Posted:
#151
URUGUAY UNDER!!!
oh man, does that open up a lot of cashouts for me.....!
Take IRAN coming up tonight
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
L2T Mid Season Streak Angles (May 16 -July 31))
Posted:
#152
Setting up my next set of parlay mixers and have a solid KEY parlay wheel to play to start....
#1 Play (will add as I break down intel) in new flight of games
Argentina - Algeria UNDER 2.5
-Algeria has a lot of 1-0 or 0-0 games and have lost once in 17 games!!
-Argentina with a key defender out and dropping back a midfielder so their other forwards/midfielders will have to collapse a lot more to prevent a strong Algeria striker from getting space ....Ryan Miharez who has played in Premier League
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Posted:
#153
Parlay Pick #2 - parlay mixer
Under 2.5 Croatia-England
-normally, I would not go Under vs a very talented Croatia team but England is managed by Thomas Tuchel who is famous for structured-possession football that means a lot of games are won 1 - 0 ESPECIALLY, on the big stake matches over his career and this formula works for his teams ... I can see a 0 - 0, 1 - 0 or 1 - 1 tactical game
- with Modric on the Croatian team, he likes to build up plays in the midfield but Tuchel is well versed on how to disrupt this and play positionally to prevent one touch setups from plays created by Modric who I have watched a lot of his play
Play #3 Switzerland - Bosnia Under 2.5
- I fully expect Switzerland to be drilled with structure and positioning all week and they should expect a gritty game from Bosnia who can be dangerous on set pieces but Switzerland has size and more verve than Canada with the ball so that should open up more field for them BUT not necessarily more scoring chances since Bosnia are on you very quickly and bottle up in their last third well usually
- I see a 1 - 0, 1 - 1 or 2 - 0 disciplined game by both teams as a loss by either would be tragic since both are still in it for the playoffs with a TIE or 1 - 0 loss would likely mean they still could not have a large goal differential to overcome in a tie-breaker to make the playoffs if it comes down to it
Play #4 - Morocco Win (vs Scotland)
- Morocco could win an open game or a tight game but they are not fast enough to keep Morocco off the scoresheet BUT I know Morocco can play shutdown defense if called upon to preserve a lead and also be a major threat with their speed and skill to counter attack with or without a lead so Scotland is going to have their hands full despite the best crowd support in the stands, in the world BAR NONE!!! (my wife's sister worked their flight over to Canada from Scotland and said they had all the beer drank on the plane within 90 minutes and she said there was never any sales of tequila or schnapps but it was all gone/all booze by the time they landed and they were great fun and classy but loud haha)
Play #5 - Netherlands- Sweden Over 2.5
- gets some popcorn because the Dutch defense is decimated and the very formidable goal scoring forwards of Sweden will mean there will be lots of chances but the Dutch can counter strike on a poor Swedish defense that sometimes looks slow and the Dutch are fast up front..... I can see a 2-2, 3 - 2 type of game and at worst, 2 - 1 very likely ... 
Play #3 - parlay mixer
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Posted:
#155
its a real struggle trying to find a STREAK trend that is sticking for about 5 days or more.....
Here are some angles:
hit Lose strk of 3 > last 14 days > (19 - 27) > last 7 days (4 - 13 )
hit Lose strk 5 - 10 > last 14 days > (3 - 13) > last 7 days (0 - 5 )
hit Over strk of 4 > last 14 days (17 - 10) > last 7 days (8 - 4)
hit Over strk 5-10 > last 14 days (22 - 16) > last 7 days (13 - 6 )
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Posted:
#158
Working on an update..... these first few afternoon games are tricky but I am going to take:
Philie- Miami > take Phillies ML 1.8 x HALF U
- they are 6 - 1 in winning game 3 after two wins in a row
- they hit Alcantara to a .302 BA over 268 lifetime ABs vs this Phillies lineup
OVER 9.5 x $30 > strong wind blowing to centre and warm
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Posted:
#162
UNDERS in soccer are not cashing despite matchup and tactics determined..... GHANA Under now but I figured by the way Panama plays, this would be an OVER
After hitting about 70%+ early, I am hitting .500 or UNDER that so careful following me.....
