L2T Mid Season Streak Angles (May 16 -July 31))

Streak 'Pedigree': - before looking at matchups!

-Pirates are used to long OVER streak this season ....currently have completed a 4 gamer

-Milwaukee have NOT completed a TOTAL streak this season of 5 games ....currently sit on 3 game UNDER streak

-Nationals have a couple of very long Over streaks but most have stallled this last 30 days at 3 or 4 games >> they are going for a 4 game OVER streak > coincident with that is a great improvement in bullpen ratings (now 5th worst rather than worst by far!)

- Miami have broken their 5 game streak top for all avenues by getting their 6th win and are in completely new territory for them ....they are fade material if I see the right matchup ....but quite consistent hitting with almost equal team avg for home or away and have improved from .242 to .235 in the  first two months to now .266 in JUNE !

Comments on 4 Game Streaks - just updated: (doing 3 game streaks too later)

What Stands Out?

Phillies 6 - 1 next game after winning 3 in a row

LAA Angels 1 - 6 next game after LOSING 3 in a row 

Padres  5 - 0 next game LOSING after losing 3 in a row

NYY 5 - 0 next game when trying to complete a WIN streak 

Seattle  0 - 5 UNDER on their next game after completing 3 UNDERS in a row

Twins  5 - 1 OVER when trying to complete a 4 game OVER streak

Cubs 4 - 0 next game after going OVER for 3 in a row

Tampa 4 - 0  UNDER next game after completing 3 UNDERS in a row

CWS  0 - 4 in trying to complete a 4 game LOSING streak  (Pope's team is the most consistent in MLB!)

Tigers 0 - 4 trying to complete a 4 game UNDER streak

Pirates 3 - 0 next game losing after LOSING 3 in a row > on watch: Pirates on 2 game L streak

Giants 0 - 3 next game WINNING if after a 3 game win streak 

Houston 3 - 0 next game LOSING after losing 3 in a row 

Texas  3 - 0 next game UNDER if completing a 3 game win streak

Seattle 3 - 0 next game if on a WINNING streak after 3 games in a row

Royals 3 - 0 OVER next game after completing a 3 game OVER streak

Tigers 3 - 0 in trying to complete a 4 game WINNING streak

Orioles  0 - 3 in trying to complete a 4 game WIN streak >> note today *** Orioles have completed a 3 game WIN STREAK!!

***note today > Royals are 4 - 1 in completing a 4 game LOSING streak....today, they could lose their 4th in a row!

PADRES ML +110 x HALF U

Found this one late ....with 10 minutes to go doing my streak analysis..... Padres up 4 - 0 quickly 

Got Brazil - Morocco Tie .... crazy good payouts on my $5 and $10 parlays that I set all week using that game and Scotland.... and I have a bunch wheeled with Uruguay UNDER 2.5  << I will have to take Uruguay to win by 1.5 goals also to back up...just in case they put up a 3-0 score

Will continue to post observations... and suggestions for soccer... I hit higher than 60% usually with soccer ....much higher % for plays with a ML 1.6 or lower but you will notice, I am very selective on those because ONCE you assume favorites will win always in soccer, TIEs or upsets happen quite a bit

Nice work! Keep up the great analysis 

I WAS rank 2500+ at one point 1 month ago .....in Kings: Yesterday, 6 - 0 although one is not settled and now on a roll. I will try to post all of my KINGS sides and totals for you guys.

06/13/2026  5-0-0   100.00%     +2590 Detail
06/12/2026  4-1-0   80.00%       +1450 Detail
06/11/2026  1-0-0   100.00%      +500 Detail
06/10/2026  5-2-0   71.43%      +990 Detail
06/07/2026  8-5-0   61.54%     +1270 Detail

Its a miracle 

Rank:
375th  Net Units: +1050   

Overall:
106-92-4

Last 10:
9-1-0

Last 20:
15-5-0

Baseball has been real tough nut to crack but maybe I am cracking it now? Those Kings picks are for free so why am I only 19 - 17  -$42 ?? Just making what I think is the BEST DECISION and its not.... but I anticipate a turnaround soon and you sift through what I am suggesting for KINGS and bet accordingly.... I'll stop when I suck again

@Last2thirst

I’m out of jail!  Lol

I had an opportunity to clown on a nemesis and I couldn’t resist… haha. 

BOL today!!!

Avoid Skenes - Meyer UNDER ..... while I like the strong right field wind protecting the 'pulled' HR.....how many people PULL the ball on these pitcher's fastballs? If anything, I can see HRs to left centre spin out hard cutting the wind and I checked the Pirates Over record since May 1 in their home park and its 15 - 6 OVER 8 runs !! 

