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MLB betting for July 20 - 26

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Posted: #26
BOL Kane        Southside
 
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Posted: #27
[Quote: Originally Posted by HappyKane]
Stew Baker - B-/C+ grades are the "in-between" ones.
 
His chart is not good enough for a B grade nor is it bad enough to be a C grade.
 
 
According to the chart, the physical aspect is about 1/2 way
between the bottom and neutral. How does this get to be B-/C+? What grade would neutral get? Also, what exactly do the maroon and green blocks represent?
 
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Posted: #28
Tuesday, July 21st - Pitchers' #'s & Ratings:
 
COOL COLORS = good ratings/grades = lucky ephemerides
WARM COLORS = bad ratings/grades = unlucky ephemerides
 
+ = high or optimal physical bio
- = low or critical physical bio
 
Sean O'Sullivan (2-0, 3.80) B-
Sidney Ponson (1-5, 7.27) C- is 7-2 w/approx a 4.30 ERA in twelve starts against the Angels.
 
Rich Hill (3-2, 7.22) B+
Sergio Mitre (0-0, 0.00) C+
 
Garrett Olson (3-3, 4.53) B+ is 0-1 w/a 11.74 ERA in two starts against the Tigers.
Rick Porcello (8-6, 4.14) C- is 1-0 w/a 1.29 ERA in one start against the Mariners.
 
Oliver Pérez (2-2, 7.99) B- is 3-4 w/a 7.29 ERA in nine career starts against the Nationals.
John Lannan (6-7, 3.64) C+ is 2-3 w/a 4.54 ERA in seven career starts against the Mets.
 
Braden Looper (8-4, 4.95) B-
Virgil Vásquez (1-3, 6.52) C-
 
Rich Harden (6-6, 5.06) C- is 1-0 w/a 0.69 ERA in two starts against the Phillies.
Joe Blanton (6-4, 4.44) B+ is 0-0 w/a 3.18 ERA in one start against the Cubs.
 
Cliff Lee (5-9, 3.31) C- is 1-4 w/a 4.37 ERA in eight career starts against the Blue Jays.
Brett Cecil (3-1, 5.40) B+ is 0-0 w/a 1.50 ERA in one game and 6.0 innings pitched against the Indians.
 
Ryan Sadowski (2-1, 1.00) C-
Derek Lowe (8-7, 4.40) B-/C+ is 4-5 w/a 3.21 ERA in fourteen career starts against the Giants.
 
Todd Wellemeyer (7-7, 5.56) C- is 1-1 w/a 3.58 ERA against the Astros.
Wandy Rodríguez (9-6, 2.81) C+ is 2-7 w/approx a 4.12 ERA in ten starts against the Cardinals.
 
Josh Beckett (11-3, 3.35) C+ is 2-1 w/a 3.63 ERA in four career starts against the Rangers.
Tommy Hunter (1-1, 2.35) B+
 
Ervin Santana (2-5, 6.70) B- is 2-2 w/a 4.31 ERA in five career starts against the Royals
Bruce Chen (0-4, 6.86) C-
 
Jeff Niemann (8-4, 3.73) A+ is 0-2 w/a 6.75 ERA in two starts against the White Sox.
Clayton Richard (3-3, 5.42) B-
 
Max Scherzer (5-6, 3.64) C- is 0-2 w/a 4.50 ERA in two starts against the Rockies.
Aaron Cook (9-3, 3.85) B- is 5-4 w/approx a 5.45 ERA in eighteen starts against the Diamondbacks.
 
Chris Volstad (6-9, 4.53) C
Chad Gaudin (4-8, 4.84) A
 
Anthony Swarzak (2-3, 4.50) B-
Dallas Braden (7-8, 3.45) B-
 
Homer Bailey (1-1, 6.43) C-
Randy Wolf (4-4, 3.51) B- is 8-2 w/a 3.15 ERA in fifteen career starts against the Reds.
 
