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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    MLB 8/08/17

    12 Next Last»
    KeyElement
    fullabs11
    dcgmt
    ProudJagsfan
    brent0887
    ...
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    Views: 3851
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    12 Next Last»
     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 9:33 AM ET #1

    8/08/17

    105-117-7, RoR –6.60% (vs 11/10 odds 48.9%)

    Diamondbacks +105, F5, Maeda / Godley

    BOL

    Might be back with more, we shall see.


    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    8/08/17

    105-117-7, RoR –6.60% (vs 11/10 odds 48.9%)

    Diamondbacks +105, F5, Maeda / Godley

    BOL

    Might be back with more, we shall see.


     
    fullabs11
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 9:46 AM ET #2

    The man loves godley.... 
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    The man loves godley.... 
     
    fullabs11
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 9:48 AM ET #3

    .... And so do I... should have been added to the previous statement
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    .... And so do I... should have been added to the previous statement
     
    dcgmt
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 9:52 AM ET #4

    GL Key
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    GL Key
     
    ProudJagsfan
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 9:57 AM ET #5

    Key thinks that he is God. He doesn't need luck. That's why he feels entitled to break his own "deals." "Now, if you mind your own business and stay out of my threads genius, I will stay out of yours. Otherwise........., well, I won't go there."

    Please don't try to sabotage other threads. It took you 10 seconds, good job.

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    Key thinks that he is God. He doesn't need luck. That's why he feels entitled to break his own "deals." "Now, if you mind your own business and stay out of my threads genius, I will stay out of yours. Otherwise........., well, I won't go there."

    Please don't try to sabotage other threads. It took you 10 seconds, good job.

     
    brent0887
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 10:15 AM ET #6

    GL today bud
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    GL today bud
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 11:14 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by straight_cash:


    Gotcha, so you're looking for value before the line moves. 
    Now here is a man I can like. He asks a question, then comes back and acknowledges the fact that he got an answer. Much better than posting the same question once a week and never checking for the answer. 
      
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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    Quote Originally Posted by straight_cash:


    Gotcha, so you're looking for value before the line moves. 
    Now here is a man I can like. He asks a question, then comes back and acknowledges the fact that he got an answer. Much better than posting the same question once a week and never checking for the answer. 
      
     
    NaciremaDream
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 11:17 AM ET #8

    Larger gap, Dallas over Holland or Sale over Pruitt?

    Stros should be an easy win if we think Dallas is back to normal after the two average starts off the DL.
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    Larger gap, Dallas over Holland or Sale over Pruitt?

    Stros should be an easy win if we think Dallas is back to normal after the two average starts off the DL.
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 11:18 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by fullabs11:

    .... And so do I... should have been added to the previous statement
    And with good cause. Most of the attention on the Dbax starters is focused on Greinke and Ray. They are deserving, sure, but Godley has broken in with a 77.6 rating, 12-3 for quality starts and 9-6 for head-to-head wins. 
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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    Quote Originally Posted by fullabs11:

    .... And so do I... should have been added to the previous statement
    And with good cause. Most of the attention on the Dbax starters is focused on Greinke and Ray. They are deserving, sure, but Godley has broken in with a 77.6 rating, 12-3 for quality starts and 9-6 for head-to-head wins. 
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 11:22 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by NaciremaDream:

    Larger gap, Dallas over Holland or Sale over Pruitt?

    Stros should be an easy win if we think Dallas is back to normal after the two average starts off the DL.
    Another smart question. Sale 30.1, Keuchel 24.3. Both are pretty extreme edges.You would have to have a lot of offensive and home field average to overcome those. Or, bribe the umpires (that's a joke folks)


    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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    Quote Originally Posted by NaciremaDream:

    Larger gap, Dallas over Holland or Sale over Pruitt?

    Stros should be an easy win if we think Dallas is back to normal after the two average starts off the DL.
    Another smart question. Sale 30.1, Keuchel 24.3. Both are pretty extreme edges.You would have to have a lot of offensive and home field average to overcome those. Or, bribe the umpires (that's a joke folks)


     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 11:25 AM ET #11

    One other opinion: Unless things get really weird or an injury occurs, they may as well start engraving the Cy Young trophies right now. Sale and Scherzer easily.
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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    One other opinion: Unless things get really weird or an injury occurs, they may as well start engraving the Cy Young trophies right now. Sale and Scherzer easily.
     
    cjm2008
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 11:34 AM ET #12

    I looked at this game and pretty much had it even, so the Dbacks at +105 is a good play. GL Key
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    I looked at this game and pretty much had it even, so the Dbacks at +105 is a good play. GL Key
     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 11:36 AM ET #13

    AZ opened +115, went down, now back to +115. I expected some LA buy back. First move on AZ though...

    This one could bounce around all day.

    Best of Luck on the play
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    AZ opened +115, went down, now back to +115. I expected some LA buy back. First move on AZ though...

    This one could bounce around all day.

    Best of Luck on the play
     
    rybiggs
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 11:54 AM ET #14

    @key whats the numbers you posted, 30.1 and 24.3? what is that measuring
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    @key whats the numbers you posted, 30.1 and 24.3? what is that measuring
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 12:15 PM ET #15

    Red Sox -121, FG, RL, Sale / Pruitt

    BOL

    Might be back with more, we shall see.


    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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    Red Sox -121, FG, RL, Sale / Pruitt

    BOL

    Might be back with more, we shall see.


