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MLB Picks for Wednesday July 30th

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Posted: #26
Thursday 7/30
 
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Posted: #27

Howdy jstaley. Last night we briefly discussed our disdain on some of the Umpiring and replay issues, along with the frustration on the ever changing strike zone.

Question. How much merit do you put into the officiating crew, and more importantly, the HPU when Capping your Plays? Do you use that mostly for o/u, or does it sway your Plays for either a Pitcher, or a hitting team based on who's behind the plate?

Obviously, they (the Umps) can have a HUGE outcome on the game and was just wondering how and how much that affects your Capping.

Thanks and as I said last night, I find your Plays and views Spot On Good Luck tonight

 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by saigonbynight:

Thursday 7/30

Thanks buddy, I realized that the moment I was clicking 'submit' 
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by Hog_Wild:

Howdy jstaley. Last night we briefly discussed our disdain on some of the Umpiring and replay issues, along with the frustration on the ever changing strike zone.

Question. How much merit do you put into the officiating crew, and more importantly, the HPU when Capping your Plays? Do you use that mostly for o/u, or does it sway your Plays for either a Pitcher, or a hitting team based on who's behind the plate?

Obviously, they (the Umps) can have a HUGE outcome on the game and was just wondering how and how much that affects your Capping.

Thanks and as I said last night, I find your Plays and views Spot On Good Luck tonight


Thanks for the compliment Hog, I appreciate it.  I used to put a lot of emphasis on individual umpires, but it is tricky predicting which will be behind the plate.  All too often the skip a rotation ect.  It just wasn't worth the time.  On big plays ($$) I don't factor in the probability, but it is a minor adjustment.  GL to you tonight!  
 
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Posted: #30
Any input on the Angels/Astros game? Thank man
 
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Posted: #31
Ok, I will follow you from now on. I have a big down since last yr and I hope I can recover my losses. GL to you always!
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by Bredren_Jo:

Any input on the Angels/Astros game? Thank man

That game scares me, and I won't be touching it.  won't bore you with the details, but if I had to play this game, I would limit my position so I did not hurt myself, meaning I would go Houston 5 Inning  RL to isolate Kazmir vs Shoemaker, and would have a + line (+105) so if it went south it would lessen my loss.  Hope that helps


 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by jakey24:

Ok, I will follow you from now on. I have a big down since last yr and I hope I can recover my losses. GL to you always!

And to you buddy... I can't guarantee winning everyday, but I can guarantee consistent profit.  GL 
 
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Posted: #34
Much appreciated with the feedback brotha! As always BOL!
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Bredren_Jo:

Much appreciated with the feedback brotha! As always BOL!

you too Bredren 
 
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Posted: #36
Any input on the cle/oak game?
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by narco12:

Any input on the cle/oak game?

Sorry buddy, I did not see this in time, but it is a 'no play' for me, too much of a coin flip.  BOL to you 
 
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Posted: #38
That will do it for today boys..... 

Finished at 3-0 and +$705

Have a good night all 
 
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Posted: #39
Thanks for the picks. Took cubs n twins. Been following. Great job
 
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Posted: #40
Don't mean to cramp your style but wasn't the NYY game a scratch?

Good work nonetheless. Keep it up bruh..

 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by Rio501:

Don't mean to cramp your style but wasn't the NYY game a scratch?

Good work nonetheless. Keep it up bruh..


Not cramping my style at all, in fact thank you for bringing that to my attention before I posted updated numbers tomorrow (people trounce on that no matter if it is a mistake or not) I had listed the Yanks as VOID, but I was on Philadelphia tonight $100 at a +100 Line, but as I look now, I did not post it.  Good call brother, and thank you 
 
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Posted: #42
Finished at 2-0 and +$600 (Thanks again Rio501)

ML Chicago Cubs (Line -140 ) Risk $420 –Win $300

ML Minnesota Twins (Line -125) Risk $375 –Win $300

 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by Krimpetman:

Thanks for the picks. Took cubs n twins. Been following. Great job

You're welcome brother, and have a great night 
 
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Posted: #44

Another great night- Congrats again

Great comebacks by Twins and Cubs. I was on both and thought Cubs were done, but Rizzo came through, and the entire Twins team did too- although I could've used a  run when they had bases loaded with 1 out and didn't score wrecking my o14.5.....BUT, I just won a little Parlay off the Rangers win

$20.00 $263.33 Pending 4 Team Parlay
Pending 7/30/15 8:10pm  MLB Baseball  961 Chicago Cubs -137* vs Milwaukee Brewers  (J Arrieta - R must Start   J Nelson - R must Start)
Pending 7/30/15 8:05pm  MLB Baseball  970 Texas Rangers +1½ -140* vs New York Yankees  (C Sabathia - L must Start   Y Gallardo - R must Start)
Win 7/30/15 8:10pm  MLB Baseball  972 Houston Astros -130* vs Los Angeles Angels  (M Shoemaker - R must Start   S Kazmir - L must Start)
Win 7/30/15 8:10pm  MLB Baseball  974 Minnesota Twins -1½ +170* vs Seattle Mariners  (J Happ - L must Start   P Hughes - R must Start)

...so I'm a pretty happy camper and wanted to thank you for steering me towards Cubbies, and confirming my Twins Play, as It's kind of a homer play for me. Not a big win, but I'll gladly take it

 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by Hog_Wild:

Another great night- Congrats again

Great comebacks by Twins and Cubs. I was on both and thought Cubs were done, but Rizzo came through, and the entire Twins team did too- although I could've used a  run when they had bases loaded with 1 out and didn't score wrecking my o14.5.....BUT, I just won a little Parlay off the Rangers win

$20.00 $263.33 Pending 4 Team Parlay
Pending 7/30/15 8:10pm  MLB Baseball  961 Chicago Cubs -137* vs Milwaukee Brewers  (J Arrieta - R must Start   J Nelson - R must Start)
Pending 7/30/15 8:05pm  MLB Baseball  970 Texas Rangers +1½ -140* vs New York Yankees  (C Sabathia - L must Start   Y Gallardo - R must Start)
Win 7/30/15 8:10pm  MLB Baseball  972 Houston Astros -130* vs Los Angeles Angels  (M Shoemaker - R must Start   S Kazmir - L must Start)
Win 7/30/15 8:10pm  MLB Baseball  974 Minnesota Twins -1½ +170* vs Seattle Mariners  (J Happ - L must Start   P Hughes - R must Start)

...so I'm a pretty happy camper and wanted to thank you for steering me towards Cubbies, and confirming my Twins Play, as It's kind of a homer play for me. Not a big win, but I'll gladly take it


You're welcome, and it's all about the bullpens, and a lot of bullpens have been drastically changing over the last week.  Have a good night Hog 
 
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Posted: #46
Thank you sir!! 2-0 for today.
 
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Posted: #47
Great job!!   Awesome!!   
 
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Posted: #48

Good point about all the changes affecting not only the Bullpens, but the overall Team chemistry for both the giving and receiving sides of the trades. Even though these trades are supposed to benefit teams in the hunt, I'm sure in some cases there will be some animosity about players losing their jobs and/ or friends that left via the trades.

Plus there will be adjustment periods acclimating with new teams/ systems that is usually played out during Spring Training.

I remember after the NHL trade deadline, there were some issues, and I'm sure it will be the same with MLB.

Just something to keep eyes and ears on the next couple weeks.

Good Night and Good Luck tomorrow

 
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