Pitchers i'm avoiding/fading on Tuesday:
 
Garrett Olson
Cliff Lee
Todd Wellemeyer
 
Possible values/winners for Tuesday:
 
Detroit Tigers RL
Cubs/Phillies Over 9.5
Red Sox/Rangers Under 9.5
 
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Posted: #29
< < < WAGER CARD & LEDGER > > > 
 
Month of April -$16
Month of May -$334
Month of June +$2718
Week of July 1-5 +$239
Week of July 6-12 +$1441
Week of July 13-19 +$109
 
Monday                                                                 
300/306 Chicago Cubs +102 *** POD ***
210/200 Pittsburgh Pirates -105
106/100 Texas Rangers -106
104/100 Chicago White Sox -104
105/100 Reds/Dodgers Over 9 -105
 
YTD +$4357
 
Tuesday's POD:
 
300/402 Detroit Tigers -1½ +134
 
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Posted: #30
Getting back to Tim Stauffer's bio chart from yesterday, the physical aspect is about 1/2 way
between the bottom and neutral. How does this get to be B-/C+? What grade would neutral get? Also, what exactly do the maroon and green blocks represent?
 
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Posted: #31
Some more for Tuesday:
 
107/100 Red Sox/Rangers Under 9½ -107
149/100 Houston Astros -149
200/200 LA Dodgers -1½ +110
 
Legend
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Posted: #32
Stew Baker - Maroon & red are the critical phase of the cycle and green and bright green are the optimal phase of the cycle.
 
Even though Stauffer's physical line is in the critical part of the graph, i can't really give him a C grade. Thats also in part because of his chart shifting to the optimal side of things; it doesn't look all that good on Monday but Tuesday's grade would be in the B- range. And Sunday's grade would be in the C- range. What's in between? I had to formulate something that was easily decipherable (at least to my eyes), which was the B-/C+ grade.
 
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Posted: #33
Jeff Niemann (8-4, 3.73) A+ 
Clayton Richard (3-3, 5.42) B-
 
Jeff Niemann is a very dependable road pitcher. Clayton Richard have lost his form and this is a bad matchup for him.
 
Really liked the Rays today but then i found out Brandon Lang likes them also.
 
 
Brewers also because Virgil Vasquez is awful. Lang likes the Brewers too.
 
Who knows. Maybe he's due for a winning week.
 
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Posted: #34
Liked the rays as well then I just read Crawford and Pena are out the line-up. Lang on them was icing on the cake.
 
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Posted: #35
This biorhythm thing is pretty cool. Who generates the charts? Have you tried other charts and found these to be superior? Thanks.
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by HappyKane:

Jeff Niemann (8-4, 3.73) A+ 
Clayton Richard (3-3, 5.42) B-
 
Jeff Niemann is a very dependable road pitcher. Clayton Richard have lost his form and this is a bad matchup for him.
 
Really liked the Rays today but then i found out Brandon Lang likes them also.
 
 
Brewers also because Virgil Vasquez is awful. Lang likes the Brewers too.
 
Who knows. Maybe he's due for a winning week.

Kane,

Do you know status of Choate and Balfour?   Danks for Chicago?

Availability?

 
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Posted: #37
Gordon Gekko - Carlos Torres is starting in place of John Danks tomorrow.
 
I've heard nothing of Choate and Balfour.
 
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Posted: #38
 
Google: free biorhythm calculator and/or whitestranger
 
I use the one from whitestranger. There is a free version and there is one you can pay for. I paid for mine but there is no difference.
 
Google: luckydays.tv
 
Lots of information there to learn about ephemerides and astrology. I use the software from there also.
 
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Posted: #39
Well, well. I guess today is Brandon Lang's lucky day.
 
Pirates
Rays
 
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Posted: #40
Wednesday, July 22nd - Pitchers' #'s & Ratings:
 
COOL COLORS = good ratings/grades = lucky ephemerides
WARM COLORS = bad ratings/grades = unlucky ephemerides
 
+ = high or optimal physical bio
- = low or critical physical bio
 
Jeff Suppan (5-7, 4.43) C- is 13-3 w/a 4.22 ERA in twenty-two career starts against the Pirates. Including his 1-year stint w/ the Pirates, Suppan have pitched well in PNC Park; 10-5 lifetime w/approx a 3.79 ERA. Check out Suppan's road/home splits for 2009.
Paul Maholm (6-4, 4.28) B-/C+ is 2-5 w/a 4.38 ERA in twelve career starts against the Brewers.
 