Man, I love you that much more for it ..... bandito!! 

@Last2thirst

Ok, just finished updating my 3 game STREAK data to June 12th on the season:

BEST 3 STREAK TEAMS:

1. Atlanta = 23 - 4  successfully completing a 3 game STREAK of any kind 

*** Atlanta is going for a 3 game UNDER streak today

2. Tampa  = 21 - 5  successfully completing all 3 game Streaks

*** Tampa going for a 3 game UNDER streak today ....and also 3 game LOSING streak!

3. Yankees = 21 - 6  successfully completing all 3 game Streaks 

---------------------------------------------------

4. Phillies = 17 - 10

5. St. Louis = 18 - 12

6. Miami = 21 - 14

AVOID These Teams:

1. Texas  = 11 - 27

*** Texas is going for a 3 game Over streak and 3 game Losing streak

2. Boston = 12 - 21

*** Boston is going for a 3 game WINNING streak

3. Seattle = 15 - 22 

4. Washington = 16 - 23 

5. Houston  = 12 - 18 

*** Houston is going for a 3 game WINNING streak and a 3 game OVER streak

Sunday: - Kings Plays

Mets- Atlanta UNDER 8.5 

-ignore the wind > Mets are 9 - 1 UNDER with this number all season long!!!

- Atlanta though is 10 - 13 but many games UNDER when number is posted at 8 runs

- strong wind to outfield....how many times have I lost betting the OVER with the Mets with this situation? MANY TIMES THIS SEASON!

- two strong era pitchers/ 2 strong bullpens (#1 and #4)

*** avoid Tampa game > bullpen game for Tampa (bottom 10 rank) / strong warm wind out to centre with a pinata pitcher for ANGELS so I doubt this goes OVER and not sure if Tampa will lose

-trap game for me in Kings so avoiding

***avoiding Texas-Boston game > both teams are shy of hitting 3 game streaks....and this smells like an OVER with a leaking Eovaldi terrible lately, a hot hitting Boston lately and very strong wind blowing  to the green monster.....I would only suggest OVER in this game as Boston sends out a young lefty ..... I am plugging my nose and taking OVER 9 of in KINGS  (GUT CALL HERE)

Houston on a 3 game win streak and OVER STREAK > taking UNDER 8.5 in Kings....strong wind blowing in from right field to 1st base and 2 good young pitchers on the mound makes this one feel like an UNDER in the big ballpark

These are my thoughts on the 3 game streak teams....only 3 games taken in KINGS so far and now I am looking for matchups and batters vs pitchers scenarios in the other games >> WILL UPDATE if I lay any more

Taking Seattle Win - strong pitcher vs bullpen game for Nationals

- Mariners are strong in day/away games hitting and in June in general 

- good Mariners bullpen too

Jays/Yankees Over 8 - dome closed and Jays are scorching in June with .276 BA and they own Warren big time!!!! .....have completely abused him and love hitting right handed pitchers to .260 on the season

-Corbin does not do well vs the Yankees and had a bad outing last game

- I can see a 6 - 4 game here and Jays are HUNGRY to win this series! 

Taking Cardinals Win in Kings....

-Taj Bradley has been terrible and facing a good Cardinals hitting lineup

- Twins with worst bullpen in baseball!!

-McGreevy effective in last 2 outings and pretty consistent all season

I took Phillies win with Sanchez on the mound >> a check of BA vs Brewers shows he gets hit by them but I trust him to get out with his stuff this year

- Harrison gave up 8 runs in his last outing and.... has been hit for a .393 avg in 28 ABs vs Phillies

I took OVER 6.5 runs >> its a STUPID total if you look at the matchup in my opinion ....but would not bet cash against it with Sanchez being oh so good this year

I went UNDER 13.5 with Colorado - Oakland

Temps have cooled down to 85F today and despite 100F weather lately, totals have gone UNDER 14 for 4 games in a row....

Sugano has been effective for Colorado the last 5 games and A's have never hit a HR in 31 ABs vs him

- Springs is effective sometimes

This has the makings of a tough day in KINGS for me....

Give me UNDER 14 RUNS Colorado-Oakland x 1U in my personal bet account that is 19 - 17  (-$42 in this thread and over -$1000 on the season)

I might play the Boston OVER in game if I see Red Sox continue their hot ABs at the plate these past couple of games....

....the good lord is telling me stick to parlay wheels with soccer !