     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 12:23 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by rybiggs:

    @key whats the numbers you posted, 30.1 and 24.3? what is that measuring
    That is the pitching quality differential between Sale and Pruitt, Keuchel and Holland.

    Sale +30.1
    Kuechel +24.3

    The average pitcher rating is 59.4. Both Sale and Keuchel are for over that, both Pruitt and Holland are under.
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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    Quote Originally Posted by rybiggs:

    @key whats the numbers you posted, 30.1 and 24.3? what is that measuring
    That is the pitching quality differential between Sale and Pruitt, Keuchel and Holland.

    Sale +30.1
    Kuechel +24.3

    The average pitcher rating is 59.4. Both Sale and Keuchel are for over that, both Pruitt and Holland are under.
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 12:49 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    AZ opened +115, went down, now back to +115. I expected some LA buy back. First move on AZ though...

    This one could bounce around all day.

    Best of Luck on the play
    At the time I played the Dbax only 39% of the bettors had come in on them, but the line was dropping. That was significant RLM. Now they are only at 45%, so Dodger players are checking in, and the line should be going back up. The rising line does not necessarily mean the bigger bets are coming in on the Dodgers. Line watching is a tricky endeavor. 


    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    AZ opened +115, went down, now back to +115. I expected some LA buy back. First move on AZ though...

    This one could bounce around all day.

    Best of Luck on the play
    At the time I played the Dbax only 39% of the bettors had come in on them, but the line was dropping. That was significant RLM. Now they are only at 45%, so Dodger players are checking in, and the line should be going back up. The rising line does not necessarily mean the bigger bets are coming in on the Dodgers. Line watching is a tricky endeavor. 


     
    bonfire69
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 12:56 PM ET #18

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    mdelvalle
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 1:07 PM ET #19

    MDV
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    Irish7878
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 2:42 PM ET #20

    Totally agree w your thinking on Godley and the Dbax - but until Dodgers stop acting like the Cubs of 2016, I can't bet against them.  My loss probably, but this has been the right decision this year so far.
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    Totally agree w your thinking on Godley and the Dbax - but until Dodgers stop acting like the Cubs of 2016, I can't bet against them.  My loss probably, but this has been the right decision this year so far.
     
    tuck321
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 3:01 PM ET #21

    Make sure Godley  has Iannetta  catching
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    Make sure Godley  has Iannetta  catching
     
    LABOOKIE
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 3:06 PM ET #22

    BOL 
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    BOL 
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 3:21 PM ET #23

    I am curious about something and maybe a SABRmetrics guru can help me out. The Dodgers have won 13 of their last 14, 92.9% way too high to be reasonable even with the 71.2% season they are having (congratulations). Maeda has been out of his mind four straight games (congratulations). Since SABRmetrics fans love to come in here and tell "he has to regress" when their numbers on pitchers do not agree with mine, doesn't that mean that both the Dodgers and Maeda "have to regress"? 

    I usually tell them, maybe so, but are you saying the regression has to happen today? They can never confirm that it must happen today, which I also accept regarding the Dodgers, but doesn't the same concept apply?

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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    I am curious about something and maybe a SABRmetrics guru can help me out. The Dodgers have won 13 of their last 14, 92.9% way too high to be reasonable even with the 71.2% season they are having (congratulations). Maeda has been out of his mind four straight games (congratulations). Since SABRmetrics fans love to come in here and tell "he has to regress" when their numbers on pitchers do not agree with mine, doesn't that mean that both the Dodgers and Maeda "have to regress"? 

    I usually tell them, maybe so, but are you saying the regression has to happen today? They can never confirm that it must happen today, which I also accept regarding the Dodgers, but doesn't the same concept apply?

     
    backdooor_cover
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 5:16 PM ET #24

    pains me but I like money more so I am taking:

    Yankees FG +115.  CC is hope is back to his old dominance. 

    Also this one is blowing my mind so please if anyone has any insight or knowledge or an edge that I am missing than please help.... but why is the Rockies such a big underdog today??? 
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    pains me but I like money more so I am taking:

    Yankees FG +115.  CC is hope is back to his old dominance. 

    Also this one is blowing my mind so please if anyone has any insight or knowledge or an edge that I am missing than please help.... but why is the Rockies such a big underdog today??? 
     
     
    JEG53
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2017 - 5:21 PM ET #25

    Anyone that has bet against the Bums has gotten killed,0n Sunday they had won 43-7 L-50 games,that must be a record for a 50 game period but maybe not,some of those Braves team that only won one series won alot of games not to mention the Yankee's with all their championship's.
    But the point being you could just parley Wash.and Dodgers every day and see if you make money,it will save juice for sure,but though I lost on my bet yesterday,Flor.was never out of that game and a 3-2 loss is OK for what I risked to win.


    Key taking bdc team today,going on the Giants also,
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    Anyone that has bet against the Bums has gotten killed,0n Sunday they had won 43-7 L-50 games,that must be a record for a 50 game period but maybe not,some of those Braves team that only won one series won alot of games not to mention the Yankee's with all their championship's.
    But the point being you could just parley Wash.and Dodgers every day and see if you make money,it will save juice for sure,but though I lost on my bet yesterday,Flor.was never out of that game and a 3-2 loss is OK for what I risked to win.


    Key taking bdc team today,going on the Giants also,
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