Carlos Zambrano (6-4, 3.36) B- is 3-3 w/a 3.38 ERA in seven career starts against the Phillies.
Jamie Moyer (9-6, 5.58) C+ is 3-0 w/a 4.19 ERA in six career starts against the Cubs.
 
Jason Berken (1-7, 6.44) C+
A.J. Burnett (8-4, 3.81) C- is 8-1 w/a 4.83 ERA in ten career starts against the Orioles.
 
Jon Garland (5-9, 4.45) B-/C+ is 1-0 w/a 1.35 ERA on one start against the Rockies.
Ubaldo Jiménez (7-9, 3.82) B+ is 1-2 w/a 2.75 ERA in six career starts against the Diamondbacks.
 
Ricky Nolasco (6-7, 5.77) B- is 1-2 w/a 4.87 ERA against the Padres.
Josh Geer (1-5, 6.02) B+
 
Glen Perkins (5-5, 4.75) A+
Trevor Cahill (5-8, 4.72) C-
 
Felix Hernández (10-3, 2.51) C- is 4-2 w/a 3.22 ERA in six career starts against the Tigers.
Armando Galarraga (5-8, 5.09) C is 0-0 w/a 1.50 ERA in one start against the Mariners.
 
Carl Pavano (8-7, 5.13) B- is 2-3 w/a 5.45 ERA in seven career starts against the Blue Jays.
Ricky Romero (7-4, 3.25) A+
 
Tim Lincecum (10-2, 2.27) C- is 5-0 w/a 2.08 ERA in five career starts against the Braves.
Jair Jurrjens (8-7, 2.77) C- is 0-2 w/a 3.46 ERA in two starts against the Giants.
 
Mike Pelfrey (7-5, 5.07) B+ is 3-3 w/a 3.79 ERA in nine career starts against the Nationals.
Craig Stammen (2-5, 4.46) C- is 0-2 w/a 7.20 ERA in two starts against the Mets.
 
Chris Carpenter (8-3, 2.26) C- is 5-3 w/a 2.93 ERA in eleven career starts against the Astros.
Roy Oswalt (6-4, 3.65) B- is 9-7 w/approx a 3.11 ERA in twenty-five career starts against the Cardinals.
 
Clay Buchholz (1-0, 1.59) B
Vicente Padilla (7-5, 4.67) B+ is 2-3 w/a 4.84 ERA against the Red Sox.
 
Joe Saunders (8-6, 4.72) B+ is 2-0 w/a 0.56 ERA in two starts against the Royals.
Brian Bannister (6-7, 3.66) B-
 
James Shields (6-6, 3.75) B+ is 1-1 w/a 4.94 ERA in four starts against the White Sox.
Carlos Torres (0-0, 0.00) C-
 
Bronson Arroyo (10-8, 5.07) C- is 1-3 w/a 4.46 ERA against the Dodgers.
Chad Billingsley (9-5, 3.76) B- is 2-1 w/a 0.92 ERA against the Reds.
 
Legend
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Posted: #41
Pitchers i'm avoiding/fading on Wednesday:
 
Jason Berken - Really. Who wants to burn their money on this pitcher?
Jon Garland - I've seen Garland pitch well on the road this year. But he continues to be a victim of run support and bullpen issues.
Trevor Cahill - Great spot for the Twins to salvage a game here. Just a hunch.
Félix Hernández - King Felix could pitch well but i fear he might not get enough run support in this spot. I was hoping this would be a day game because Galarraga is almost a full 2 runs better in ERA in day games.
Tim Lincecum - Pitch as good as you can but if you're not getting run support, you're... SOL. This is a matchup where i may have to take a close look at the bullpens.
Craig Stammen - One of the most underwhelming pitcher in the league; very mediocre fastball. Gets overworked in later innings; this kid will be shelved in the bullpen soon.
Roy Oswalt - I do want to see Oswalt get a win here but i just don't see the Cardinals getting swept.
Bronson Arroyo - If Chad Billingsley was on the Reds, he'd be their ace. Reds are pitiful against the Dodgers and they're going to prove it again.
 
Possible values/winners for Wednesday:
 
NY Yankees RL
Minnesota Twins +100
Red Sox/Rangers Under
LA Dodgers RL
 
Legend
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Posted: #42
Loving the Angels on Wednesday as they go for the sweep.
 