Tomorrow, i have a Switz - Bosnia Under but who knows....and not touching the Canada game which I think will be tight so there might be some value in Qatar +1.5
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Posted:
#163
Hanging my hat on TWINS today ML with Joe Ryan great numbers vs Texas an Leiter's so so year and poor numbers vs Twins hitters
-Twins also 3 - 1 on the season completing a 4 game win streak...they are presently at 3 in a row which is stronger than completing their 3 game win streak stats (5 - 5)
Minnesota ML @1.80 x 1U
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
Posted:
#166
Cubs 10 - 15 in last 25 games and playing .500 win pct teams or lower carving that record
Blue Jays are an above .500 team but just not showing it (about to by the end of this month they should be solidly above is my prediction)
Gausman with great great numbers vs this Cubs hitting lineup..
- his spinning of the ball will confuse until they pick up the pattern of high fast balls with movement and sinking splitters hitting down in the zone but by then, they will hand the ball to a stocked bullpen that has been real good these last 30 days
Blue Jays +105 x HALF U
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
Posted:
#167
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Cubs 10 - 15 in last 25 games and playing .500 win pct teams or lower carving that record Blue Jays are an above .500 team but just not showing it (about to by the end of this month they should be solidly above is my prediction) Gausman with great great numbers vs this Cubs hitting lineup.. - his spinning of the ball will confuse until they pick up the pattern of high fast balls with movement and sinking splitters hitting down in the zone but by then, they will hand the ball to a stocked bullpen that has been real good these last 30 days Blue Jays +105 x HALF U
Cubs 10 - 15 in last 25 games and playing .500 win pct teams or lower carving that record Blue Jays are an above .500 team but just not showing it (about to by the end of this month they should be solidly above is my prediction) Gausman with great great numbers vs this Cubs hitting lineup.. - his spinning of the ball will confuse until they pick up the pattern of high fast balls with movement and sinking splitters hitting down in the zone but by then, they will hand the ball to a stocked bullpen that has been real good these last 30 days Blue Jays +105 x HALF U
BOL on Jays!!
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Posted:
#169
So what angles are there in streaks?
-Teams on a 2 game losing streak continue to lose only at a 25% rate in the past 7 days (8 - 24) and 23 - 38 in the past 14 days
Consider the following teams to win: Cardinals, Phillies, LA Angels, Detroit
-Teams on a 4 game losing streak continue to lose only at a 13% rate (3 - 13) in the past 14 days and 0 - 5 in the past 7 days
Consider taking to win > Boston today....
If these teams lose today, take them to win tomorrow > Atlanta and Tampa (both on a 3 game losing streak)
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
Posted:
#170
Strong 2 game streak records > in trying to complete a 3rd in a row today
Miami > 6 - 2 in complete OVER streaks of 3
Texas > 1 - 7 in trying to complete a 3 game OVER *** take UNDER
Minnesota > 6 - 2 in trying to complete a 3 game OVER
NYY > 6 - 0 OVER in trying to complete a 3 game OVER streak
Tampa > only 1 - 4 with completing a 4 game losing streak.
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Posted:
#174
All I know is, when Yankees on a WIN streak, the history this season shows they don't stop until its long....
They hit Abbot for .300 BA on 40 ABs but interestingly, no HRs or RBIs....but the Reds bullpen is 3rd worst in baseball !!
YANKEES -1.5 runs @1.95 x HALF U
Its DOUBLE UP day which I tend to turn too when my record gets to .500 and below... 21- 21 - $165 right now
Let's have a good one and think positive 
!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
Posted:
#175
Cubs Over 9 I like a lot....not betting it but I think it warrants some parlays with Ivory Coast +1.5 or that game UNDER 3.5 parlayed ....the game is in Toronto where the field is tight and Ivory Coast are very structured with a young superstar goal scorer playing in the German league
Combo with JAPAN wins easily but just take ML and combo with France -1.5 and Argentina win
Nice 4 way mixer there and do a BIGGIE with Japan win, and both France and Argentina wins
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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