YTD (MLB PLAYOFFS): 18-16-1 (BIG PLAY!!!: 5-6)
Really bummed having lost money on those past couple of games. Probably better handicappers on here now but seems like so many games are skewed to the under in the playoffs so might just have to lay off some games as I did yesterday. Plus I was traveling so very hard to post while doing so. I've dropped a handful of BIG PLAYS and if not for that would have a much better record. But it's about the units not the record and I'm pretty flat in that regard.
For some reason the Brewers don't want to announce their SP of yet so I have no line on that matchup which I feel like I have a better feel for than the AL series. I'm not sure I will make any series plays since I'm probably a lot more of a backer of LAD given my bias.
That being said, I liked how the Mariners came out even though they couldn't score early. I think that's momentum and it carried over to the later innings where they just seemed to be a lot more confident. Today is a day game and the roof will be open so I expect the ball might fly a bit more with that since it always does in Toronto when the roof is open regardless of heat for whatever reason. Logan Gilbert has historically not been very good against the Blue Jays although he did have a solid start against them this year, a game which the Mariners won 8-4. I know the Blue Jays dont' want to go down 2-0 to the Mariners but also don't forget that the Mariners were one of the hottest teams coming into the playoffs.
TORONTO FH (-130)...BIG PLAY!!!: LOVE this spot for Toronto. In fact, I wont' make it a play but I think the FH total gets over the 3.5 since that's an auto play for me at this point. Just not a play given how tight things are in the playoffs. But I think the Jays lineup is going to be a LOT more patient with Gilbert throwing who came out of the bullpen a few games ago to help the Mariners reach this spot. I think he will have a LOT of adrenaline flowing and the Jays can potentially get to him early. On the other side of the hill, the Jays send out their tantalizing rookie pitcher in Trey Yesavage who struck out 11 Yankees last time out. I think he will be just as effective today with a mariners lineup that swings and misses quite a bit....the key word is "misses" b/c they are extremely good when they put the ball in play, especially with their base running. I see the Jays limiting mistakes that cost them yesterday and if Yesavage somehow falters early, the Jays have a few arms in Scherzer or Bassitt that could follow to try and calm things down. But I just dont' see that happening with the way Yesavage has thrown.
I will be back on for the later game which I think would probably be skewed to the UNDER but not sure who the Brewers will bring out. Also not sure if the Jays actually win this game they will need a lockdown from their bullpen b/c the mariners have won most their postseason games coming back. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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