Posted:
#1
YTD 1-1 +0.98 units
should have bet the twins last night but didnt...
Seems like betting dogs is much more of a volume game than a picking your spots game. Picks in bold if i do anything...
AL Card:
Oak +128 - blanton v dice-k; if we remember from last year dice-k is much more hittable 2nd and 3rd time around...hence him being unhittable until around memorial day last year. These teams saw each other's SP a week ago in japan. I favor a disciplined hitting team like Oakland against a pitcher they've seen before. I remember when the Yanks and Rays did the Japan trip a few years ago....they were jetlagged and out of it for a good week when they came back.
Twins +112 (
was +120 earlier) - Boof v Garland; new team, same pitcher. I like Garland a lot and think he'll have a good year, but the Twins know him. Again, the Twins at home when underdogs should be an auto bet. Top 5 bullpen in baseball, good lineup, serviceable SP. Its too low at +112 for me...maybe the chasers will push it higher later.
Toronto +150??? whatever it is...Halladay v Wang. Same bet as yesterday and I'll probably make it. Just waiting for the matchbook market to fill up.
Texas/Seattle - Padilla is awful. I dont think you can pay me to try and build a case for taking the Rangers here.
gl all
should have bet the twins last night but didnt...
Seems like betting dogs is much more of a volume game than a picking your spots game. Picks in bold if i do anything...
AL Card:
Oak +128 - blanton v dice-k; if we remember from last year dice-k is much more hittable 2nd and 3rd time around...hence him being unhittable until around memorial day last year. These teams saw each other's SP a week ago in japan. I favor a disciplined hitting team like Oakland against a pitcher they've seen before. I remember when the Yanks and Rays did the Japan trip a few years ago....they were jetlagged and out of it for a good week when they came back.
Twins +112 (
was +120 earlier) - Boof v Garland; new team, same pitcher. I like Garland a lot and think he'll have a good year, but the Twins know him. Again, the Twins at home when underdogs should be an auto bet. Top 5 bullpen in baseball, good lineup, serviceable SP. Its too low at +112 for me...maybe the chasers will push it higher later.Toronto +150??? whatever it is...Halladay v Wang. Same bet as yesterday and I'll probably make it. Just waiting for the matchbook market to fill up.
Texas/Seattle - Padilla is awful. I dont think you can pay me to try and build a case for taking the Rangers here.
gl all
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