Getting spanked today in Kings > now 2 - 7 > 06/14/2026 1-6-0 14.29% -2970 Detail

I did not do parlays with soccer since I had all my plays in as the week went on....

Germany won 7 - 1 covering -3.5 goals

Japan is about to TIE Netherlands 2 - 2

Ecuador coming up against Ivory Coast... I have UNDER 1.5 and TIE 

Sweden win later 

Killing it in strong paying soccer bets......

 Up next in soccer for parlay mixing as a whole bunch of parlays were completed today and I am up some nice cash if you have been following my soccer plays because I mix all combos as much as possible WITH my highest probabilities that I emphasize in here....using $5 and $10 mixers of 3 and 4 way parlays....I mix a bundle of 2-4 baseball but tend to use 2 or 3 of my soccer plays with only ONE baseball usually, but it depends on the day....and how strong I feel about the day. Today, I was stretching some plays with lower confidence and going with variables that are likely rather than relying on prior knowledge also and gut feel.... I mention this because I am learning about Bayesian statistical methodoloy which considers prior knowledge with newly derived knowledge to build your probability and grow it....

I won't bore....watching a video right now > https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XCEpIBqKogo ...why you may ask? A partner and I have developed a model of probability in an industry and we are now realizing its best to use a server to GATHER info and develop complex datasets first and then test the data later for a better result with our model

Strangely, this applies to statistical analysis like I do in Baseball, NCAAB etc.... (but hands on into spread sheet)

My soccer picks the next two days that I like best for betting: - sitting tied for 4th in my big World Cup Pool with 10 pts gathered in the first round where you have to pick all games and in the first round, Ties are worth 2 pts and Wins only 1 pt which makes it interesting (74 guys in the pool for $60 each with top 8 paid out )

1. Uruguay tomorrow  > UNDER 2.5 > it is one of my overall favorite best 1st game plays as they tied England in prep games in the past year in a low scoring affair and generally they play tight structured ball especially early in a tourney until they get a couple games under their belt and have the ability to open it up but this is their brand!!

2. Uruguay -1.5 > should they decide to press the pedal, I can see a 2 - 0, 3 - 0 win or even a sloppy 3 - 1 game but realize that Uruguay has not played another nation since March so I think they will focus on structure and in game tactics to score a goal rather than playing an open game...I will make this win by 2 bet as support on parlays where I don't want to mix UNDER 2.5 

3. Belgium ML 1.6  - they are firing on all cylinders including a 5 - 0 win over Tunisia who are only 17 FIFA rankings worse than Egypt 

4. Strong lean to Belgium Over 2.5 > Mo Salah of Egypt is leaving Liverpool without a big contract and will use the WC as prep to shine for a new Mid East monster contract OR a good club in Europe....he will be goal hunting with vigor and can when motivated 

Note: I cannot get a read on Spain without Yamal (injured) who have tied their last 3 of 4 prep games and Iran /NZ is dependent upon how comfortable Iran is who are ranked around 20th in the world so quite talented but rattled by U.S. officials and roadblocks constantly while at WC 

Tuesday:

France-Senegal Over 2.5 > so much scoring talent and style on both teams, they will put on a show 

Argentina ML 1.36 

Argentina/Algeria Under 2.5 > Algeria held Netherlands to 1-0 win in last prep game and Argentina are a structured/quick strike after a build type of team which means that once they get to 1 - 0, they are very methodical in their time with the ball and control of how they set up for their next goal with defense as their main focus....Algeria has built a strong defensive setup to their team 

Note: ....next two days of soccer hold for lots of potential mystery and disappointment potentially ....I did most of my parlays in the front to middle part of the first round of soccer games in the WC 

Biggest use in parlays so far in the WC:

#1 - Mexico win

#2 - Scotland win

#3 - Uruguay Under 2.5

#4 - Brazil- Morocco Tie

#5 - Sweden win 

#6 - Under 1.5 goals Ecuador and Tie  << almost got it until later Ivory Coast goal!!

#7 - Germany win by -3.5

#8 - USA draw 

My baseball parlay users today.....mixed with soccer

Phillies ML 1.52

Mets/Reds Under 8.5 @1.87

Tampa ML (using it sparingly though > they hit LAUER very well and know him from AL battles when with Toronto)

@+145

@Last2thirst

BOL today brother!!!

Thanks for sharing your soccer picks as well!!

Thanks BROSKI 

i laid off of Spain without Yamal .... 0 - 0 tie  ....my buddy texted me while I was out on a hill walk and told me in the last 5 minutes or so, Spain was 5 - 1 to tie so he put $40 on it