas a game of the bullpens...let's go Tigers! Get me my +200 with Skubal for Game 5 ;). Not sure how the day will play out but hope everyone will have an enjoyable time watching and cashing
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Alas a game of the bullpens...let's go Tigers! Get me my +200 with Skubal for Game 5 ;). Not sure how the day will play out but hope everyone will have an enjoyable time watching and cashing
yeah. I took them for the series so if the Tigers win then he will be on the bump for Game 5 and I’ll have the Tigers for the series. And they will start Skubal. That was the point of my posting it as a play.
I also LOVE the early winners!!!! Becoming commonplace ??. Hopefully a day filled with them now lets go Brewers to come back and win. Hope everyone is having a great and profitable day.
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Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
Skubal +200 for Game 5?
@MrBator
yeah. I took them for the series so if the Tigers win then he will be on the bump for Game 5 and I’ll have the Tigers for the series. And they will start Skubal. That was the point of my posting it as a play.
I also LOVE the early winners!!!! Becoming commonplace ??. Hopefully a day filled with them now lets go Brewers to come back and win. Hope everyone is having a great and profitable day.
Not to toot my own horn but more winning going 3-0 today, hitting the big play and only needing one inning to hit my FH OVER. Of course a lot will depend on the later plays but I fully expect those to cash as well. Oh, and now I have the Tigers to win the series at +245 with Tariq Skubal so I feel good about a potential two more units. But this is why we play the game and I've just been pretty blessed of late. Really solid run hope everyone else is also cashing in.
Will be back later on to fully update. But really awesome day at least for myself. And at least so far .
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Not to toot my own horn but more winning going 3-0 today, hitting the big play and only needing one inning to hit my FH OVER. Of course a lot will depend on the later plays but I fully expect those to cash as well. Oh, and now I have the Tigers to win the series at +245 with Tariq Skubal so I feel good about a potential two more units. But this is why we play the game and I've just been pretty blessed of late. Really solid run hope everyone else is also cashing in.
Will be back later on to fully update. But really awesome day at least for myself. And at least so far .
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