Royals suck against lefties. Royals are 5-16 in their last 21 games versus a left-handed starter.
 
Joe Saunders is having some problems on the road this season but he has a lifetime record of 21-10 in road games. And Joe Saunders isn't in top form but this is a good spot for him to bounce back. A good spot because he's dominated the Royals before and he should have his confidence back knowing that. Joe Saunders is 2-0 w/a 0.56 ERA against the Royals.
 
Angels are 0-4 in Saunders' last 4 road starts. But the Angels are road warriors and they have a good chance to go 1-4 with Saunders on the road when they sweep the Royals on Wednesday.
 
The are killing the Royals and they're doing it w/o the services of Vlad and Torii. 
 
Check out Brian Bannister's night splits. For whatever reason, the guy just doesn't pitch well in night games. If this was a day game, i'd give the Royals a better than average chance to salvage a win. This is one reason Bannister will always be an average pitcher; a pitcher with a lifetime sub .500 record.
 
Last year, when the Halos were in town, they pegged Bannister 13 times for 5 runs. And that was all they needed as the Angels won 5-3.
 
This is a matchup that is heavily dependent on run support.
 
Joe Saunders is the benefactor of 6.04 runs per start in 2009. The best run support of any Angels starter this year.
 
Brian Bannister is averaging a measly 3.88 run support per start.
 
You've seen the first two games. Now do the math.
 
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Posted: #43
Craig Stammen - One of the most underwhelming pitcher in the league; very mediocre fastball. Gets overworked in later innings; this kid will be shelved in the bullpen soon.
 
 
So no nats and no KC!!!! What the hell am I suppose to play oon then????
 
 
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Posted: #44
Hey Kane....Balty looks great tomorrow.  Getaway day for the yanks
 
Bullpen is over worked and AJ never goes 7 innings.  Would like your take....
 
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Posted: #45
WussieMan - Check my wagerline record for Nationals games. I usually have a good read on when to bet them.
 
Stammen tomorrow =
 
This is my lucky week man. I'm going to get to 6K and hit the casinos and play with orange and purple chips this week. Or maybe a grey chip on just 1 hand of blackjack.
 
Heck, since its all on house money, i might even do a 5 or 6 team parlay hehe.
 
Well, i would've went 6-0 today if i didn't worry so much about what Brandon Lang was on.
 
Detroit Tigers -1½ +134
Red Sox/Rangers Under 9½ -107
Houston Astros -149
LA Dodgers -1½ +110
Milwaukee Brewers  
Tampa Bay Rays
 
 
Legend
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by geopackiv:

Hey Kane....Balty looks great tomorrow.  Getaway day for the yanks
 
Bullpen is over worked and AJ never goes 7 innings.  Would like your take....

You realize Jason Berken is the other pitcher right?

 
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Posted: #47
yanks suck against rhp they have never seen
 
Berken operating with a day era of 1.29.
 
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Posted: #48
What is Buckholtz bio???  Can I FADE him???
 
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Posted: #49
WussieMan - 1st of all, get a Pulp Fiction avatar and catch some of my mojo. I'm going to start a Pulp Fiction cult on Covers.com.
 
 
Clay Buchholz - nope. Not a good day to fade him. Not that you can't or shouldn't. Its because of Vicente Padilla. Don't mean to be vain but this is one Nica i usually have a very good read on. I'm probably something like 386-5 on games involving Vicente Padilla. Yeah.
 
There are a lot of good trends for Padilla in the Covers.com trends section, but i applore y'all to ignore 'em.
Theres only one thing you need to know about Vicente Padilla to make money with him or against him, write this on your wall.
 
1) Vicente Padilla do not get wins unless he gets at least 5 runs in support.
 
Quoting Jair Jurrjens of the Atlanta Braves, "Baseball is about luck. You can pitch good and not get the win. You can pitch bad and no get the loss."
 
I usually get a good read on Padilla because of his "luck" factor. What do i mean? Well. On his lucky day, Padilla gets lots of run support from the Rangers bats. On his unlucky day, Padilla will surely lose if he doesn't get more than 4 runs of support.
 
Wednesday, July 22, 2009 is Vicente Padilla's unlucky day.
 
In short, take the the Red Sox.
 
 
 
 
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BOL
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